Net income from financial instruments held for trading or managed on a fair value basis2
15,814
12,564
5,298
5,110
4,452
Net income from assets and liabilities of insurance businesses, including related derivatives, measured at fair value through profit or loss
7,889
1,738
5,513
1,084
(2,566)
Insurance finance expense
(7,948)
(1,703)
(5,462)
(1,159)
2,531
Insurance service result
1,001
696
339
356
172
Gain on acquisition3
—
1,593
—
—
86
Gain less impairment relating to sale of business operations4
3,328
2,130
72
(161)
—
Other operating (expense)/income
336
(581)
479
(2)
(765)
Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges5
54,290
53,037
16,998
16,540
16,161
Change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges
(2,052)
(2,416)
(986)
(346)
(1,071)
Net operating income
52,238
50,621
16,012
16,194
15,090
Total operating expenses excluding impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets
(24,388)
(23,720)
(8,138)
(8,100)
(7,967)
(Impairment)/reversal of impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets
(51)
295
(5)
(45)
(1)
Operating profit
27,799
27,196
7,869
8,049
7,122
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
2,233
2,175
607
857
592
Profit before tax
30,032
29,371
8,476
8,906
7,714
Tax expense
(5,618)
(5,034)
(1,727)
(2,078)
(1,448)
Profit after tax
24,414
24,337
6,749
6,828
6,266
Attributable to:
– ordinary shareholders of the parent company
22,720
22,585
6,134
6,403
5,619
– other equity holders
908
976
382
125
434
– non-controlling interests
786
776
233
300
213
Profit after tax
24,414
24,337
6,749
6,828
6,266
$
$
$
$
$
Basic earnings per share
1.23
1.15
0.34
0.35
0.29
Diluted earnings per share
1.22
1.14
0.34
0.34
0.29
Dividend per ordinary share (paid in the period)
0.51
0.43
0.10
0.10
0.10
%
%
%
%
%
Return on average ordinary shareholders’ equity (annualised)
17.9
18.3
14.4
15.2
13.5
Return on average tangible equity (annualised)
19.3
19.7
15.5
16.3
14.6
Cost efficiency ratio
45.0
44.2
47.9
49.2
49.3
1 Includes a $283m loss in 3Q24 related to the early redemption of legacy securities.
2 Includes a $255m gain (9M23: $284m loss) on the foreign exchange hedging of the proceeds from the sale of our banking business in Canada.
3 Gain recognised in respect of the acquisition of SVB UK.
4 For the nine months ending 30 September 2024, a gain of $4.6bn, inclusive of the recycling of $0.6bn in foreign currency translation reserve losses and $0.4bn of other reserves recycling losses but excluding the $255m gain on the foreign exchange hedging (see footnote 2 above), on the sale of our banking business in Canada, and an impairment loss of $1.2bn relating to the planned sale of our business in Argentina was recognised.
5 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
12
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Distribution of results by global business and legal entity
Distribution of results by global business
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Constant currency revenue1
Wealth and Personal Banking2
21,723
22,678
7,411
7,162
6,584
Commercial Banking
16,284
17,378
5,388
5,406
5,292
Global Banking and Markets
13,154
12,154
4,412
4,333
3,833
Corporate Centre2
3,129
179
(213)
(245)
178
Total
54,290
52,389
16,998
16,656
15,887
Constant currency profit/(loss) before tax
Wealth and Personal Banking2
9,684
11,403
3,226
3,304
2,778
Commercial Banking
9,464
10,730
3,001
3,210
2,797
Global Banking and Markets
5,662
4,670
1,849
1,804
1,261
Corporate Centre2
5,222
2,292
400
661
788
Total
30,032
29,095
8,476
8,979
7,624
1 Constant currency net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges including the effects of foreign currency translation differences, also referred to as constant currency revenue.
2 On 1 January 2024, HSBC Continental Europe completed the sale of its retail banking operations in France to CCF, a subsidiary of Promontoria MMB SAS (‘My Money Group’). With effect from this date, we have prospectively reclassified the portfolio of retained loans, profit participation interest and licence agreement of the CCF brand from WPB to Corporate Centre.
Distribution of results by legal entity
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Reported profit/(loss) before tax
HSBC UK Bank plc
5,555
6,569
1,821
1,923
1,778
HSBC Bank plc
2,437
4,405
1,001
739
907
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
16,005
15,000
5,112
5,436
4,083
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
867
1,023
331
253
350
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
446
886
23
170
185
HSBC Bank Canada
186
695
—
—
220
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
682
658
216
280
222
Other trading entities1
1,477
1,740
443
644
458
– of which: other Middle East entities (including Oman, Türkiye, Egypt and Saudi Arabia)
629
542
218
197
120
– of which: Saudi Awwal Bank
464
391
147
172
118
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-Group eliminations2
2,377
(1,605)
(471)
(539)
(489)
Total
30,032
29,371
8,476
8,906
7,714
Constant currency profit/(loss) before tax
HSBC UK Bank plc
5,555
6,766
1,821
1,980
1,827
HSBC Bank plc
2,437
4,465
1,001
755
926
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
16,005
14,880
5,112
5,475
4,098
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
867
1,024
331
254
351
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
446
887
23
170
185
HSBC Bank Canada
186
688
—
—
216
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
682
662
216
255
200
Other trading entities1
1,477
1,329
443
629
306
– of which: other Middle East entities (including Oman, Türkiye, Egypt and Saudi Arabia)
629
408
218
192
73
– of which: Saudi Awwal Bank
464
391
147
171
118
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-Group eliminations2
2,377
(1,606)
(471)
(539)
(485)
Total
30,032
29,095
8,476
8,979
7,624
1 Other trading entities includes the results of entities located in Oman (pre merger with Sohar International Bank SAOG in August 2023), Türkiye, Egypt and Saudi Arabia (including our share of the results of Saudi Awwal Bank) which do not consolidate into HSBC Bank Middle East Limited. Supplementary analysis is provided on page 45 for a fuller picture of the Middle East, North Africa and Türkiye (‘MENAT‘) regional performance.
2 Includes a $4.8bn gain on disposal of our banking business in Canada, inclusive of a $0.3bn gain on the foreign exchange hedging of the sale proceeds, the recycling of $0.6bn in foreign currency translation reserve losses and $0.4bn of other reserves recycling losses. This is partly offset by a $1.2bn impairment recognised in relation to the planned sale of our business in Argentina.
Tables showing constant currency profit before tax by global business and legal entity are presented to support the commentary on constant currency performance on pages 15 and 17.
The tables on pages 33 to 45 reconcile reported to constant currency results for each of our global business segments and legal entities.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
13
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Income statement commentary
3Q24 compared with 3Q23 – reported results
Movement in reported profit compared with 3Q23
Quarter ended
Variance
3Q24 vs. 3Q23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
16,998
16,161
837
5
(811)
ECL
(986)
(1,071)
85
8
19
Operating expenses
(8,143)
(7,968)
(175)
(2)
338
Share of profit/(loss) from associates and JVs
607
592
15
3
—
Profit before tax
8,476
7,714
762
10
(454)
Tax expense
(1,727)
(1,448)
(279)
(19)
Profit after tax
6,749
6,266
483
8
1 For details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Notable items
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
72
310
Fair value movements on financial instruments1
—
—
Disposal losses on Markets Treasury repositioning
—
(578)
Early redemption of legacy securities
(283)
—
Currency translation on revenue notable items
—
5
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
(48)
(79)
Restructuring and other related costs
3
30
Currency translation on operating expenses notable items
—
—
1 Fair value movements on non-qualifying hedges in HSBC Holdings.
Reported profit
Reported profit before tax of $8.5bn was $0.8bn higher than in 3Q23. This primarily reflected an increase in revenue from a strong performance in Wealth in WPB and higher revenue in Global Foreign Exchange, Equities and Global Debt Markets in GBM, which mitigated a reduction in NII.
Revenue also benefited from a net favourable impact from notable items. These included disposal losses in 3Q23 of $0.6bn relating to repositioning and risk management, partly offset by the adverse effects of a $0.2bn gain in 3Q23 on foreign exchange hedges relating to the disposal of our banking business in Canada, which did not recur. In 3Q24, these included a $0.3bn loss on the early redemption of legacy securities. In addition, revenue in 3Q24 included a loss of $0.1bn from Treasury repositioning and risk management.
The rise in revenue was partly offset by higher reported operating expenses due to higher spend and investment in technology, as well as from inflationary pressures.
Reported profit after tax of $6.7bn was $0.5bn higher than in 3Q23.
Reported revenue
Reported revenue of $17.0bn was $0.8bn or 5% higher than in 3Q23 reflecting higher wealth revenue in WPB, notably from a strong performance in life insurance, Global Private Banking and investment distribution, as well as revenue growth in Global Foreign Exchange, Equities and Global Debt Markets in GBM, as increased market volatility led to higher client activity. These factors were partly offset by a loss of $0.1bn in 3Q24 from Treasury repositioning and risk management, and the impact of our disposals in Canada and France. The increase in revenue also included the favourable impact from notable items described above.
NII fell by $1.6bn compared with 3Q23 and included an adverse impact of foreign currency translation differences of $0.4bn. The reduction reflected the impact of deposit migration since 3Q23 and the loss on the early redemption of legacy securities in 3Q24 of $0.3bn. The fall in NII also included $0.7bn higher funding costs associated with the redeployment of our commercial surplus into the trading book, where the associated revenue is recognised in ‘net income on financial instruments held for trading or managed on a fair value basis‘. These reductions were in part mitigated by higher NII in Markets Treasury due to reinvestments in our portfolio at higher yields. Banking NII of $10.6bn fell by $0.9bn, as increased deployment of our commercial surplus to the trading book only partly mitigated the reductions in NII.
14
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Reported ECL
Reported ECL of $1.0bn were $0.1bn lower than in 3Q23, notably due to a lower level of stage 3 charges against exposures in the commercial real estate sector in mainland China in CMB and GBM, partly offset by an increase in ECL charges of $0.2bn in WPB. ECL in 3Q24 comprised charges in CMB and GBM of $0.5bn, including against exposures in the onshore Hong Kong commercial real estate ($0.1bn) and mainland China commercial real estate sectors ($0.1bn). In WPB, ECL included charges of $0.2bn in our legal entity in Mexico, which were broadly stable compared with 2Q24, primarily related to our unsecured lending book, reflecting portfolio growth. In addition, ECL in WPB included charges in HSBC UK and our main entity in Hong Kong.
For further details of the calculation of ECL, including the measurement uncertainties and significant judgements applied to such calculations, the impact of the economic scenarios and management judgemental adjustments, see pages 53 to 59.
Reported operating expenses
Reported operating expenses of $8.1bn were $0.2bn or 2% higher. This mainly reflected higher spend and investment in technology and the impacts of inflation, while the performance-related pay accrual was broadly stable. These increases were partly offset by continued cost discipline, reductions following the completion of disposals in Canada and France and a favourable impact from foreign currency translation differences of $0.1bn.
Reported share of profit from associates and JVs
Reported share of profit from associates and joint ventures of $0.6bn was $15m or 3% higher. This included a higher share of profit from Saudi Awwal Bank (‘SAB‘).
Tax expense
Tax in 3Q24 was a charge of $1.7bn, representing an effective tax rate of 20.4%. The effective tax rate for 3Q24 was increased by provisions for uncertain tax positions and a tax charge arising under the Global Minimum Tax regime. Tax in 3Q23 was a charge of $1.4bn, representing an effective tax rate of 18.8%.
Third interim dividend for 2024
On 29 October 2024, the Board announced a third interim dividend for 2024 of $0.10 per ordinary share. For further details, see page 67.
3Q24 compared with 3Q23 – constant currency basis
Movement in profit before tax compared with 3Q23 – on a constant currency basis
Quarter ended
Variance
3Q24 vs. 3Q23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
16,998
15,887
1,111
7
(806)
ECL
(986)
(1,038)
52
5
19
Operating expenses
(8,143)
(7,823)
(320)
(4)
336
Share of profit from associates and JVs
607
598
9
2
—
Profit before tax
8,476
7,624
852
11
(451)
1 For details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Profit before tax of $8.5bn was $0.9bn higher than in 3Q23, on a constant currency basis, as growth in revenue was partly offset by higher operating expenses.
Revenue increased by $1.1bn or 7% on a constant currency basis, and included a reduction of $0.8bn relating to the impact of strategic transactions. Revenue growth was driven by Wealth in WPB and in Global Foreign Exchange, Equities and Global Debt Markets in GBM. A reduction in NII reflected deposit migration, a loss on the early redemption of legacy securities in 3Q24, and higher funding costs associated with the redeployment of our commercial surplus into the trading book, where the related revenue is recognised in ’net income on financial instruments held for trading or managed on a fair value basis’. Banking NII fell by $0.5bn, as increased deployment of our commercial surplus to the trading book only partly mitigated the reductions in NII.
ECL charges of $1.0bn were $0.1bn lower on a constant currency basis, notably reflecting a reduction in charges relating to exposures in the commercial real estate sector in mainland China in CMB and GBM, partly offset by higher charges in WPB. ECL in 3Q24 included charges against exposures in the onshore Hong Kong commercial real estate sector of $0.1bn and in the mainland China commercial real estate sector of $0.1bn. In addition, WPB included charges in our legal entity in Mexico, which were broadly stable compared with 2Q24, primarily in our unsecured lending book, reflecting portfolio growth, and higher charges in HSBC UK and our main entity in Hong Kong.
Operating expenses increased by $0.3bn or 4% on a constant currency basis, mainly driven by continued spend and investment in technology and the impacts of inflation, while the performance-related pay accrual was broadly stable. These increases were partly offset by continued cost discipline and reductions following the completion of disposals in Canada and France. Target basis operating expenses were $0.4bn or 5% higher than in 3Q23, while they fell by 1% compared with 2Q24, mainly due to a reduction in marketing costs and a lower performance-related pay accrual.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
15
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
9M24 compared with 9M23 – reported results
Movement in reported profit compared with 9M23
Nine months ended
Variance
9M24 vs. 9M23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
54,290
53,037
1,253
2
(901)
ECL
(2,052)
(2,416)
364
15
52
Operating expenses
(24,439)
(23,425)
(1,014)
(4)
723
Share of profit from associates and JVs less impairment
2,233
2,175
58
3
—
Profit before tax
30,032
29,371
661
2
(126)
Tax expense
(5,618)
(5,034)
(584)
(12)
Profit after tax
24,414
24,337
77
—
1 For details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Notable items
Nine months ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
3,643
3,631
Fair value movements on financial instruments1
—
15
Disposal losses on Markets Treasury repositioning
—
(578)
Early redemption of legacy securities
(283)
Currency translation on revenue notable items
—
96
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
(149)
(197)
Restructuring and other related costs
22
77
Currency translation on operating expenses notable items
—
—
1 Fair value movements on non-qualifying hedges in HSBC Holdings.
Reported profit
Reported profit before tax of $30.0bn was $0.7bn or 2% higher reflecting revenue growth and lower ECL, partly offset by higher operating expenses. The growth in revenue included a net favourable impact of notable items. These primarily comprised the disposal of our banking business in Canada, recognising a gain of $4.8bn, inclusive of fair value gains on related hedging and recycling of related reserves. This was partly offset by a $1.2bn impairment following the classification of our business in Argentina as held for sale, the impact of a $2.1bn reversal in 9M23 of an impairment relating to the sale of our retail banking operations in France, and a $1.6bn gain recognised on the acquisition of SVB UK in 9M23.
