Goldman Sachs: By early 2025, the tightening of immigration policies in the USA will reduce the net immigration number from 1.7 million in December last year to 0.7 million in February this year. The immigration forecast for 2025 has been revised down from 0.75 million to 0.5 million, and it is expected that labor force growth will slow down, leading to a reduction in monthly growth of 0.04 million. Currently, potential GDP growth is expected to be dragged down by 0.1%, which is double the previous expectation.
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Howard Marks' latest discussion talks about the importance of luck and how to make oneself luckier.
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