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每日期权追踪 | 绩前期权市场疯狂看涨!英伟达多张call单成交火爆;超微电脑跌破800美元,一put单赚近3倍

Daily Futures Tracking | The pre-performance options market is insanely bullish! Nvidia's multi-call single sales are hot; ultra-micro computers fell below $800, making nearly 3 times more profit in a single PUT

Futu News ·  Feb 21 17:04

Editor's note: This section focuses on the US stock options market, covering the options transactions of popular individual stocks, stock indexes, ETFs, and high-volatility individual stocks. It is updated regularly after the end of each trading day to provide Niuyou with multi-dimensional opportunity references and help Niuyou seize investment opportunities!

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1. US stock options trading list

1.$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$The pre-performance decline was more than 4%, and the trading volume of options was 1.22 million, and the bullish share was about 60.3%. In the options chain, a number of bullish options on this stock were stolen. Among them, call options with an exercise price of 800 US dollars due on Friday were the most traded, reaching 29,000, and about 10,000 unclosed positions.

In addition, call options with trading prices of $700, $1,300, and $1,000, which expire on Friday, are also in high demand, with trading volumes of 22,300, 22,200, and 16,400, respectively.

According to Cboe Global Markets data, traders are betting that the stock price will fluctuate around 11% after Nvidia's earnings report is released until Friday.

According to other data, most of the contracts currently unclosed are bullish options in the range of 1010-1,380 US dollars. Some of these options will expire this weekend, which means that Nvidia's closing price this week will need to soar more than 45% from the current stock price level.

In addition, data compiled by Susquehanna shows that the market still has 25% options bets, and Nvidia's closing price on Friday will drop 10% to $620 or rise 22% to $850.

2,$Marathon Digital (MARA.US)$Overnight, it plummeted by more than 9%, falling nearly 17% in the past three trading days, and the trading volume of 400,000 options. However, despite the recent poor performance of the company's stock price, the bullish share still prevails, which currently stands at 66.9%.

On the options chain, call options that expire on Friday and exercise prices of $30, $26, and $25 are in high demand, with 20,900, 16,700, and 16,500, respectively.

3.$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$Overnight, it fell nearly 2%, and the stock price fell below the $800 mark. Options trading volume plummeted to 380,000, and the previous trading day reached 980,000. Among them, a deposit with an exercise price of 310 US dollars, which expires on March 1, earns nearly 3 times the premium.

According to S3 data, in the past 30 days, bears have increased 12% of shorting stocks and invested an additional 623 million US dollars to short this artificial intelligence (AI) darling.

The client portfolio manager of Zacks Investment Management said: All of a sudden, the ultra-micro computer is a bit like a meme stock. But it does have some favorable factors, such as potential growth. The “wave of artificial intelligence” has driven the rise of ultra-microcomputers, but when it is stimulated to a certain extent, then you start seeing bears enter the market, just like I've seen before.

II. The trading list of US stock indexes and industry ETF options

On Tuesday (February 20), the first trading day after the US President's Day holiday, the three major US stock indices fell collectively. The sharp decline of Nvidia, a “super weighted stock,” clearly dragged down the S&P and NASDAQ indices.

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$Options trading volume fell slightly to 9.08 million, pessimism prevailed, with a bearish ratio of 51.4%.

As a super weighted stock, Nvidia has contributed about 25% of the increase in the S&P 500 index since this year. According to the analysis, the current call options are frantically betting on AI stocks such as Nvidia. Once Nvidia releases financial reports, the implied volatility of the entire options market may decrease, and the price of individual Nvidia-related stocks will fall accordingly, leading to a correction in the general market.

3. Implicit Volatility (IV) Fluctuation List of Individual Stocks

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Risk warning

An option is a contract that gives a holder the right, but no obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a fixed price on or at any time prior to that date. The price of an option is affected by a number of factors, including the underlying asset's current price, exercise price, expiration time, and implied volatility.

The implied volatility reflects the market's expectations for options to fluctuate over a period of time to come. It is data inverted by the options BS pricing model, and is generally viewed as an indicator of market sentiment. When investors anticipate greater volatility, they may be more willing to pay higher options to help hedge risks, leading to higher implied volatility.

Traders and investors use implied volatility to assess the appeal of option prices, identify potential mispricing, and manage risk exposure.

Disclaimers

This content does not constitute an offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, financial products or instruments. The risk of losing money when trading options can be extremely high. In some cases, you may lose more than the amount of your initial deposit. Even if you set backup instructions, such as “stop corrosion” or “limit price” instructions, you may not be able to avoid losses. Market conditions may make such instructions unenforceable. You may be asked to deposit an additional security deposit within a short period of time. If you fail to provide the required amount within the specified time, your open positions may be closed. However, you are still responsible for any shortfall in your account as a result. Therefore, you should study and understand options before trading, and carefully consider whether this type of trading is suitable for you based on your financial situation and investment goals. If you trade options, you should be familiar with the procedures for exercising options and when they expire, as well as your rights and responsibilities when you exercise options and when they expire.

Editor/Somer

The translation is provided by third-party software.


The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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