In addition, notable items included a $0.3bn loss in 9M24 related to the early redemption of legacy securities, while 9M23 included disposal losses of $0.6bn relating to Treasury repositioning and risk management.
Reported profit after tax of $24.4bn was $0.1bn higher than in 9M23.
Reported revenue
Reported revenue of $54.3bn was $1.3bn or 2% higher, which included a net favourable impact of $0.3bn of notable items described above.
The growth in revenue also reflected the impact of higher customer activity across our Wealth products in WPB, while in Equities and Securities Financing in GBM market volatility led to higher client activity.
NII of $24.5bn fell by $3.0bn, and included the adverse impact of foreign currency translation differences of $1.0bn and the impact from the early redemption of legacy securities of $0.3bn. The reduction included the effects of our business disposals in Canada and France. The fall in NII also reflected the impact of deposit migration and an increase of $2.5bn in funding costs associated with the redeployment of our commercial surplus into the trading book, where the related revenue is recognised in ’net income on financial instruments held for trading or managed on a fair value basis’. These reductions were in part mitigated by higher NII in Markets Treasury due to reinvestments in our portfolio at higher yields. Banking NII of $32.8bn fell by $0.5bn or 2%, as increased deployment of our commercial surplus to the trading book only partly mitigated the reductions in NII.
Reported ECL
Reported ECL charges of $2.1bn were $0.4bn lower. This included lower stage 3 charges, notably reflecting a reduction in charges relating to the commercial real estate sector in mainland China, which contributed to lower ECL in both CMB and GBM, and lower charges in CMB in HSBC UK. ECL in GBM also benefited from a release of stage 3 allowances in HSBC Bank plc related to a single client. These reductions were partly offset by higher charges in WPB, mainly in our legal entity in Mexico, reflecting growth in our unsecured lending portfolio and unemployment trends.
16
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Reported operating expenses
Reported operating expenses of $24.4bn were $1.0bn or 4% higher, including favourable foreign currency translation differences between the periods of $0.4bn. The increase reflected higher spend and investment in technology, inflationary impacts and a higher performance-related pay accrual, which reflects a change in the phasing relative to 9M23, the non-recurrence of a $0.2bn impact from the reversal of historical asset impairments in 9M23, and higher bank levies in 9M24.
These factors were partly offset by the impact of disposals in Canada and France, continued cost discipline and favourable foreign currency translation differences between the periods of $0.4bn.
The number of employees expressed in full-time equivalent staff (‘FTE’) at 30 September 2024 was 215,180, a decrease of 5,681 compared with 31 December 2023, primarily reflecting the completion of the sale of our banking business in Canada and our retail banking operations in France. The number of contractors at 30 September 2024 was 4,453, a decrease of 223.
Reported share of profit from associates and JVs
Reported share of profit from associates and joint ventures of $2.2bn was $0.1bn higher. This included an increase in the share of profit from SAB.
Tax expense
Tax in 9M24 was a charge of $5.6bn, representing an effective tax rate of 18.7%. The effective tax rate for 9M24 was reduced by the non-taxable gain on the sale of our banking business in Canada and increased by the non-deductible loss recorded on the planned sale of our business in Argentina. Excluding these items, the effective rate for 9M24 was 21.1%. Tax in 9M23 was a charge of $5.0bn, representing an effective tax rate of 17.1%. The effective tax rate for 9M23 was reduced by 1.5 percentage points by the non-taxable provisional gain on the acquisition of SVB UK and by 1.4 percentage points by the release of provisions for uncertain tax positions.
9M24 compared with 9M23 – constant currency basis
Movement in profit before tax compared with 9M23 – on a constant currency basis
Nine months ended
Variance
9M24 vs. 9M23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
54,290
52,389
1,901
4
(978)
ECL
(2,052)
(2,355)
303
13
52
Operating expenses
(24,439)
(23,067)
(1,372)
(6)
717
Share of profit from associates and JVs less impairment
2,233
2,128
105
5
—
Profit before tax
30,032
29,095
937
3
(209)
1 For details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Profit before tax of $30.0bn was $0.9bn higher than in 9M23 on a constant currency basis. Constant currency profit before tax excluding notable items of $26.8bn was $0.7bn or 3% higher.
Revenue increased by $1.9bn or 4% on a constant currency basis, and included a $1.0bn adverse impact from strategic transactions. The growth in revenue reflected the impact of higher customer activity in our Wealth products in WPB, and in Equities and Securities Financing in GBM. NII fell due to business disposals, deposit migration and a loss on the early redemption of legacy securities in 3Q24. The reduction also included higher funding costs associated with the redeployment of our commercial surplus into the trading book, where the related revenue is recognised in ’net income on financial instruments held for trading or managed on a fair value basis’. On a constant currency basis, banking NII increased by $0.5bn or 1%.
ECL charges were $0.3bn lower on a constant currency basis, primarily due to a reduction in stage 3 charges in relation to exposures in the commercial real estate sector in mainland China which contributed to lower ECL in both CMB and GBM, and lower charges in CMB in HSBC UK. These reductions were partly offset by higher charges in WPB reflecting growth in unsecured lending in our legal entity in Mexico and unemployment trends.
Operating expenses increased by $1.4bn or 6% on a constant currency basis, primarily reflecting higher spend and investment in technology, inflationary impacts and a higher performance-related pay accrual, partly offset by continued cost discipline. Target basis operating expenses rose by $1.4bn or 6% compared with 9M23.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
17
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Net interest income
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Interest income
82,627
74,154
27,255
27,107
27,198
Interest expense
(58,079)
(46,642)
(19,618)
(18,849)
(17,950)
Net interest income
24,548
27,512
7,637
8,258
9,248
Average interest-earning assets
2,094,585
2,160,881
2,088,100
2,055,283
2,157,370
%
%
%
%
%
Gross interest yield1
5.27
4.59
5.19
5.30
5.00
Less: gross interest payable1
(4.08)
(3.35)
(4.07)
(4.05)
(3.80)
Net interest spread2
1.19
1.24
1.12
1.25
1.20
Net interest margin3
1.57
1.70
1.46
1.62
1.70
1 Gross interest yield is the average annualised interest rate earned on average interest-earning assets (‘AIEA’). Gross interest payable is the average annualised interest cost as a percentage of average interest-bearing liabilities (’AIBL’).
2 Net interest spread is the difference between the average annualised interest rate earned on AIEA, net of amortised premiums and loan fees, and the average annualised interest rate payable on average interest-bearing funds.
3 Net interest margin is net interest income expressed as an annualised percentage of AIEA.
Net interest income
NII for 9M24 was $24.5bn, a decrease of $3bn or 11% compared with 9M23. The reduction was mainly due to the deployment of commercial surplus into the trading book, for which the associated revenue is reported in ‘net income on financial instruments held for trading or managed on a fair value basis‘. The fall also reflected business disposals, a $0.3bn loss in 9M24 related to the early redemption of legacy securities, and a reduction of $0.2bn reflecting a reclassification made in 4Q23 of cash flow hedge revenue between NII and non-NII. These decreases were partly offset by growth in HSBC UK due to improved margins and the acquisition of SVB UK in 1Q23. Excluding the unfavourable impact of foreign currency translation differences, NII decreased by $2bn or 8%.
NII for 3Q24 was $7.6bn, down 17% compared with 3Q23, and down 9% compared with 2Q24. The year-on-year decline was driven by a rise in the interest expense of average interest-bearing liabilities (‘AIBL’) due to higher interest rates. The decline against 2Q24 reflected a rise in the interest expense related to AIBL, which included a $0.3bn adverse impact from the early redemption of legacy securities.
Net interest margin
NIM for 9M24 of 1.57% was 13 basis points (‘bps’) lower compared with 9M23, reflecting a higher interest expense related to AIBL, including the impact of deposit migration, the increased deployment of our commercial surplus to the trading book, and the $0.3bn loss on the early redemption of legacy securities. These reductions were mitigated by an increase in gross asset yields due to higher interest rates. Excluding the adverse effect of foreign currency translation differences, NIM declined by 12bps.
NIM for 3Q24 was 1.46%, 24bps lower year-on-year, and down 16bps compared with the previous quarter, primarily reflecting the impact of higher interest expense related to AIBL, the early redemption of legacy securities and the impact of deployment of our commercial surplus to the trading book.
Interest income and interest expense
Interest income for 9M24 of $82.6bn increased by $8.5bn compared with 9M23, primarily due to higher asset yields. Excluding the adverse effect of foreign currency translation differences of $1.7bn, interest income increased by $10.2bn.
Interest income of $27.3bn in 3Q24 was up $0.1bn compared with both 3Q23 and 2Q24.
Interest expense for 9M24 of $58.1bn increased by $11.4bn or 24% compared with 9M23. This was primarily driven by a rise in interest rates, deposit migration and the impact of the early redemption of legacy securities of $0.3bn. Excluding the favourable effects of foreign currency translation differences of $0.8bn, interest expense increased by $12.2bn.
Interest expense of $19.6bn in 3Q24 was up $1.7bn compared with 3Q23, and $0.8bn higher compared with 2Q24. The increase compared with 3Q23 was mainly driven by deposit migration and the impact of the early redemption of legacy securities. The increase compared with 2Q24 was driven by an increase in AIBL and the impact of the early redemption of legacy securities.
Banking net interest income
Banking NII is an alternative performance measure, and is defined as Group NII after deducting:
–the internal cost to fund trading and fair value net assets for which associated revenue is reported in ‘Net income from financial instruments held for trading or managed on a fair value basis’, also referred to as ‘trading and fair value income’. These funding costs reflect proxy overnight or term interest rates as applied by internal funds transfer pricing;
–the funding costs of foreign exchange swaps in Markets Treasury, where an offsetting income or loss is recorded in trading and fair value income. These instruments are used to manage foreign currency deployment and funding in our entities; and
–third-party NII in our insurance business.
In our segmental disclosures, the funding costs of trading and fair value net assets are predominantly recorded in GBM in ‘net income from financial instruments held for trading or managed on a fair value basis’. On consolidation, this funding is eliminated in Corporate Centre, resulting in an increase in the funding costs reported in NII with an equivalent offsetting increase in ‘net income from financial instruments held for trading or managed on a fair value basis’ in this segment. In the consolidated Group results, the cost to fund these trading and fair value net assets is reported in NII.
Banking NII was $32.8bn in 9M24. The funding costs associated with generating trading and fair value income were $8.6bn, an increase of $2.5bn compared with 9M23, primarily reflecting growth in net trading and fair value assets. Banking NII also deducts third-party NII related to
18
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
our insurance business, which was $0.3bn, broadly stable compared with 9M23. The movement in banking NII also included a $0.3bn loss in 9M24 related to the early redemption of legacy securities and a reduction of $0.2bn reflecting a reclassification made in 4Q23 of cash flow hedge revenue between NII and non-NII.
The internally allocated funding to generate trading and fair value income was approximately $210bn at 30 September 2024, a rise of approximately $80bn since 30 September 2023, and an increase of approximately $2bn since 30 June 2024. This relates to trading, fair value and associated net asset balances predominantly in GBM. The increase reflected management decisions on the deployment of our commercial surplus.
Banking net interest income
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
Net interest income
24.5
27.5
7.6
8.2
9.2
Banking book funding costs used to generate ‘net income from financial instruments held for trading or managed on a fair value basis’
8.6
6.1
3.1
2.8
2.4
Third-party net interest income from insurance
(0.3)
(0.3)
(0.1)
(0.1)
(0.1)
Banking net interest income
32.8
33.3
10.6
10.9
11.5
– of which:
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
16.2
16.5
5.5
5.3
5.8
HSBC UK Bank plc
7.7
7.2
2.6
2.5
2.5
HSBC Bank plc
3.4
3.4
1.2
1.2
1.2
Summary consolidated balance sheet
At
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
31 Dec 2023
$m
$m
$m
Assets
Cash and balances at central banks
252,310
277,112
285,868
Trading assets
349,904
331,307
289,159
Financial assets designated and otherwise mandatorily measured at fair value through profit or loss
126,372
117,014
110,643
Derivatives
232,439
219,269
229,714
Loans and advances to banks
117,514
102,057
112,902
Loans and advances to customers
968,653
938,257
938,535
Reverse repurchase agreements – non-trading
263,387
230,189
252,217
Financial investments
490,503
467,356
442,763
Assets held for sale
9,182
5,821
114,134
Other assets
288,357
286,621
262,742
Total assets
3,098,621
2,975,003
3,038,677
Liabilities
Deposits by banks
89,337
82,435
73,163
Customer accounts
1,660,715
1,593,834
1,611,647
Repurchase agreements – non-trading
202,510
202,770
172,100
Trading liabilities
75,917
77,455
73,150
Financial liabilities designated at fair value
146,600
140,800
141,426
Derivatives
239,836
217,096
234,772
Debt securities in issue
103,414
98,158
93,917
Insurance contract liabilities
133,155
125,252
120,851
Liabilities of disposal groups held for sale
8,202
5,041
108,406
Other liabilities
238,910
241,748
216,635
Total liabilities
2,898,596
2,784,589
2,846,067
Equity
Total shareholders’ equity
192,754
183,293
185,329
Non-controlling interests
7,271
7,121
7,281
Total equity
200,025
190,414
192,610
Total liabilities and equity
3,098,621
2,975,003
3,038,677
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
19
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Balance sheet commentary
Balance sheet – 30 September 2024 compared with 30 June 2024
At 30 September 2024, our total assets of $3.1tn were $124bn higher on a reported basis and included favourable effects of foreign currency translation differences of $85bn. On a constant currency basis, total assets were $39bn higher, driven by an increase in reverse repurchase agreements, growth in loans and advances to banks, and higher financial investments balances. These were partly offset by lower cash and balances at central banks.
Loans and advances to customers as a percentage of customer accounts were 58.3%, compared with 58.9% at 30 June 2024.
Combined view of customer lending and customer deposits
At
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
31 Dec 2023
$m
$m
$m
Loans and advances to customers
968,653
938,257
938,535
Loans and advances to customers of disposal groups reported in ‘Assets held for sale’
2,693
2,253
73,285
– banking business in Canada
—
—
56,129
– retail banking operations in France
—
—
16,902
– business in Argentina
1,913
1,559
– operations in Armenia
438
478
—
– private banking business in Germany
326
—
– other
15
216
254
Non-current assets held for sale
161
160
92
Combined customer lending
971,507
940,670
1,011,912
Currency translation
—
28,254
13,722
Combined customer lending at constant currency
971,507
968,924
1,025,633
Customer accounts
1,660,715
1,593,834
1,611,647
Customer accounts reported in ‘Liabilities of disposal groups held for sale’
7,140
4,037
85,950
– banking business in Canada
—
—
63,001
– retail banking operations in France
—
—
22,307
– business in Argentina
3,902
3,077
– operations in Armenia
440
457
—
– private banking business in Germany
2,679
—
– other
119
503
643
Combined customer deposits
1,667,855
1,597,871
1,697,597
Currency translation
—
47,020
24,339
Combined customer deposits at constant currency
1,667,855
1,644,891
1,721,936
Loans and advances to customers
Loans and advances to customers of $1.0tn were $30bn higher on a reported basis. This included favourable effects of foreign currency translation differences of $28bn, mainly in HSBC UK. Excluding foreign currency translation differences, customer lending balances increased by $2bn. The increase primarily reflected growth in WPB, notably in HSBC UK, and in CMB, partly offset by a reduction in GBM.
