After the Federal Reserve's overnight decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, Nomura Securities still expects that the Federal Reserve will cut rates again in 2025 and then extend the pause in rate cuts until 2026. The bank's Analyst wrote in a report that the press conference by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was confusing, as he seemed to take an inconsistent stance on inflation risks or the potential path of policy rates. The Analysts added, "We find Powell's press conference frustrating, as it does not seem to provide a clear position on inflation or policy rates." They noted that the dot plot and economic forecasts also showed a significant hawkish shift, indicating that the Federal Reserve is recognizing the last-mile inflation risks and the additional pressures that may come from the incoming Trump administration's policies.
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野村证券:美联储2025年可能仅降息一次
Nomura Securities: The Federal Reserve may only cut interest rates once in 2025.
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