According to cme's "Federal Reserve Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until December is 29.7%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 70.3%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until January next year is 22.0%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 59.9%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 18.0%.