In WPB, customer lending increased by $3bn. This was driven by continued growth in mortgage lending balances, notably in HSBC UK and our legal entity in the US.
In CMB, customer lending increased by $3bn. This was driven by growth in term lending in HSBC UK, HSBC Bank plc and in our legal entities in the Middle East, Australia, Mexico, Singapore and India. This was partly offset by lower term lending balances in our legal entities in Hong Kong and the US.
In GBM, lending decreased by $4bn, primarily reflecting lower term lending, notably in our main legal entities in Hong Kong, Singapore, the US and mainland China, as well as in HSBC Bank plc. This was partly offset by growth in overdraft balances in our main legal entity in Hong Kong, as well as in HSBC Bank plc and the US.
We continue to expect mid-single digit annual percentage customer lending growth over the medium to long term.
Customer accounts
Customer accounts of $1.7tn increased by $67bn on a reported basis. This included favourable effects of foreign currency translation differences of $47bn, mainly in HSBC UK. Excluding foreign currency translation differences, customer accounts rose by $20bn.
In WPB, customer accounts rose by $15bn, primarily in our legal entity in Hong Kong reflecting an increase in term deposits prior to interest rate reductions and short-term inflows into customer accounts amid equity market volatility. This increase was partly offset by a decrease in HSBC Bank plc, notably reflecting the reclassification of deposit balances associated with the planned sale of our private banking business in Germany.
In CMB, the increase in customer accounts of $6bn reflected balance growth in our main legal entities in the US and Hong Kong. In addition, 3Q24 included short-term deposits in HSBC UK and our legal entity in the US, which were subsequently withdrawn in early October.
In GBM, customer accounts remained broadly stable as a reduction in HSBC Bank plc reflecting the withdrawal of a short-term deposit held at 30 June 2024 was mostly offset by balance growth, notably in our legal entities in mainland China and the US.
20
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Financial investments
As part of our interest rate hedging strategy, we hold a portfolio of debt instruments, reported within financial investments, which are classified as hold-to-collect-and-sell. As a result, the change in value of these instruments is recognised through ‘debt instruments at fair value through other comprehensive income’ in equity.
At 30 September 2024, we had recognised a pre-tax cumulative unrealised loss reserve through other comprehensive income of $2.3bn related to these hold-to-collect-and-sell positions, excluding investments held in our insurance business. This reflected a $1.9bn pre-tax gain in 3Q24, inclusive of movements on related fair value hedges. During 3Q24, we recognised a loss of $0.1bn in the income statement in relation to Treasury repositioning and risk management actions in this portfolio. Overall, the Group is positively exposed to rising interest rates through NII, although there is an adverse impact on our capital base in the early stages of a rising interest rate environment due to the fair value of hold-to-collect-and-sell instruments. Over time, these adverse movements will unwind as the instruments reach maturity, although not all will necessarily be held to maturity, or as interest rates begin to fall.
We also hold a portfolio of financial investments measured at amortised cost, which are classified as hold-to-collect. At 30 September 2024, the debt instruments within this portfolio, excluding those held in our insurance business, that are held to manage our interest rate exposure had a fair value broadly in line with their carrying value, representing a $2.2bn improvement during 3Q24.
Bank of Communications Co., Limited
On 24 September 2024, the People’s Bank of China, National Financial Regulatory Administration and China Securities Regulatory Commission announced several policies aimed at promoting growth and economic development. These included monetary stimulus, property market support and capital market strengthening measures, as well as measures to recapitalise the largest commercial banks. We are monitoring these developments and their potential impacts, including on the carrying value of our stake in the Bank of Communications Co., Limited (‘BoCom’). The range of possible outcomes, including the possible impact of the announced measures, remains broad and uncertain and could impact on our ongoing impairment assessments. These developments may have the potential to have a significant impact on the Group‘s reported earnings, but would be expected to have an immaterial impact on HSBC’s capital, capital ratios and its distribution capability. As at 30 September 2024, the carrying value of the investment was $22.7bn (30 June 2024: $22.1bn), and its fair value was $10.8bn (30 June 2024: $11.1bn), with no additional impairment recognised during the quarter. At 31 December 2023, we recognised an impairment of $3bn against the carrying value of our investment in BoCom, which had no material impact on HSBC’s capital, capital ratios and no impact on 2023 dividends or share buy-backs.
Risk-weighted assets – 30 September 2024 compared with 30 June 2024
Risk-weighted assets (‘RWAs’) increased by $28.8bn during 3Q24. Excluding an increase of $14.8bn from foreign currency translation differences, RWAs rose by $14.0bn, largely as a result of:
–an $11.8bn increase primarily driven by a rise in corporate exposures, notably in HSBC UK Bank plc, SAB and Asia, and higher sovereign exposures, mainly in Asia. Additionally, there was a rise in securities financing exposures in counterparty credit risk, notably in HSBC Bank plc; and
–a $4.2bn increase mainly from unfavourable credit risk rating migrations in Asia, including in the Hong Kong commercial real estate sector, and the US.
These increases were partly offset by:
–a $1.1bn decline primarily due to a $2.2bn change to the financial institutions model and a $0.8bn decrease due to credit risk parameter refinements, offset by methodology changes notably in Asia, HSBC UK Bank plc and the US.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
21
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Global businesses
Wealth and Personal Banking – constant currency basis
Results – on a constant currency basis
Nine months ended
Variance
9M24 vs. 9M23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
21,723
22,678
(955)
(4)
(2,671)
ECL
(926)
(692)
(234)
(34)
11
Operating expenses
(11,156)
(10,629)
(527)
(5)
574
Share of profit/(loss) from associates and JVs
43
46
(3)
(7)
—
Profit before tax
9,684
11,403
(1,719)
(15)
(2,086)
1 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Management view of revenue
Nine months ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
Variance
9M24 vs. 9M23
of which strategic transactions4
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Wealth
6,696
5,772
924
16
(153)
– investment distribution
2,198
1,955
243
12
(116)
– Global Private Banking
1,996
1,729
267
15
—
net interest income
895
885
10
1
—
non-interest income
1,101
844
257
30
—
– life insurance
1,474
1,150
324
28
—
– asset management
1,028
938
90
10
(37)
Personal Banking
14,559
15,362
(803)
(5)
(496)
– net interest income
13,521
14,400
(879)
(6)
(426)
– non-interest income
1,038
962
76
8
(70)
Other1
468
1,544
(1,076)
(70)
(2,022)
– of which: impairment (loss)/reversal relating to the sale of our retail banking operations in France
55
2,058
(2,003)
(97)
(2,003)
Net operating income2
21,723
22,678
(955)
(4)
(2,671)
RoTE (annualised)3 (%)
30.4
37.3
1 ‘Other’ includes Markets Treasury, HSBC Holdings interest expense and hyperinflation. It also includes the distribution and manufacturing (where applicable) of retail and credit protection insurance, disposal gains and other non-product-specific income.
2 ‘Net operating income’ means net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (also referred to as ‘revenue’).
3 RoTE (annualised) in 9M23 included a 6.6 percentage point favourable impact from the reversal of the impairment losses relating to the sale of our retail banking operations in France.
4 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Notable items
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
55
2,034
—
—
Disposal losses on Markets Treasury repositioning
—
(253)
—
(253)
Currency translation on revenue notable items
—
21
—
(3)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
—
(26)
—
(3)
Restructuring and other related costs
5
16
1
16
Currency translation on operating expenses notable items
—
—
—
—
22
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
9M24 compared with 9M23
Profit before tax of $9.7bn was $1.7bn lower than in 9M23 on a constant currency basis. The reduction was due to the non-recurrence of a $2.1bn reversal in 9M23 of an impairment relating to the sale of our retail banking operations in France, although it was subsequently reinstated in 4Q23 and the sale completed on 1 January 2024. In addition, the decrease reflected a $0.2bn reduction due to the sale of our banking business in Canada, which completed in 1Q24. NII was stable compared with 9M23, while fee income increased by 10%. Operating expenses grew by $0.5bn and there was an increase in ECL of $0.2bn.
Revenue of $21.7bn was $1.0bn or 4% lower on a constant currency basis. This included the impact of a reversal of an impairment relating to the sale of our retail banking operations in France included within ‘Other‘. Wealth performed strongly, up $0.9bn, as we continued to execute on our strategy. This included double-digit percentage growth in life insurance, Global Private Banking, investment distribution and asset management. This was partly offset by a reduction in Personal Banking NII of $0.9bn, due to the impact of the disposals in France and Canada mentioned above and margin compression due to lower interest rates, partly offset by balance sheet and non-NII growth.
In Wealth, revenue of $6.7bn was up $0.9bn or 16%.
–Global Private Banking revenue was $0.3bn or 15% higher, driven by a strong performance in brokerage and trading in our entities in Asia.
–Investment distribution revenue grew by $0.2bn, or 12%, driven by higher sales of mutual funds, structured products and bonds due to our continued investment in Wealth and improved market sentiment, notably in our entities in Asia.
–Asset management revenue was $0.1bn or 10% higher, driven by an increase in assets under management due to inflows and positive market movements. This was partly offset by a reduction in revenue due to the sale of our banking business in Canada.
–Life insurance revenue was $0.3bn or 28% higher. The growth included an increase in earnings from contractual service margin (‘CSM’) release, largely due to continued growth in the CSM balance. The year-on-year increase in revenue also included the impact of corrections to historical valuation estimates in 9M23. Insurance manufacturing new business CSM of $2.1bn was 58% higher than in 9M23, mainly in our legal entities in Hong Kong.
In Personal Banking, revenue of $14.6bn was down $0.8bn or 5%.
–Net interest income was $0.9bn or 6% lower due to the impact of the sales in France and Canada and narrower margins. Compared with 9M23, lending balances fell by $14bn due to the sale of our retail banking operations in France, which was a $25bn reduction with $8bn retained in Corporate Centre. Mortgage lending balances rose in HSBC UK and our legal entity in the US. Unsecured lending balances increased, notably in HSBC UK and our legal entities in Asia. Deposit balances fell by $2bn, mainly due to the sale of our retail banking operations in France (down $24bn), partly offset by growth in our main legal entities in Hong Kong and mainland China.
Other revenue decreased by $1.1bn, mainly due to the non-recurrence of a $2.1bn reversal in 9M23 of an impairment relating to the sale of our retail banking operations in France. This was partly offset by a $0.6bn increase in revenue allocated from Markets Treasury, the non-recurrence of a loss on sale of our business in New Zealand in 9M23 of $0.1bn and higher interest income earned on own capital.
ECL were $0.9bn, an increase of $0.2bn compared with 9M23 on a constant currency basis, reflecting higher charges in our legal entity in Mexico, mainly in our unsecured portfolio, due to portfolio growth and unemployment trends.
Operating expenses of $11.2bn were 5% higher on a constant currency basis, reflecting continued investments in Wealth in Asia, higher spend and investment in technology, a higher performance-related pay accrual, and from the impact of inflation. These were partly offset by continued cost discipline and the impact of the disposals in France and Canada.
3Q24 compared with 3Q23
Results – on a constant currency basis
Quarter ended
Variance
3Q24 vs. 3Q23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
7,411
6,584
827
13
(283)
ECL
(450)
(208)
(242)
>(100)
6
Operating expenses
(3,750)
(3,609)
(141)
(4)
212
Share of profit/(loss) from associates and JVs
15
11
4
36
—
Profit before tax
3,226
2,778
448
16
(65)
1 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
23
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Management view of revenue
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
Variance
3Q24 vs. 3Q23
of which strategic transactions3
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Wealth
2,360
1,882
478
25
(72)
– investment distribution
762
681
81
12
(53)
– Global Private Banking
669
581
88
15
—
net interest income
297
299
(2)
(1)
—
non-interest income
372
282
90
32
—
– life insurance
562
299
263
88
—
– asset management
367
321
46
14
(19)
Personal Banking
4,870
5,201
(331)
(6)
(238)
– net interest income
4,519
4,892
(373)
(8)
(210)
– non-interest income
351
309
42
14
(28)
Other1
181
(499)
680
>100
27
– of which: impairment (loss)/reversal relating to the sale of our retail banking operations in France
—
—
—
Net operating income2
7,411
6,584
827
13
(283)
1 ‘Other’ includes Markets Treasury, HSBC Holdings interest expense and hyperinflation. It also includes the distribution and manufacturing (where applicable) of retail and credit protection insurance, disposal gains and other non-product-specific income.
2 ‘Net operating income’ means net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (also referred to as ‘revenue’).
3 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Profit before tax of $3.2bn was $0.4bn higher than in 3Q23 on a constant currency basis, primarily reflecting a strong revenue performance, up $0.8bn on a constant currency basis. This included the adverse impact of strategic transactions of $0.3bn. In Wealth, revenue increased by 25%, with double-digit growth in all products. This was partly offset by a decrease in Personal Banking income of $0.3bn, mainly due to the $0.2bn impact of the disposals in France and Canada. ECL of $0.5bn were $0.2bn higher compared with 3Q23 on a constant currency basis, mainly driven by releases due to improvements in macroeconomic scenarios in 3Q23, primarily in HSBC UK, and portfolio growth in our legal entities in Mexico and Hong Kong. Operating expenses of $3.8bn were $0.1bn or 4% higher on a constant currency basis, mainly due to continued investment in Wealth in Asia, higher spend and investment in technology, and inflationary pressures, which were in part mitigated by continued cost discipline and the impact of the disposals in France and Canada.
24
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Commercial Banking – constant currency basis
Results – on a constant currency basis
Nine months ended
Variance
9M24 vs. 9M23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
16,284
17,378
(1,094)
(6)
(1,932)
ECL
(1,041)
(1,356)
315
23
47
Operating expenses
(5,780)
(5,291)
(489)
(9)
103
Share of profit/(loss) from associates and JVs
1
(1)
2
>100
—
Profit before tax
9,464
10,730
(1,266)
(12)
(1,782)
1 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Management view of revenue
Nine months ended
Variance
9M24 vs. 9M23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions5
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Global Trade Solutions
1,479
1,501
(22)
(1)
(24)
Credit and Lending
3,957
4,005
(48)
(1)
(158)
Global Payments Solutions
8,962
8,988
(26)
—
(115)
GBM products, Insurance and Investments, and Other1
1,886
2,884
(998)
(35)
(1,635)
– of which: share of revenue from Markets and Securities Services and Banking products
1,014
977
37
4
– of which: gain on the acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank UK Limited
—
1,661
(1,661)
(100)
(1,661)
Net operating income2
16,284
17,378
(1,094)
(6)
(1,932)
– of which: transaction banking3
11,177
11,223
(46)
—
RoTE (annualised)4 (%)
21.1
25.8
1 Includes a gain on the acquisition of SVB UK and CMB‘s share of revenue from the sale of Markets and Securities Services (‘MSS‘) and Banking products to CMB customers. GBM‘s share of revenue from the sale of these products to CMB customers is included within the corresponding lines of the GBM management view of revenue. Also includes allocated revenue from Markets Treasury, HSBC Holdings interest expense and hyperinflation.
2 ‘Net operating income’ means net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (also referred to as ‘revenue’).
3 Transaction banking comprises Global Trade Solutions (‘GTS‘), GPS and CMB’s share of Global Foreign Exchange (shown within ‘share of revenue from Markets and Securities Services and Banking products’).
4 RoTE (annualised) in 9M23 included a 4.3 percentage point favourable impact from the provisional gain on the acquisition of SVB UK.
5 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Notable items
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
—
1,593
—
86
Disposal losses on Markets Treasury repositioning
—
(190)
—
(190)
Currency translation on revenue notable items
—
65
—
—
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
2
(30)
—
(15)
Restructuring and other related costs
3
30
—
1
Currency translation on operating expenses notable items
—
—
—
—
9M24 compared with 9M23
Profit before tax of $9.5bn was $1.3bn lower than in 9M23 on a constant currency basis. This was largely due to a reduction in revenue following the non-recurrence of a $1.7bn gain recognised in 9M23 on the acquisition of SVB UK, the impact of the disposal of our banking business in Canada, as well as higher operating expenses. The reduction in profit before tax was partly offset by lower ECL.
Revenue of $16.3bn was $1.1bn or 6% lower on a constant currency basis. This was primarily due to the non-recurrence of a $1.7bn gain recognised in 9M23 on the acquisition of SVB UK. It also included an adverse impact of $0.3bn from strategic transactions, notably in relation to the disposal of our banking business in Canada. These were partly offset by an increase in NII due to the higher interest rate environment, growth in transaction banking fee income and higher revenue from currency volatility in Argentina.
–In GTS, revenue was down $22m or 1%, mainly due to the impact of the disposal of our banking business in Canada, as well as the impacts of the softer trade cycle, which notably resulted in lower revenue in our legal entity in Hong Kong. This was partly offset by growth in transaction banking fee income.
–In Credit and Lending, revenue decreased by $48m or 1%, due to the impact of the disposal of our banking business in Canada and lower balances reflecting muted demand from customers, notably in our legal entities in Asia.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
25
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
–In GPS, revenue was down $26m or 0.3%, reflecting the impact of the disposal of our banking business in Canada, and a decrease in our main legal entities in Asia driven by lower margins. This was partly offset by a 1% increase in fee income resulting from business initiatives, repricing and transaction growth, particularly in international payments. There was also higher revenue in our entity in Argentina due to currency volatility.
–In GBM products, Insurance and Investments, and Other, revenue decreased by $1.0bn, largely due to the non-recurrence of a $1.7bn gain recognised in 9M23 on the acquisition of SVB UK. These adverse impacts were partly offset by higher revenue from Markets Treasury and interest income on own capital and higher GBM collaboration revenue.
ECL charges of $1.0bn were $0.3bn lower than in 9M23 on a constant currency basis. The charge in 9M24 reflected lower charges in our legal entities in Asia and the UK, and lower charges related to the commercial real estate sector in mainland China. These reductions were partly offset by new stage 3 charges in our legal entity in the Middle East.
Operating expenses of $5.8bn were $0.5bn or 9% higher than in 9M23 on a constant currency basis. The increase reflected currency volatility in Argentina, incremental costs in IVB following the acquisition of SVB UK, higher spend and investment in technology, and inflationary impacts. These increases were in part mitigated by continued cost discipline and the impact of the sale of our banking business in Canada.
3Q24 compared with 3Q23
Quarter ended
Variance
3Q24 vs. 3Q23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
5,388
5,292
96
2
(311)
ECL
(468)
(662)
194
29
14
Operating expenses
(1,919)
(1,833)
(86)
(5)
88
Share of profit/(loss) from associates and JVs
—
—
—
—
—
Profit before tax
3,001
2,797
204
7
(209)
1 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Management view of revenue
Quarter ended
Variance
3Q24 vs. 3Q23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions4
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Global Trade Solutions
509
505
4
1
(13)
Credit and Lending
1,306
1,311
(5)
—
(117)
Global Payments Solutions
2,946
3,131
(185)
(6)
(83)
GBM products, Insurance and Investments, and Other1
627
345
282
82
(98)
– of which: share of revenue from Markets and Securities Services and Banking products
338
323
15
5
– of which: gain on the acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank UK Limited
—
89
(89)
(100)
(89)
Net operating income2
5,388
5,292
96
2
(311)
– of which: transaction banking3
3,710
3,881
(171)
(4)
1 Includes a gain on the acquisition of SVB UK and CMB‘s share of revenue from the sale of MSS and Banking products to CMB customers. GBM‘s share of revenue from the sale of these products to CMB customers is included within the corresponding lines of the GBM management view of revenue. Also includes allocated revenue from Markets Treasury, HSBC Holdings interest expense and hyperinflation.
2 ‘Net operating income’ means net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (also referred to as ‘revenue’).
3 Transaction banking comprises GTS, GPS and CMB’s share of Global Foreign Exchange (shown within ‘share of revenue from Markets and Securities Services and Banking products’).
4 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Profit before tax of $3.0bn was $0.2bn or 7% higher than in 3Q23 on a constant currency basis, primarily due to lower ECL charges relating to the commercial real estate sector in mainland China. Revenue increased by $0.1bn on a constant currency basis, mainly driven by growth in transaction banking fees, an increase in Markets Treasury income and from currency volatility in Argentina. This was partly offset by a reduction in revenue due to the sale of our banking business in Canada and lower GPS revenue reflecting lower margins. Operating expenses were $0.1bn higher on a constant currency basis, mainly driven by higher spend and investment in technology, currency volatility in Argentina and inflationary impacts, partly offset by continued cost discipline and the impact of the sale of our banking business in Canada.
26
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Global Banking and Markets – constant currency basis
Results – on a constant currency basis
Nine months ended
Variance
9M24 vs. 9M23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
13,154
12,154
1,000
8
(105)
ECL
(58)
(304)
246
81
(6)
Operating expenses
(7,434)
(7,180)
(254)
(4)
47
Share of profit/(loss) from associates and JVs
—
—
—
—
—
Profit before tax
5,662
4,670
992
21
(64)
1 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Management view of revenue
Nine months ended
Variance
9M24 vs. 9M23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions6
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Markets and Securities Services
7,272
6,762
510
8
(36)
– Securities Services
1,700
1,748
(48)
(3)
—
– Global Debt Markets
813
750
63
8
(7)
– Global Foreign Exchange
3,028
3,076
(48)
(2)
(25)
– Equities
718
404
314
78
(1)
– Securities Financing
1,047
816
231
28
(3)
– Credit and funding valuation adjustments
(34)
(32)
(2)
(6)
(1)
Banking
6,471
6,374
97
2
(82)
– Global Trade Solutions
522
496
26
5
(8)
– Global Payments Solutions
3,364
3,287
77
2
(47)
– Credit and Lending
1,354
1,489
(135)
(9)
(11)
– Investment Banking1
819
817
2
—
(5)
– Other2
412
285
127
45
(11)
GBM Other
(589)
(982)
393
40
13
– Principal Investments
67
14
53
>100
—
– Other3
(656)
(996)
340
34
13
Net operating income4
13,154
12,154
1,000
8
(105)
– of which: transaction banking5
8,614
8,607
7
—
RoTE (annualised) (%)
13.8
12.9
1 From 1 January 2024, we renamed ‘Capital Markets and Advisory‘ as ‘Investment Banking‘ to better reflect our purpose and offering.
2 Includes portfolio management, earnings on capital and other capital allocations on all Banking products.
3 Includes notional tax credits and Markets Treasury, HSBC Holdings interest expense and hyperinflation.
4 ‘Net operating income’ means net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (also referred to as ‘revenue’).
5 Transaction banking comprises Securities Services, Global Foreign Exchange (net of revenue shared with CMB), GTS and GPS.
6 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Notable items
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
(14)
—
—
—
Disposal losses on Markets Treasury repositioning
—
(135)
—
(135)
Currency translation on revenue notable items
—
(2)
—
(2)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
—
3
—
—
Restructuring and other related costs
3
4
—
4
Currency translation on operating expenses notable items
—
—
—
—
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
27
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
9M24 compared with 9M23
Profit before tax of $5.7bn was $1.0bn or 21% higher than in 9M23 on a constant currency basis. This was driven by an increase in revenue of $1.0bn or 8%, notably from strong performances in Equities and Securities Financing. In addition, ECL charges decreased compared with 9M23, while operating expenses increased by $0.3bn.
Revenue of $13.2bn was $1.0bn or 8% higher on a constant currency basis.
In Markets and Securities Services (‘MSS‘), revenue increased by $0.5bn or 8%.
–In Securities Services, revenue decreased by $48m or 3% from divestments within our fund administration business.
–In Global Debt Markets, revenue rose by $63m or 8%, driven by emerging markets credit and structured financing as well as higher volumes in primary markets.
–In Global Foreign Exchange, revenue fell by $48m or 2% compared with a strong performance in 9M23, due to continued market volatility offset by margin compression.
–In Equities, revenue increased by $0.3bn or 78% reflecting increased client activity supported by market conditions versus a comparatively weak 9M23.
–In Securities Financing, revenue rose by $0.2bn or 28%, driven by onboarding of US Prime clients and strong demand in institutional financing.
In Banking, revenue increased by $0.1bn or 2%.
–In GPS, revenue increased by $0.1bn or 2%, driven by wider spreads and fee performance resulting from business initiatives, repricing and transaction growth.
–In Credit and Lending, revenue decreased by $0.1bn or 9% reflecting continued muted client demand.
In GBM Other, revenue increased by $0.4bn or 40% reflecting higher Markets Treasury revenue and valuation gains in Principal Investments.
ECL of $0.1bn in 9M24 decreased by $0.2bn compared with charges of $0.3bn in 9M23 on a constant currency basis. The 9M24 period included a release related to a single client.
Operating expenses of $7.4bn increased by $0.3bn or 4% on a constant currency basis, due to the impact of inflation and higher spend and investment in technology, partly mitigated by continued cost discipline.
3Q24 compared with 3Q23
Results – on a constant currency basis
Quarter ended
Variance
3Q24 vs. 3Q23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
4,412
3,833
579
15
(54)
ECL
(47)
(168)
121
72
(1)
Operating expenses
(2,516)
(2,404)
(112)
(5)
23
Share of profit/(loss) from associates and JVs
—
—
—
—
—
Profit before tax
1,849
1,261
588
47
(32)
1 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
28
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Management view of revenue
Quarter ended
Variance
3Q24 vs. 3Q23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions6
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Markets and Securities Services
2,448
2,134
314
15
(20)
– Securities Services
564
605
(41)
(7)
—
– Global Debt Markets
259
159
100
63
(5)
– Global Foreign Exchange
1,060
909
151
17
(13)
– Equities
272
169
103
61
(1)
– Securities Financing
316
304
12
4
(2)
– Credit and funding valuation adjustments
(23)
(12)
(11)
(92)
—
Banking
2,171
2,144
27
1
(43)
– Global Trade Solutions
175
162
13
8
(4)
– Global Payments Solutions
1,118
1,114
4
—
(24)
– Credit and Lending
466
508
(42)
(8)
(5)
– Investment Banking1
275
256
19
7
(2)
– Other2
137
104
33
32
(8)
GBM Other
(207)
(445)
238
53
9
– Principal Investments
38
1
37
>100
—
– Other3
(245)
(446)
201
45
9
Net operating income4
4,412
3,833
579
15
(54)
– of which: transaction banking5
2,917
2,790
127
5
1 From 1 January 2024, we renamed ‘Capital Markets and Advisory‘ as ‘Investment Banking‘ to better reflect our purpose and offering.
2 Includes portfolio management, earnings on capital and other capital allocations on all Banking products.
3 Includes notional tax credits and Markets Treasury, HSBC Holdings interest expense and hyperinflation.
4 ‘Net operating income’ means net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (also referred to as ‘revenue’).
5 Transaction banking comprises Securities Services, Global Foreign Exchange (net of revenue shared with CMB), GTS and GPS.
6 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Profit before tax of $1.8bn was $0.6bn or 47% higher than in 3Q23 on a constant currency basis. Revenue was $0.6bn or 15% higher on a constant currency basis, mainly from growth in Global Foreign Exchange as client-driven transactions remained elevated across Cash FX and Emerging Markets Rates. Global Debt Markets also increased, from strong primary issuances driving client flow across developed and emerging markets, as well as higher revenue from secondary trading, and Equities revenue grew due to higher client activity in Asia wealth products. In addition, there was higher revenue allocated from Markets Treasury. These were partly offset by a decrease in Credit and Lending due to repayments as clients accessed attractive capital markets financing. ECL of $0.1bn were 72% lower than in 3Q23 on a constant currency basis. Operating expenses were $0.1bn or 5% higher on a constant currency basis, due to the impact of inflation and higher spend and investment in technology, partly offset by continued cost discipline.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
29
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Corporate Centre – constant currency basis
Results – on a constant currency basis
Nine months ended
Variance
9M24 vs. 9M23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2024
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
3,129
179
2,950
>100
3,731
ECL
(27)
(3)
(24)
>(100)
—
Operating expenses
(69)
33
(102)
>(100)
(7)
Share of profit from associates and JVs less impairment
2,189
2,083
106
5
—
Profit before tax
5,222
2,292
2,930
>100
3,723
1 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Management view of revenue
Nine months ended
Variance
9M24 vs. 9M23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions6
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Central Treasury1
42
97
(55)
(57)
—
Legacy portfolios
23
(3)
26
>100
—
Other2,3
3,064
85
2,979
>100
3,731
– of which: gain on the sale of our banking business in Canada and associated hedges4
4,795
(74)
4,869
>100
4,869
– of which: impairment loss relating to the planned sale of our business in Argentina
(1,151)
—
(1,151)
(100)
(1,151)
Net operating income5
3,129
179
2,950
>100
3,731
RoTE (annualised) (%)
14.4
7.3
1 Central Treasury comprises valuation differences on issued long-term debt and associated swaps and fair value movements on financial instruments.
2 Other comprises gains and losses on certain planned disposals, funding charges on property and technology assets, the results of the retained retail loan portfolio in France, revaluation gains and losses on investment properties and property disposals, as well as consolidation adjustments and other revenue items not allocated to global businesses.
3 Revenue from Markets Treasury, HSBC Holdings net interest expense and hyperinflation are allocated out to the global businesses, to align them better with their revenue and expense. The total Markets Treasury revenue component of this allocation for 9M24 was $1,199m (9M23: $(184)m). 9M24 included a loss of $0.1bn from Treasury repositioning and risk management actions.
4 Includes fair value gains/(losses) on the foreign exchange hedging of the proceeds of the sale and the recycling of reserves.
5 ‘Net operating income’ means net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (also referred to as ‘revenue’).
6 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Notable items
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs1
3,602
4
72
224
Fair value movements on financial instruments2
—
15
—
—
Early redemption of legacy securities
(283)
(283)
Currency translation on revenue notable items
—
12
—
10
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
(151)
(144)
(48)
(61)
Restructuring and other related costs
11
27
2
9
Currency translation on operating expenses notable items
—
—
—
—
1 Includes fair value movements on the foreign exchange hedging of the proceeds of the sale of our banking business in Canada and recycling of reserves and the loss on classification to held for sale of our banking business in Argentina.
2 Fair value movements on non-qualifying hedges in HSBC Holdings.
30
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
9M24 compared with 9M23
Profit before tax of $5.2bn was $2.9bn higher than in 9M23 on a constant currency basis, primarily reflecting the impact of certain acquisitions and disposals, including the gain on the sale of our banking business in Canada and an impairment relating to the planned disposal of our business in Argentina.
Revenue of $3.1bn was $3.0bn higher on a constant currency basis, primarily due to the impact of notable items. In 9M24, these included a $4.8bn gain on the sale of our banking business in Canada, inclusive of fair value gains on related hedging and recycling of related reserves. These were partly offset by a $1.2bn impairment recognised following the classification of our business in Argentina as held for sale, and a loss of $0.1bn related to the recycling of reserves following the completion of the sale of our business in Russia. In addition, 9M24 also included a $0.3bn loss on the early redemption of legacy securities. In 9M23, notable items included a favourable $0.1bn impact following the reversal of an impairment related to the sale of our retail banking operations in France. The increase in revenue was partly offset by adverse fair value movements on financial instruments in Central Treasury and structural hedges, a reduction following the transfer of the retained French retail portfolio from WPB, revaluation losses on investment properties in Hong Kong and an impairment of $0.1bn following the classification of our operations in Armenia to held for sale.
Operating expenses increased by $0.1bn on a constant currency basis. This included the impact of levies, as well as restructuring and other related costs.
Share of profit from associates and joint ventures of $2.2bn increased by $0.1bn or 5% on a constant currency basis, which included an increase in share of profit from SAB.
3Q24 compared with 3Q23
Results – on a constant currency basis
Quarter ended
Variance
3Q24 vs. 3Q23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions1
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Revenue
(213)
178
(391)
>(100)
(159)
ECL
(21)
—
(21)
—
—
Operating expenses
42
23
19
83
13
Share of profit/(loss) from associates and JVs less impairment
592
587
5
1
—
Profit before tax
400
788
(388)
(49)
(145)
1 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Management view of revenue
Quarter ended
Variance
3Q24 vs. 3Q23
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
of which strategic transactions6
$m
$m
$m
%
$m
Central Treasury1
68
17
51
>100
—
Legacy portfolios
9
8
1
13
—
Other2,3
(290)
153
(443)
>(100)
(159)
– of which: gain on the sale of our banking business in Canada and associated hedges4
—
214
(214)
(100)
(214)
– of which: impairment loss relating to the planned sale of our business in Argentina
31
—
31
>100
31
Net operating income5
(213)
178
(391)
>(100)
(159)
1 Central Treasury comprises valuation differences on issued long-term debt and associated swaps and fair value movements on financial instruments.
2 Other comprises gains and losses on certain planned disposals, funding charges on property and technology assets, the results of the retained retail loan portfolio in France, revaluation gains and losses on investment properties and property disposals, as well as consolidation adjustments and other revenue items not allocated to global businesses.
3 Revenue from Markets Treasury, HSBC Holdings net interest expense and hyperinflation are allocated out to the global businesses, to align them better with their revenue and expense. The total Markets Treasury revenue component of this allocation for 3Q24 was $313m (3Q23: $(546)m). 3Q24 included a loss of $0.1bn from Treasury repositioning and risk management actions.
4 Includes fair value gains/(losses) on the foreign exchange hedging of the proceeds of the sale and the recycling of reserves.
5 ‘Net operating income’ means net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (also referred to as ‘revenue’).
6 Impact of strategic transactions classified as material notable items. For further details, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
Profit before tax of $0.4bn was $0.4bn or 49% lower than in 3Q23 on a constant currency basis, primarily due to a reduction in revenue. This was mainly due to a $0.3bn loss on the early redemption of legacy securities, as well as the non-recurrence of fair value gains of $0.2bn in 3Q23 relating to the foreign exchange hedging of the proceeds from the sale of our banking business in Canada. Lower revenue also reflected a reduction following the transfer of the retained France retail portfolio from WPB. The reduction in revenue was partly offset by favourable fair value movements on structural hedges, the reduction in the impairment related to the planned sale of our business in Argentina and the non-recurrence of losses following the merger of HSBC Bank Oman with Sohar International.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
31
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Supplementary financial information
Reported and constant currency results
Reported and constant currency results1
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue2
Reported
54,290
53,037
16,998
16,540
16,161
Currency translation
(648)
116
(274)
Constant currency
54,290
52,389
16,998
16,656
15,887
Change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges
Reported
(2,052)
(2,416)
(986)
(346)
(1,071)
Currency translation
61
20
33
Constant currency
(2,052)
(2,355)
(986)
(326)
(1,038)
Operating expenses
Reported
(24,439)
(23,425)
(8,143)
(8,145)
(7,968)
Currency translation
358
(69)
145
Constant currency
(24,439)
(23,067)
(8,143)
(8,214)
(7,823)
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
Reported
2,233
2,175
607
857
592
Currency translation
(47)
6
6
Constant currency
2,233
2,128
607
863
598
Profit before tax
Reported
30,032
29,371
8,476
8,906
7,714
Currency translation
(276)
73
(90)
Constant currency
30,032
29,095
8,476
8,979
7,624
Profit after tax
Reported
24,414
24,337
6,749
6,828
6,266
Currency translation
(131)
53
(16)
Constant currency
24,414
24,206
6,749
6,881
6,250
Loans and advances to customers (net)
Reported
968,653
935,750
968,653
938,257
935,750
Currency translation
39,391
28,254
39,391
Constant currency
968,653
975,141
968,653
966,511
975,141
Customer accounts
Reported
1,660,715
1,563,127
1,660,715
1,593,834
1,563,127
Currency translation
61,945
47,020
61,945
Constant currency
1,660,715
1,625,072
1,660,715
1,640,854
1,625,072
1 In the current period, constant currency results are equal to reported as there is no currency translation.
2 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
32
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Notable items
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs1,2,3,4
3,643
3,631
72
(161)
310
Fair value movements on financial instruments5
—
15
—
—
—
Disposal losses on Markets Treasury repositioning
—
(578)
—
—
(578)
Early redemption of legacy securities
(283)
—
(283)
—
—
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
(149)
(197)
(48)
(38)
(79)
Restructuring and other related costs6
22
77
3
6
30
Tax
Tax (charge)/credit on notable items
94
(374)
81
6
127
Uncertain tax positions
—
427
—
—
—
1 Includes the impacts of the sale of our retail banking operations in France.
2 Includes a gain of $1.6bn recognised in respect of the acquisition of SVB UK.
3 Includes a $4.8bn gain on disposal of our banking business in Canada, inclusive of a $0.3bn gain on the foreign exchange hedging of the sale proceeds, the recycling of $0.6bn in foreign currency translation reserve losses and $0.4bn of other reserves recycling losses. This is partly offset by a $1.2bn impairment recognised in relation to the planned sale of our business in Argentina.
4 Includes fair value movements on the foreign exchange hedging of the proceeds from the sale of our banking business in Canada.
5 Fair value movements on non-qualifying hedges in HSBC Holdings.
6 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
Global businesses
Supplementary analysis of constant currency results and notable items by global business
Global business results - on a constant currency basis1
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2024
Wealth and
Personal
Banking2
Commercial
Banking
Global
Banking and
Markets
Corporate
Centre2
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue3
21,723
16,284
13,154
3,129
54,290
ECL
(926)
(1,041)
(58)
(27)
(2,052)
Operating expenses
(11,156)
(5,780)
(7,434)
(69)
(24,439)
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
43
1
—
2,189
2,233
Profit before tax
9,684
9,464
5,662
5,222
30,032
Loans and advances to customers (net)
463,324
322,090
175,439
7,800
968,653
Customer accounts
830,785
487,484
342,072
374
1,660,715
1 In the current period, constant currency results are equal to reported, as there is no currency translation.
2 On 1 January 2024, HSBC Continental Europe completed the sale of its retail banking operations in France to CCF, a subsidiary of Promontoria MMB SAS (‘My Money Group’). With effect from this date, we have prospectively reclassified the portfolio of retained loans, profit participation interest and licence agreement of the CCF brand from WPB to Corporate Centre.
3 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
Notable items
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2024
Wealth and Personal Banking
Commercial Banking
Global Banking and Markets
Corporate Centre
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs1
55
—
(14)
3,602
3,643
Early redemption of legacy securities
—
—
—
(283)
(283)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
—
2
—
(151)
(149)
Restructuring and other related costs2
5
3
3
11
22
1 Includes a $4.8bn gain on disposal of our banking business in Canada, inclusive of a $0.3bn gain on the foreign exchange hedging of the sale proceeds, the recycling of $0.6bn in foreign currency translation reserve losses and $0.4bn of other reserves recycling losses. This is partly offset by a $1.2bn impairment recognised in relation to the planned sale of our business in Argentina.
2 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
33
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Global business results - on a constant currency basis (continued)
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2023
Wealth and Personal Banking
Commercial
Banking
Global
Banking and
Markets
Corporate Centre
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue1
Reported
22,919
17,640
12,388
90
53,037
Currency translation
(241)
(262)
(234)
89
(648)
Constant currency
22,678
17,378
12,154
179
52,389
ECL
Reported
(738)
(1,372)
(302)
(4)
(2,416)
Currency translation
46
16
(2)
1
61
Constant currency
(692)
(1,356)
(304)
(3)
(2,355)
Operating expenses
Reported
(10,858)
(5,480)
(7,182)
95
(23,425)
Currency translation
229
189
2
(62)
358
Constant currency
(10,629)
(5,291)
(7,180)
33
(23,067)
Share of profit/(loss) in associates and joint ventures
Reported
46
(1)
—
2,130
2,175
Currency translation
—
—
—
(47)
(47)
Constant currency
46
(1)
—
2,083
2,128
Profit before tax
Reported
11,369
10,787
4,904
2,311
29,371
Currency translation
34
(57)
(234)
(19)
(276)
Constant currency
11,403
10,730
4,670
2,292
29,095
Loans and advances to customers (net)
Reported
455,354
307,048
173,064
284
935,750
Currency translation
21,973
11,183
6,225
10
39,391
Constant currency
477,327
318,231
179,289
294
975,141
Customer accounts
Reported
792,928
459,945
309,785
469
1,563,127
Currency translation
29,913
17,348
14,650
34
61,945
Constant currency
822,841
477,293
324,435
503
1,625,072
1 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
Notable items (continued)
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2023
Wealth and Personal Banking
Commercial Banking
Global Banking and Markets
Corporate Centre
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs1,2,3
2,034
1,593
—
4
3,631
Fair value movements on financial instruments4
—
—
—
15
15
Disposal losses on Markets Treasury repositioning
(253)
(190)
(135)
—
(578)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
(26)
(30)
3
(144)
(197)
Restructuring and other related costs5
16
30
4
27
77
1 Includes the reversal of a $2.1bn impairment loss relating to the sale of our retail banking operations in France.
2 Includes the gain of $1.6bn recognised in respect of the acquisition of SVB UK.
3 Includes fair value movements on the foreign exchange hedging of the proceeds from the sale of our banking business in Canada.
4 Fair value movements on non-qualifying hedges in HSBC Holdings.
5 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
34
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Global business results - on a constant currency basis (continued)1
Quarter ended 30 Sep 2024
Wealth and Personal Banking2
Commercial
Banking
Global Banking and Markets
Corporate
Centre2
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue3
7,411
5,388
4,412
(213)
16,998
ECL
(450)
(468)
(47)
(21)
(986)
Operating expenses
(3,750)
(1,919)
(2,516)
42
(8,143)
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
15
—
—
592
607
Profit before tax
3,226
3,001
1,849
400
8,476
Loans and advances to customers (net)
463,324
322,090
175,439
7,800
968,653
Customer accounts
830,785
487,484
342,072
374
1,660,715
1 In the current period, constant currency results are equal to reported as there is no currency translation.
2 On 1 January 2024, HSBC Continental Europe completed the sale of its retail banking operations in France to CCF, a subsidiary of Promontoria MMB SAS (‘My Money Group’). With effect from this date, we have prospectively reclassified the portfolio of retained loans, profit participation interest and licence agreement of the CCF brand from WPB to Corporate Centre.
3 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
Notable items (continued)
Quarter ended 30 Sep 2024
Wealth and Personal Banking
Commercial Banking
Global Banking and Markets
Corporate Centre
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
—
—
—
72
72
Early redemption of legacy securities
—
—
—
(283)
(283)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
—
—
—
(48)
(48)
Restructuring and other related costs1
1
—
—
2
3
1 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
Global business results - on a constant currency basis (continued)
Quarter ended 30 Jun 2024
Wealth and
Personal
Banking2
Commercial
Banking
Global
Banking and
Markets
Corporate
Centre2
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue1
Reported
7,148
5,364
4,287
(259)
16,540
Currency translation
14
42
46
14
116
Constant currency
7,162
5,406
4,333
(245)
16,656
ECL
Reported
(175)
(193)
22
—
(346)
Currency translation
21
(4)
3
—
20
Constant currency
(154)
(197)
25
—
(326)
Operating expenses
Reported
(3,711)
(1,989)
(2,521)
76
(8,145)
Currency translation
(8)
(10)
(33)
(18)
(69)
Constant currency
(3,719)
(1,999)
(2,554)
58
(8,214)
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
Reported
15
1
—
841
857
Currency translation
—
(1)
—
7
6
Constant currency
15
—
—
848
863
Profit before tax
Reported
3,277
3,183
1,788
658
8,906
Currency translation
27
27
16
3
73
Constant currency
3,304
3,210
1,804
661
8,979
Loans and advances to customers (net)
Reported
445,882
310,356
174,376
7,643
938,257
Currency translation
14,279
8,838
4,824
313
28,254
Constant currency
460,161
319,194
179,200
7,956
966,511
Customer accounts
Reported
794,807
467,362
331,269
396
1,593,834
Currency translation
21,334
13,740
11,929
17
47,020
Constant currency
816,141
481,102
343,198
413
1,640,854
1 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
2 On 1 January 2024, HSBC Continental Europe completed the sale of its retail banking operations in France to CCF, a subsidiary of Promontoria MMB SAS (‘My Money Group’). With effect from this date, we have prospectively reclassified the portfolio of retained loans, profit participation interest and licence agreement of the CCF brand from WPB to Corporate Centre.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
35
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Notable items (continued)
Quarter ended 30 Jun 2024
Wealth and Personal Banking
Commercial Banking
Global Banking and Markets
Corporate Centre
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
2
—
(14)
(149)
(161)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
1
3
—
(42)
(38)
Restructuring and other related costs1
2
2
1
1
6
1 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
Global business results - on a constant currency basis (continued)
Quarter ended 30 Sep 2023
Wealth and Personal Banking
Commercial
Banking
Global
Banking and
Markets
Corporate Centre
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue1
Reported
6,719
5,424
3,887
131
16,161
Currency translation
(135)
(132)
(54)
47
(274)
Constant currency
6,584
5,292
3,833
178
15,887
ECL
Reported
(236)
(668)
(166)
(1)
(1,071)
Currency translation
28
6
(2)
1
33
Constant currency
(208)
(662)
(168)
—
(1,038)
Operating expenses
Reported
(3,717)
(1,908)
(2,397)
54
(7,968)
Currency translation
108
75
(7)
(31)
145
Constant currency
(3,609)
(1,833)
(2,404)
23
(7,823)
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
Reported
11
—
—
581
592
Currency translation
—
—
—
6
6
Constant currency
11
—
—
587
598
Profit before tax
Reported
2,777
2,848
1,324
765
7,714
Currency translation
1
(51)
(63)
23
(90)
Constant currency
2,778
2,797
1,261
788
7,624
Loans and advances to customers (net)
Reported
455,354
307,048
173,064
284
935,750
Currency translation
21,973
11,183
6,225
10
39,391
Constant currency
477,327
318,231
179,289
294
975,141
Customer accounts
Reported
792,928
459,945
309,785
469
1,563,127
Currency translation
29,913
17,348
14,650
34
61,945
Constant currency
822,841
477,293
324,435
503
1,625,072
1 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
Notable items (continued)
Quarter ended 30 Sep 2023
Wealth and Personal Banking
Commercial Banking
Global Banking and Markets
Corporate Centre
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs1
—
86
—
224
310
Disposal losses on Markets Treasury repositioning
(253)
(190)
(135)
—
(578)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
(3)
(15)
—
(61)
(79)
Restructuring and other related costs2
16
1
4
9
30
1 Includes fair value movements on the foreign exchange hedging of the proceeds from the sale of our banking business in Canada.
2 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
36
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Reconciliation of reported risk-weighted assets to constant currency risk-weighted assets
The following table reconciles reported and constant currency RWAs.
Reconciliation of reported risk-weighted assets to constant currency risk-weighted assets
At 30 Sep 2024
Wealth and Personal Banking
Commercial
Banking
Global
Banking and Markets
Corporate Centre
Total
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
Risk-weighted assets
Reported
191.7
348.6
232.2
91.4
863.9
Constant currency
191.7
348.6
232.2
91.4
863.9
At 30 Jun 2024
Risk-weighted assets
Reported
182.5
335.7
225.1
91.8
835.1
Currency translation
3.6
8.4
4.0
0.9
16.9
Constant currency
186.1
344.1
229.1
92.7
852.0
At 31 Mar 2024
Risk-weighted assets
Reported
182.2
337.8
222.7
89.9
832.6
Currency translation
2.2
5.9
3.4
0.8
12.3
Constant currency
184.4
343.7
226.1
90.7
844.9
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
37
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Strategic transactions supplementary analysis
The following table presents the selected impacts of strategic transactions to the Group and our global business segments. These comprise the strategic transactions where the financial impacts of the acquisition or disposal have qualified for material notable item treatment in our results. Material notable items are a subset of notable items and categorisation is dependent on the nature of each item in conjunction with the financial impact on the Group’s income statement. At 9M24, the disclosure includes the impacts from the disposals of our retail banking operations in France and our banking business in Canada, the planned sale of our business in Argentina and the acquisition of SVB UK. The impacts quoted include those arising on the classification to held for sale, on disposal or on acquisition, and all other related notable items. Once a transaction has completed, the impact will also include the operating income statement results of each business, which are not classified as notable items, in any period for which there are no results in the comparative period. We consider the monthly impact of distorting income statement results when calculating the impact of strategic transactions.
Constant currency results
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2024
Wealth and Personal Banking
Commercial
Banking
Global
Banking and
Markets
Corporate Centre
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
54
179
—
3,752
3,985
ECL
—
(3)
—
—
(3)
Operating expenses
(7)
(76)
—
(151)
(234)
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
—
—
—
—
—
Profit before tax
47
100
—
3,601
3,748
– HSBC Innovation Banking1
100
—
100
– Retail banking operations in France
47
(2)
45
– Banking business in Canada
4,772
4,772
– Business in Argentina
(1,169)
(1,169)
of which: notable items
Revenue
55
—
—
3,752
3,807
Profit before tax
54
3
—
3,601
3,658
of which: distorting impact of operating results between periods
Revenue
(1)
179
—
—
178
Profit/(loss) before tax
(7)
97
—
—
90
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2023
Revenue
2,725
2,111
105
22
4,963
ECL
(11)
(50)
6
—
(55)
Operating expenses
(581)
(179)
(47)
(144)
(951)
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
—
—
—
—
—
Profit/(loss) before tax
2,133
1,882
64
(122)
3,957
– HSBC Innovation Banking1
1,604
—
1,604
– Retail banking operations in France
1,968
33
2,001
– Banking business in Canada
165
278
64
(155)
352
– Business in Argentina
—
of which: notable items
Revenue
2,058
1,661
—
22
3,741
Profit before tax
2,031
1,634
—
(122)
3,543
of which: distorting impact of operating results between periods
Revenue
667
450
105
—
1,222
Profit before tax
102
248
64
—
414
1 Includes the impact of our acquisition of SVB UK, which in June 2023 changed its legal entity name to HSBC Innovation Bank Limited.
38
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Constant currency results
Quarter ended 30 Sep 2024
Wealth and Personal Banking
Commercial
Banking
Global
Banking and
Markets
Corporate Centre
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
—
—
—
73
73
ECL
—
—
—
—
—
Operating expenses
—
—
—
(48)
(48)
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
—
—
—
—
—
Profit before tax
—
—
—
25
25
– HSBC Innovation Banking1
—
—
—
– Retail banking operations in France
—
2
2
– Banking business in Canada
(1)
(1)
– Business in Argentina
24
24
of which: notable items
Revenue
—
—
—
73
73
Profit before tax
—
—
—
25
25
of which: distorting impact of operating results between periods
Revenue
—
—
—
—
—
Profit/(loss) before tax
—
—
—
—
—
Quarter ended 30 Jun 2024
Revenue
3
—
—
(6)
(3)
ECL
—
—
—
—
—
Operating expenses
(1)
3
—
(42)
(40)
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
—
—
—
—
—
Profit/(loss) before tax
2
3
—
(48)
(43)
– HSBC Innovation Banking1
3
—
3
– Retail banking operations in France
2
(3)
(1)
– Banking business in Canada
9
9
– Business in Argentina
(55)
(55)
of which: notable items
Revenue
2
—
—
(6)
(4)
Profit/(loss) before tax
3
3
—
(48)
(42)
of which: distorting impact of operating results between periods
Revenue
1
—
—
—
1
Profit/(loss) before tax
(1)
—
—
—
(1)
Quarter ended 30 Sep 2023
Revenue
283
311
54
231
879
ECL
(6)
(14)
1
—
(19)
Operating expenses
(212)
(88)
(23)
(61)
(384)
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
—
—
—
—
—
Profit before tax
65
209
32
170
476
– HSBC Innovation Banking1
74
—
74
– Retail banking operations in France
(12)
(21)
(33)
– Banking business in Canada
77
135
32
191
435
– Business in Argentina
—
of which: notable items
Revenue
—
89
—
231
320
Profit before tax
(2)
74
—
170
242
of which: distorting impact of operating results between periods
Revenue
283
222
54
—
559
Profit before tax
67
135
32
—
234
1 Includes the impact of our acquisition of SVB UK, which in June 2023 changed its legal entity name to HSBC Innovation Bank Limited.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
39
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Legal entities
Supplementary analysis of constant currency results and notable items by legal entity
Legal entity results - on a constant currency basis1
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2024
HSBC UK Bank plc
HSBC Bank plc
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities2
Holding
companies,
shared
service
centres and
intra-Group
eliminations
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue3
9,489
7,169
25,729
1,882
3,036
462
2,744
2,561
1,218
54,290
ECL
(235)
63
(991)
(134)
(52)
(40)
(599)
(71)
7
(2,052)
Operating expenses
(3,699)
(4,814)
(10,470)
(881)
(2,538)
(236)
(1,475)
(1,480)
1,154
(24,439)
Share of profit/(loss) in associates and joint ventures
—
19
1,737
—
—
—
12
467
(2)
2,233
Profit before tax
5,555
2,437
16,005
867
446
186
682
1,477
2,377
30,032
Loans and advances to customers (net)
289,424
112,275
460,717
20,697
56,382
—
24,412
4,745
1
968,653
Customer accounts
357,874
298,583
835,925
33,543
98,379
—
26,655
9,731
25
1,660,715
1 In the current period, constant currency results are equal to reported, as there is no currency translation.
2 Other trading entities includes the results of entities located in Türkiye, Egypt and Saudi Arabia (including our share of the results of SAB) which do not consolidate into HSBC Bank Middle East Limited. These entities had an aggregated impact on Group reported profit before tax of $1,093m. Supplementary analysis is provided on page 45 to give a fuller picture of the MENAT regional performance.
3 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
Notable items
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2024
HSBC UK Bank plc
HSBC Bank plc
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities
Holding
companies,
shared
service
centres and
intra-Group
eliminations
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs1
—
(128)
—
—
—
—
—
(6)
3,777
3,643
Early redemption of legacy securities
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
(283)
(283)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
3
(5)
—
—
(21)
(36)
—
(31)
(59)
(149)
Restructuring and other related costs2
5
11
—
2
—
—
—
—
4
22
1 Includes a $4.8bn gain on disposal of our banking business in Canada, inclusive of a $0.3bn gain on the foreign exchange hedging of the sale proceeds, the recycling of $0.6bn in foreign currency translation reserve losses and $0.4bn of other reserves recycling losses. This is partly offset by a $1.2bn impairment recognised in relation to the planned sale of our business in Argentina.
2 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
40
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Legal entity results - on a constant currency basis (continued)
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2023
HSBC UK Bank Plc
HSBC Bank Plc
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities1
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-group eliminations
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue2
Reported
10,397
9,146
24,253
1,836
3,136
1,501
2,427
3,288
(2,947)
53,037
Currency translation
290
129
(124)
1
1
(17)
8
(1,008)
72
(648)
Constant currency
10,687
9,275
24,129
1,837
3,137
1,484
2,435
2,280
(2,875)
52,389
ECL
Reported
(476)
(153)
(1,204)
(6)
(47)
(31)
(422)
(107)
30
(2,416)
Currency translation
(10)
(2)
1
—
—
1
—
73
(2)
61
Constant currency
(486)
(155)
(1,203)
(6)
(47)
(30)
(422)
(34)
28
(2,355)
Operating expenses
Reported
(3,352)
(4,536)
(9,875)
(807)
(2,203)
(775)
(1,356)
(1,836)
1,315
(23,425)
Currency translation
(83)
(66)
49
—
—
9
(4)
524
(71)
358
Constant currency
(3,435)
(4,602)
(9,826)
(807)
(2,203)
(766)
(1,360)
(1,312)
1,244
(23,067)
Share of profit/(loss) in associates and joint ventures
Reported
—
(52)
1,826
—
—
—
9
395
(3)
2,175
Currency translation
—
(1)
(46)
—
—
—
—
—
—
(47)
Constant currency
—
(53)
1,780
—
—
—
9
395
(3)
2,128
Profit/(loss) before tax
Reported
6,569
4,405
15,000
1,023
886
695
658
1,740
(1,605)
29,371
Currency translation
197
60
(120)
1
1
(7)
4
(411)
(1)
(276)
Constant currency
6,766
4,465
14,880
1,024
887
688
662
1,329
(1,606)
29,095
Loans and advances to customers (net)
Reported
257,289
109,244
453,443
18,508
53,186
—
24,702
19,377
1
935,750
Currency translation
24,996
7,615
10,484
10
—
—
(2,856)
(857)
(1)
39,391
Constant currency
282,285
116,859
463,927
18,518
53,186
—
21,846
18,520
—
975,141
Customer accounts
Reported
324,526
269,493
766,225
31,030
99,427
—
28,412
43,911
103
1,563,127
Currency translation
31,527
21,201
15,798
30
—
—
(3,285)
(3,325)
(1)
61,945
Constant currency
356,053
290,694
782,023
31,060
99,427
—
25,127
40,586
102
1,625,072
1 Other trading entities includes the results of entities located in Oman, Türkiye, Egypt and Saudi Arabia (including our share of the results of SAB) which do not consolidate into HSBC Bank Middle East Limited. These entities had an aggregated impact on Group reported profit before tax of $933m and constant currency profit before tax of $799m. Supplementary analysis is provided on page 45 to give a fuller picture of the MENAT regional performance.
2 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
41
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Notable items (continued)
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2023
HSBC UK Bank Plc
HSBC Bank Plc
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-group eliminations
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs1,2,3
1,593
2,098
—
—
—
—
—
—
(60)
3,631
Fair value movements on financial instruments4
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
15
15
Restructuring and other related costs5
—
361
—
—
—
—
—
—
(361)
—
Disposal losses on Markets Treasury repositioning
(145)
(94)
(339)
—
—
—
—
—
—
(578)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
(29)
(68)
—
—
(5)
(81)
—
—
(14)
(197)
Restructuring and other related costs6
13
16
8
1
2
—
6
2
29
77
1 Includes the reversal of a $2.1bn impairment loss relating to the sale of our retail banking operations in France.
2 Includes a gain of $1.6bn recognised in respect of the acquisition of SVB UK.
3 Includes fair value movements on the foreign exchange hedging of the proceeds from the sale of our banking business in Canada.
4 Fair value movements on non-qualifying hedges in HSBC Holdings.
5 Gain recognised as a result of intra-Group restructuring.
6 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
Legal entity results - on a constant currency basis1 (continued)
Quarter ended 30 Sep 2024
HSBC UK Bank Plc
HSBC Bank Plc
The Hongkong and
Shanghai
Banking
Corporation
Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities2
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-group eliminations
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue3
3,259
2,676
8,764
626
901
—
902
826
(956)
16,998
ECL
(173)
(3)
(536)
(32)
(19)
—
(213)
(12)
2
(986)
Operating expenses
(1,265)
(1,671)
(3,573)
(263)
(859)
—
(477)
(519)
484
(8,143)
Share of profit/(loss) in associates and joint ventures
—
(1)
457
—
—
—
4
148
(1)
607
Profit/(loss) before tax
1,821
1,001
5,112
331
23
—
216
443
(471)
8,476
Loans and advances to customers (net)
289,424
112,275
460,717
20,697
56,382
—
24,412
4,745
1
968,653
Customer accounts
357,874
298,583
835,925
33,543
98,379
—
26,655
9,731
25
1,660,715
1 In the current period, constant currency results are equal to reported, as there is no currency translation.
2 Other trading entities includes the results of entities located in Oman, Türkiye, Egypt and Saudi Arabia (including our share of the results of SAB) which do not consolidate into HSBC Bank Middle East Limited. These entities had an aggregated impact on Group reported profit before tax of $365m. Supplementary analysis is provided on page 45 to give a fuller picture of the MENAT regional performance.
3 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
42
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Notable items (continued)
Quarter ended 30 Sep 2024
HSBC UK Bank Plc
HSBC Bank Plc
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-group eliminations
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
(6)
75
72
Early redemption of legacy securities
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
(283)
(283)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
—
—
—
—
(6)
—
—
(30)
(12)
(48)
Restructuring and other related costs1
1
—
—
2
—
—
—
—
—
3
1 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
Legal entity results - on a constant currency basis (continued)
Quarter ended 30 Jun 2024
HSBC UK Bank Plc
HSBC Bank Plc
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities1
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-group eliminations
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue2
Reported
3,139
2,186
8,496
636
1,049
—
954
945
(865)
16,540
Currency translation
94
52
57
1
—
—
(84)
(26)
22
116
Constant currency
3,233
2,238
8,553
637
1,049
—
870
919
(843)
16,656
ECL
Reported
(10)
132
(184)
(47)
(40)
—
(210)
9
4
(346)
Currency translation
—
4
—
—
—
—
18
(2)
—
20
Constant currency
(10)
136
(184)
(47)
(40)
—
(192)
7
4
(326)
Operating expenses
Reported
(1,206)
(1,589)
(3,545)
(336)
(839)
—
(468)
(484)
322
(8,145)
Currency translation
(37)
(41)
(25)
—
—
—
41
13
(20)
(69)
Constant currency
(1,243)
(1,630)
(3,570)
(336)
(839)
—
(427)
(471)
302
(8,214)
Share of profit/(loss) in associates and joint ventures
Reported
—
10
669
—
—
—
4
174
—
857
Currency translation
—
1
7
—
—
—
—
—
(2)
6
Constant currency
—
11
676
—
—
—
4
174
(2)
863
Profit/(loss) before tax
Reported
1,923
739
5,436
253
170
—
280
644
(539)
8,906
Currency translation
57
16
39
1
—
—
(25)
(15)
—
73
Constant currency
1,980
755
5,475
254
170
—
255
629
(539)
8,979
Loans and advances to customers (net)
Reported
270,262
107,957
453,642
20,506
55,809
—
25,449
4,632
—
938,257
Currency translation
15,754
5,287
9,102
4
—
—
(1,790)
(103)
—
28,254
Constant currency
286,016
113,244
462,744
20,510
55,809
—
23,659
4,529
—
966,511
Customer accounts
Reported
334,566
295,557
799,086
32,934
93,060
—
28,997
9,532
102
1,593,834
Currency translation
19,502
14,916
14,796
15
—
—
(2,039)
(169)
(1)
47,020
Constant currency
354,068
310,473
813,882
32,949
93,060
—
26,958
9,363
101
1,640,854
1 Other trading entities includes the results of entities located in Türkiye, Egypt and Saudi Arabia (including our share of the results of SAB) which do not consolidate into HSBC Bank Middle East Limited. These entities had an aggregated impact on Group reported profit before tax of $369m and constant currency profit before tax of $363m. Supplementary analysis is provided on page 45 to give a fuller picture of the MENAT regional performance.
2 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
43
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Notable items (continued)
Quarter ended 30 Jun 2024
HSBC UK Bank Plc
HSBC Bank Plc
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-group eliminations
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
—
(115)
—
—
—
—
—
—
(46)
(161)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
3
—
—
—
(8)
—
—
(1)
(32)
(38)
Restructuring and other related costs1
1
2
—
—
—
—
—
—
3
6
1 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
Legal entity results - on a constant currency basis (continued)
Quarter ended 30 Sep 2023
HSBC UK Bank Plc
HSBC Bank Plc
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities1
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-group eliminations
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue2
Reported
3,008
2,443
7,720
638
994
493
853
1,071
(1,059)
16,161
Currency translation
82
47
24
1
—
(9)
(84)
(375)
40
(274)
Constant currency
3,090
2,490
7,744
639
994
484
769
696
(1,019)
15,887
ECL
Reported
(58)
(80)
(748)
(6)
15
(20)
(158)
(36)
20
(1,071)
Currency translation
(1)
(1)
(1)
—
—
—
16
21
(1)
33
Constant currency
(59)
(81)
(749)
(6)
15
(20)
(142)
(15)
19
(1,038)
Operating expenses
Reported
(1,172)
(1,447)
(3,368)
(282)
(824)
(253)
(476)
(697)
551
(7,968)
Currency translation
(32)
(27)
(13)
—
—
5
46
202
(36)
145
Constant currency
(1,204)
(1,474)
(3,381)
(282)
(824)
(248)
(430)
(495)
515
(7,823)
Share of profit/(loss) in associates and joint ventures
Reported
—
(9)
479
—
—
—
3
120
(1)
592
Currency translation
—
—
5
—
—
—
—
—
1
6
Constant currency
—
(9)
484
—
—
—
3
120
—
598
Profit/(loss) before tax
Reported
1,778
907
4,083
350
185
220
222
458
(489)
7,714
Currency translation
49
19
15
1
—
(4)
(22)
(152)
4
(90)
Constant currency
1,827
926
4,098
351
185
216
200
306
(485)
7,624
Loans and advances to customers (net)
Reported
257,289
109,244
453,443
18,508
53,186
—
24,702
19,377
1
935,750
Currency translation
24,996
7,615
10,484
10
—
—
(2,856)
(857)
(1)
39,391
Constant currency
282,285
116,859
463,927
18,518
53,186
—
21,846
18,520
—
975,141
Customer accounts
Reported
324,526
269,493
766,225
31,030
99,427
—
28,412
43,911
103
1,563,127
Currency translation
31,527
21,201
15,798
30
—
—
(3,285)
(3,325)
(1)
61,945
Constant currency
356,053
290,694
782,023
31,060
99,427
—
25,127
40,586
102
1,625,072
1 Other trading entities includes the results of entities located in Oman, Türkiye, Egypt and Saudi Arabia (including our share of the results of SAB) which do not consolidate into HSBC Bank Middle East Limited. These entities had an aggregated impact on Group reported profit before tax of $238m and constant currency profit before tax of $191m. Supplementary analysis is provided on page 45 to give a fuller picture of the MENAT regional performance.
2 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
44
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Notable items (continued)
Quarter ended 30 Sep 2023
HSBC UK Bank Plc
HSBC Bank Plc
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-group eliminations
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs1
86
(3)
—
—
—
—
—
—
227
310
Restructuring and other related costs2
—
361
—
—
—
—
—
—
(361)
—
Disposal losses on Markets Treasury repositioning
(145)
(94)
(339)
—
—
—
—
—
—
(578)
Operating expenses
Disposals, acquisitions and related costs
(14)
(23)
—
—
(3)
(27)
—
—
(12)
(79)
Restructuring and other related costs3
13
16
8
1
2
—
6
2
(18)
30
1 Includes fair value movements on the foreign exchange hedging of the proceeds from the sale of our banking business in Canada.
2 Gain recognised as a result of intra-Group restructuring.
3 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
Middle East, North Africa and Türkiye supplementary information
The following tables show the reported results of our Middle East, North Africa and Türkiye business operations on a regional basis (including results of all the legal entities operating in the region and our share of the results of SAB). They also show the profit before tax of each of the global businesses.
Middle East, North Africa and Türkiye regional performance
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue1
2,901
2,748
970
970
895
Change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges
(154)
(16)
(33)
(63)
(13)
Operating expenses
(1,259)
(1,188)
(393)
(459)
(414)
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures
464
391
147
171
118
Profit before tax
1,952
1,935
691
619
586
Loans and advances to customers (net)
23,458
21,392
23,458
23,237
21,392
Customer accounts
40,914
40,744
40,914
40,138
40,744
1 Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue.
Profit before tax by global business
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Wealth and Personal Banking
489
486
165
153
185
Commercial Banking
254
369
133
41
93
Global Banking and Markets
836
821
283
261
250
Corporate Centre
373
259
110
164
58
Total
1,952
1,935
691
619
586
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
45
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Alternative performance measures
Use of alternative performance measures
Our reported results are prepared in accordance with IFRS Accounting Standards as detailed in our financial statements starting on page 356 of the Annual Report and Accounts 2023 on Form 20-F. We use a combination of reported and alternative performance measures, including those derived from our reported results that eliminate factors that distort period-on-period comparisons. These are considered alternative performance measures (non-GAAP financial measures).
The following information details the adjustments made to the reported results and the calculation of other alternative performance measures. All alternative performance measures are reconciled to the closest reported performance measure.
Reported revenue excluding notable items and the impact of foreign exchange translation2
Constant currency profit before tax excluding notable items1
Reported profit before tax excluding notable items and the impact of foreign exchange translation2
Constant currency revenue excluding notable items and strategic transactions1
Reported revenue excluding notable items, strategic transactions and the impact of foreign exchange translation3
Constant currency profit before tax excluding notable items and strategic transactions1
Reported profit before tax excluding notable items, strategic transactions and the impact of foreign exchange translation3
Return on average ordinary shareholders’ equity (‘RoE’)
Profit attributable to the ordinary shareholders
Average ordinary shareholders’ equity
Return on average tangible equity (‘RoTE‘)
Profit attributable to the ordinary shareholders, excluding impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets
Average ordinary shareholders’ equity adjusted for goodwill and intangibles
Return on average tangible equity (‘RoTE‘) excluding notable items
Profit attributable to the ordinary shareholders, excluding impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets and notable items2
Average ordinary shareholders’ equity adjusted for goodwill and intangibles and notable items2
Net asset value per ordinary share
Total ordinary shareholders’ equity4
Basic number of ordinary shares in issue excluding treasury shares
Tangible net asset value per ordinary share
Tangible ordinary shareholders’ equity5
Basic number of ordinary shares in issue excluding treasury shares
Expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (‘ECL’) as a % of average gross loans and advances to customers
Annualised constant currency ECL6
Constant currency average gross loans and advances to customers6
Expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (‘ECL’) as a % of average gross loans and advances to customers, including held for sale
Annualised constant currency ECL6
Constant currency average gross loans and advances to customers, including held for sale6
Target basis operating expenses
Reported operating expenses excluding notable items, foreign exchange translation and other excluded items7
Basic earnings per share excluding material notable items and related impacts
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders excluding material notable items and related impacts8
Weighted average number of ordinary shares outstanding, excluding own shares held
1 Constant currency performance is computed by adjusting reported results for the effects of foreign currency translation differences, which distort period-on-period comparisons.
2 For details of notable items, see ‘Supplementary financial information‘ on page 32.
3 For details of strategic transactions, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
4 Total ordinary shareholders’ equity is total shareholders‘ equity less non-cumulative preference shares and capital securities.
5 Tangible ordinary shareholders’ equity is total ordinary shareholders’ equity excluding goodwill and other intangible assets (net of deferred tax).
6 The constant currency numbers are derived by adjusting reported ECL and average loans and advances to customers for the effects of foreign currency translation differences.
7 Other excluded items includes the impact of re-translating comparative period financial information at the latest rates of foreign exchange in hyperinflationary economies, which we consider to be outside of our control, and the impact of the sale of our retail banking operations in France and banking business in Canada.
8 For details of material notable items and related impacts, see page 49.
46
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Constant currency revenue and profit before tax excluding notable items and strategic transactions
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Revenue
Reported
54,290
53,037
16,998
16,540
16,161
Notable items
3,360
3,068
(211)
(161)
(268)
Reported revenue excluding notable items
50,930
49,969
17,209
16,701
16,429
Currency translation1
(743)
119
(279)
Constant currency revenue excluding notable items
50,930
49,226
17,209
16,820
16,150
Constant currency impact of strategic transactions (distorting impact of operating results between periods)2
178
1,222
—
1
559
Constant currency revenue excluding notable items and strategic transactions
50,752
48,004
17,209
16,819
15,591
Profit before tax
Reported
30,032
29,371
8,476
8,906
7,714
Notable items
3,233
2,948
(256)
(193)
(317)
Reported profit before tax excluding notable items
26,799
26,423
8,732
9,099
8,031
Currency translation1
(372)
77
(96)
Constant currency profit before tax excluding notable items
26,799
26,051
8,732
9,176
7,935
Constant currency impact of strategic transactions (distorting impact of operating results between periods)2
90
414
—
(1)
234
Constant currency profit before tax excluding notable items and strategic transactions
26,709
25,637
8,732
9,177
7,701
1 Currency translation on the reported balance excluding currency translation on notable items.
2 For more details of strategic transactions, see ‘Strategic transactions supplementary analysis‘ on page 38.
To aid the understanding of our results, we disclose constant currency revenue and profit before tax excluding notable items and the impact of strategic transactions. The impacts of strategic transactions quoted include the distorting impact between the periods of the operating income statement results related to acquisitions and disposals that affect period-on-period comparisons. Once a transaction has completed, the impact will include the operating income statement results of each business, which are not classified as notable items, in any period for which there are no results in the comparative period. We consider the monthly impact of distorting income statement results when calculating the impact of strategic transactions.
Return on average ordinary shareholders‘ equity, return on average tangible equity and return on average tangible equity excluding notable items
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Profit/(loss) after tax
Profit/(loss) attributable to the ordinary shareholders of the parent company
22,720
22,585
6,134
6,403
5,619
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets (net of tax)
114
36
(9)
13
7
Profit/(loss) attributable to the ordinary shareholders, excluding goodwill and other intangible assets impairment
22,834
22,621
6,125
6,416
5,626
Impact of notable items1
(3,442)
(3,037)
184
174
183
Profit attributable to the ordinary shareholders, excluding goodwill, other intangible assets impairment and notable items
19,392
19,584
6,309
6,590
5,809
Equity
Average total shareholders‘ equity
188,140
183,704
188,023
187,239
183,445
Effect of average preference shares and other equity instruments
(18,333)
(19,062)
(18,947)
(18,272)
(18,555)
Average ordinary shareholders’ equity
169,807
164,642
169,076
168,967
164,890
Effect of goodwill and other intangibles (net of deferred tax)
(11,631)
(11,376)
(11,582)
(11,409)
(11,549)
Average tangible equity
158,176
153,266
157,494
157,558
153,341
Average impact of notable items
(3,035)
(3,377)
110
(2,251)
(67)
Average tangible equity excluding notable items
155,141
149,889
157,604
155,307
153,274
Ratio
%
%
%
%
%
Return on average ordinary shareholders’ equity (annualised)
17.9
18.3
14.4
15.2
13.5
Return on average tangible equity (annualised)
19.3
19.7
15.5
16.3
14.6
Return on average tangible equity excluding notable items (annualised)
16.7
17.5
15.9
17.1
15.0
1 For details of notable items please refer to ‘Supplementary financial information‘ on page 32.
From 1 January 2024, we have revised the adjustments made to RoTE. Prior to this, we adjusted RoTE for the impact of strategic transactions and the impairment of our investment in BoCom, whereas from 1 January 2024 we have excluded all notable items. This was intended to improve alignment with the treatment of notable items in our other income statement disclosures. Comparatives have been re-presented on the revised basis and we no longer disclose RoTE excluding strategic transactions and the impairment of BoCom. On this basis, we continue to target a RoTE excluding notable items in the mid-teens for both 2024 and 2025.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
47
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Return on average tangible equity by global business
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2024
Wealth and Personal
Banking1
Commercial
Banking
Global
Banking and
Markets
Corporate
Centre1
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Profit before tax
9,684
9,464
5,662
5,222
30,032
Tax expense
(1,765)
(2,263)
(1,286)
(304)
(5,618)
Profit after tax
7,919
7,201
4,376
4,918
24,414
Less attributable to: preference shareholders, other equity holders, non-controlling interests
(686)
(445)
(422)
(141)
(1,694)
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders of the parent company
7,233
6,756
3,954
4,777
22,720
Other adjustments
(115)
227
(165)
167
114
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders
7,118
6,983
3,789
4,943
22,834
Average tangible shareholders’ equity
31,271
44,302
36,637
45,966
158,176
RoTE (%) (annualised)
30.4
21.1
13.8
14.4
19.3
Nine months ended 30 Sep 2023
Profit before tax
11,369
10,787
4,904
2,311
29,371
Tax expense
(2,242)
(2,193)
(925)
326
(5,034)
Profit after tax
9,127
8,594
3,979
2,637
24,337
Less attributable to: preference shareholders, other equity holders, non-controlling interests
(744)
(419)
(413)
(176)
(1,752)
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders of the parent company
8,383
8,175
3,566
2,461
22,585
Other adjustments
(160)
256
119
(179)
36
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders
8,223
8,431
3,685
2,282
22,621
Average tangible shareholders’ equity
29,466
43,679
38,200
41,921
153,266
RoTE (%) (annualised)
37.3
25.8
12.9
7.3
19.7
1 With effect from 1 January 2024, following the sale of our retail banking business in France, we have prospectively reclassified the portfolio of retained loans, profit participation interest and licence agreement of the CCF brand from WPB to Corporate Centre.
Net asset value and tangible net asset value per ordinary share
At
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
Total shareholders’ equity
192,754
183,293
182,720
Preference shares and other equity instruments
(19,070)
(18,825)
(17,719)
Total ordinary shareholders’ equity
173,684
164,468
165,001
Goodwill and intangible assets (net of deferred tax)
(11,804)
(11,359)
(11,554)
Tangible ordinary shareholders’ equity
161,880
153,109
153,447
Basic number of $0.50 ordinary shares outstanding
17,982
18,330
19,275
Value per share
$
$
$
Net asset value per ordinary share
9.66
8.97
8.56
Tangible net asset value per ordinary share
9.00
8.35
7.96
ECL and other credit impairment charges as a % of average gross loans and advances to customers, and ECL and other credit impairment charges as a % of average gross loans and advances to customers, including held for sale
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (‘ECL‘)
(2,052)
(2,416)
(986)
(346)
(1,071)
Currency translation
61
20
33
Constant currency
(2,052)
(2,355)
(986)
(326)
(1,038)
Average gross loans and advances to customers
955,512
957,080
964,189
946,414
959,129
Currency translation
17,156
29,841
14,217
26,870
29,820
Constant currency
972,668
986,921
978,406
973,284
988,949
Average gross loans and advances to customers, including held for sale
975,646
1,020,441
966,713
948,515
1,017,351
Currency translation
16,796
29,888
14,174
26,758
29,207
Constant currency
992,442
1,050,329
980,887
975,273
1,046,558
Ratios
%
%
%
%
%
Expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (annualised) as a % of average gross loans and advances to customers
0.28
0.32
0.40
0.13
0.42
Expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges (annualised) as a % of average gross loans and advances to customers, including held for sale
0.28
0.30
0.40
0.13
0.39
48
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Target basis operating expenses
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Reported operating expenses
24,439
23,425
8,143
8,145
7,968
Notable items
(127)
(120)
(45)
(32)
(49)
– disposals, acquisitions and related costs
(149)
(197)
(48)
(38)
(79)
– restructuring and other related costs1
22
77
3
6
30
Currency translation2
(358)
69
(145)
Excluding the constant currency impact of the sale of our retail banking operations in France and banking business in Canada3
(162)
(723)
—
—
(230)
Excluding the impact of retranslating prior period costs of hyperinflationary economies at constant currency foreign exchange rate
487
12
185
Target basis operating expenses
24,150
22,711
8,098
8,194
7,729
1 Relates to reversals of restructuring provisions recognised during 2022.
2 Currency translation on reported operating expenses, excluding currency translation on notable items.
3 This represents the business as usual costs which are not classified as notable items relating to our retail banking operations in France and banking business in Canada, on a constant currency basis. This does not include the disposal costs which relate to these transactions.
Target basis operating expenses for 2024 and for the 2023 comparative periods differ from what we disclosed in our 2023 results, when we were comparing against 2022 operating expenses. The 2023 target basis excluded the impact of incremental costs associated with the acquisition of SVB UK, and the related investments, whereas the 2024 target basis excludes the costs associated with our retail banking operations in France and our banking business in Canada. The exclusion of notable items and the impact of retranslating prior year results of hyperinflationary economies at constant currency are excluded in 2024, which is consistent with the 2023 basis of preparation. We consider target basis operating expenses to provide useful information to investors by quantifying and excluding the notable items that management considered when setting and assessing cost-related targets.
Basic earnings per share excluding material notable items and related impacts
Nine months ended
Quarter ended
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
30 Sep 2023
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
Profit attributable to shareholders of company
23,628
23,561
6,516
6,528
6,053
Coupon payable on capital securities classified as equity
(908)
(976)
(382)
(125)
(434)
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders of company
22,720
22,585
6,134
6,403
5,619
Gain on acquisition of SVB UK
(2)
(1,593)
—
(2)
(86)
Impact of the sale of our retail banking operations in France (net of tax)
(55)
(1,629)
(2)
(1)
—
Impact of the sale of our banking business in Canada1
(4,953)
(430)
(4)
(7)
(376)
Impairment loss relating to the planned sale of our business in Argentina
1,162
—
(30)
55
—
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders of company excluding material notable items and related impacts
18,872
18,933
6,098
6,448
5,157
Number of shares
Weighted average basic number of ordinary shares (millions)
18,493
19,596
18,151
18,509
19,404
Basic earnings per share ($)
1.23
1.15
0.34
0.35
0.29
Basic earnings per share excluding material notable items and related impacts ($)
1.02
0.97
0.34
0.35
0.27
1 Represents gain on sale of business in Canada recognised on completion, inclusive of the earnings recognised by the banking business from 30 June 2022, the recycling of losses in foreign currency translation reserves and other reserves, and gain on the foreign exchange hedging of the sale proceeds.
Material notable items are a subset of notable items. Material notable items are components of our income statement that management would consider as outside the normal course of business and generally non-recurring in nature, which are excluded from our dividend payout ratio calculation and our earnings per share measure, along with related impacts. Categorisation as a material notable item is dependent on the nature of each item in conjunction with the financial impact on the Group’s income statement.
Related impacts include those items that do not qualify for designation as notable items but whose adjustment is considered by management to be appropriate for the purposes of determining the basis for our dividend payout ratio calculation.
Material notable items in 3Q24 and comparative periods included the planned sale of our business in Argentina, the sale of our retail banking operations in France, the sale of our banking business in Canada, the gain following the acquisition of SVB UK and the impairment of our investment in BoCom. In determining this measure, we also excluded HSBC Bank Canada‘s financial results from the 30 June 2022 net asset reference date until completion of the sale, as the gain on sale was recognised through a combination of the consolidation of HSBC Bank Canada‘s results in the Group‘s results since this date, and the remaining gain on sale was recognised at completion. For the planned sale of our business in Argentina, between signing and closing, the loss on sale will vary by changes in the net asset value of the disposed business and associated hyperinflation and foreign currency translation, and in the fair value of consideration including price adjustments and migration costs. There were no additional related impacts, and the ongoing profits from HSBC Argentina will not be excluded from our basic earnings per share excluding material notable items and related impacts.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
49
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Risk
Managing risk
HSBC’s operations are subject to changes in economic and financial conditions as well as geopolitical developments that could have a material impact on the Group’s operations and financial risks. We continuously review these factors in all of our key markets and conduct regular reviews of economic risks and expectations.
Continued growth in global economic activity was observed in the third quarter of 2024, led by the US and China, with relatively slower growth in the EU. In the US, performance was supported by sustained household spending, and the services sector in particular. In mainland China, while domestic consumption has been weak and activity by sector uneven, export growth and investment have ensured that growth has so far remained close to the official target in 2024. At the same time, authorities have announced measures to further support private sector confidence and consumption. We will continue to monitor the impact of these measures into the fourth quarter.
Inflation and high interest rates remain a key consideration for policymakers. In the US and Europe, headline inflation has continued to trend downwards towards Central Bank target rates, despite persistently higher services prices. Progress in reducing inflation enabled both the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England to cut interest rates in the third quarter of 2024, following the ECB’s decision to cut rates in the second quarter of the year. Markets anticipate further cuts over the remainder of 2024 and into 2025. In mainland China, authorities have reduced the Loan Prime Rate to support private sector borrowing as demand for loans has weakened.
Geopolitical tensions could impact the Group’s operations and its risk profile and continue to be a source of significant uncertainty, including the ongoing conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. The recent escalation in the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has raised uncertainty in the region and led to renewed volatility in energy prices. The attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea continue, contributing to higher shipping costs and disruption to supply chains and, coupled with the risk of a potential increase in oil prices, could lead to renewed inflationary pressures.
Fiscal policy, deficits and public indebtedness also influence our risk profile. Public spending as a proportion of GDP is likely to remain high for most of our key economies with elevated spending focused on social welfare, defence and climate transition initiatives. Against a backdrop of slower economic growth and expectations for a higher interest rate environment in the longer term, elevated borrowing costs could increase and adversely impact the fiscal responses of highly-indebted sovereign issuers.
Sanctions and trade restrictions are monitored closely given their complexity and pace of change. The US, the UK and the EU, as well as other countries, have imposed significant sanctions and trade restrictions against Russia, with new sanctions added during 2024 by the US, the UK and the EU. Additional sanctions on Iran were imposed in the second and third quarters of 2024 in response to the increase in tensions between Israel and Iran. The secondary sanctions regime introduced by the US in December 2023 gives the US broad discretion to impose severe sanctions on non-US banks that are knowingly, or even unknowingly, engaged in certain transactions or services involving Russia’s military-industrial base. The US expanded the scope of these secondary sanctions in June 2024 to apply to Russian and non-Russian persons designated under the primary legal authority for Russian sanctions. The broad scope of the discretionary powers embedded in the regime creates challenges associated with the detection or prevention of third-party activities beyond our control. The imposition of such sanctions against any non-US HSBC entity could result in significant adverse commercial, operational and reputational consequences for HSBC, including the restriction or termination of the non-US HSBC entity’s ability to access the US financial system and the freezing of the entity’s assets that are subject to US jurisdiction. In response to such sanctions and trade restrictions, as well as asset flight, Russia has implemented certain countermeasures, including the expropriation of certain foreign assets.
Strategic competition has the potential to impact the Group’s operations and may pose financial risks. The relationships between China and several other countries, including the US and the UK, remain complex. The US, the UK, the EU and other countries have imposed various sanctions and trade restrictions on Chinese individuals and companies. In response to earlier measures, China has imposed its own sanctions, trade restrictions and other measures on persons and entities in other countries, including recent sanctions on US firms supplying arms to Taiwan. Supply chains remain vulnerable to a deterioration in these bilateral relationships and this has resulted in efforts to de-risk certain sectors with the reshoring of manufacturing activities, but the approach of countries to strategic competition and engagement with China continues to develop. Further sanctions or counter-sanctions may adversely affect the Group, its customers and various markets.
Political changes may also have implications for policy. Elections could imply uncertainty in some markets in response to shifting domestic and foreign policy priorities. The UK, France, Mexico and several countries in Asia went to the polls earlier this year, with the US set to follow in the fourth quarter of 2024. The outcome of the US election in particular will be monitored closely, given the potential for changes to economic, foreign and trade policy that may have broader geopolitical implications.
The real estate sector faces challenging conditions in several of our major markets. The Hong Kong residential and commercial real estate markets have seen prices fall amid high inventory levels, low transactions and the higher interest rate environment. In mainland China, similar excess of inventory, and low confidence, have accelerated the fall in both commercial and residential real estate prices, with few signs so far of a sustained recovery, despite a series of reform proposals. We continue to closely monitor, and seek to proactively manage, the potential implications of the real estate downturn for our customers and commercial real estate portfolios.
All the above risks could also have an impact on our retail customers and we continue to closely monitor the impact of inflation and the increased cost of living to offer the right support to our customers in line with regulatory, government and wider stakeholder expectations.
We engage closely with regulators to help ensure that we continue to meet their expectations for the activities of financial institutions during times of market volatility.
In addition, management adjustments to ECL were applied to reflect persisting uncertainty in certain sectors, driven by macroeconomic and other sector specific risks, which were not fully captured by our models.
We continue to monitor, and seek to manage, the potential implications of all the above developments on our customers and our business. While the financial performance of our operations varied in different geographies, our balance sheet and liquidity remained strong. At 30 September 2024, our CET1 ratio increased to 15.2%, from 15.0% at 30 June 2024, and our liquidity coverage ratio (‘LCR’) was 137%.
50
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Credit risk
Summary of credit risk
At 30 September 2024, gross loans and advances to customers and banks of $1,097bn were $34.6bn higher on a reported basis compared with 31 December 2023. Loans and advances to customers increased by $30.0bn while loans and advances to banks increased by $4.6bn. This included total favourable effects of foreign currency translation differences of $14.7bn.
On a constant currency basis, the increase of $19.9bn was driven by an $8.0bn rise in personal loans and advances to customers, mainly in HSBC UK (up $4.2bn), our legal entities in the US (up $1.9bn), in Asia (up $1.4bn) and in Mexico (up $0.5bn). There was also a $7.1bn rise in wholesale loans and advances to customers, due to growth in HSBC Bank plc (up $4.7 bn) and HSBC UK (up $1.7bn). It also included an increase of $4.8bn in loans and advances to banks, mainly in our legal entities in Asia (up $5.4bn) and in the Middle East (up $2.4bn), partly offset by lower balances in HSBC UK (down $3.4bn).
Loans and advances to banks and customers included a $2.0bn decrease due to the reclassification of our business in Argentina, our private banking business in Germany and our operations in Armenia to assets held for sale.
At 30 September 2024, the allowance for ECL of $11.6bn comprised $11.1bn in respect of assets held at amortised cost, $0.4bn in respect of loan commitments and financial guarantees, and $0.1bn in respect of debt instruments measured at fair value through other comprehensive income (‘FVOCI’).
On a constant currency basis, the allowance for ECL in relation to loans and advances to customers decreased by $0.1bn. This was attributable to:
–a $0.2bn decrease in personal loans and advances to customers, observed in stages 1 and 2; and
–a $0.1bn increase in wholesale loans and advances to customers, which included a $0.4bn increase in stage 3, offset by a $0.3bn decrease in stages 1 and 2.
The ECL charge for the first nine months of 2024 was $2.1bn (9M23: $2.4bn), inclusive of recoveries. The ECL charge comprised: $1.1bn in respect of wholesale lending, of which the stage 3 charge was $0.8bn; $0.9bn in respect of personal lending, of which the stage 3 charge was $0.7bn; and $0.1bn in respect of other assets and debt instruments measured at FVOCI.
Wholesale lending charges were recognised mainly in our legal entities in Hong Kong ($0.7bn). While the mainland China commercial real estate sector remained subdued, there were limited new defaults and lower total ECL charges of $0.1bn in 3Q24 and $0.2bn in 9M24. ECL charges in the Hong Kong commercial real estate sector excluding exposure to mainland China borrowers of $0.1bn in 3Q24 and $0.1bn in 9M24, were also low due to the limited impact from defaults, driven by the high level of collateralisation in the portfolio.
Summary of financial instruments to which the impairment requirements in IFRS 9 are applied
At 30 Sep 2024
At 31 Dec 2023
Gross carrying/nominal amount
Allowance for
ECL1
Gross carrying/nominal amount
Allowance for
ECL1
$m
$m
$m
$m
Loans and advances to customers at amortised cost
979,612
(10,959)
949,609
(11,074)
Loans and advances to banks at amortised cost
117,525
(11)
112,917
(15)
Other financial assets measured at amortised cost
868,116
(145)
960,271
(422)
– cash and balances at central banks
252,310
—
285,868
—
– items in the course of collection from other banks
7,513
—
6,342
—
– Hong Kong Government certificates of indebtedness
42,591
—
42,024
—
– reverse repurchase agreements – non-trading
263,387
—
252,217
—
– financial investments
156,533
(10)
148,346
(20)
– assets held for sale2
7,389
(59)
103,186
(324)
– other assets3
138,393
(76)
122,288
(78)
Total gross carrying amount on-balance sheet
1,965,253
(11,115)
2,022,797
(11,511)
Loan and other credit-related commitments
672,892
(367)
661,015
(367)
Financial guarantees
17,215
(31)
17,009
(39)
Total nominal amount off-balance sheet4
690,107
(398)
678,024
(406)
2,655,360
(11,513)
2,700,821
(11,917)
Fair value
Memorandum allowance for ECL5
Fair value
Memorandum
allowance for ECL5
$m
$m
$m
$m
Debt instruments measured at fair value through other comprehensive income (‘FVOCI’)
333,771
(80)
302,348
(97)
1 The total ECL is recognised in the loss allowance for the financial asset unless the total ECL exceeds the gross carrying amount of the financial asset, in which case the ECL is recognised as a provision.
2 At 30 September 2024, the gross carrying amount comprised $3,660m of loans and advances to customers and banks (31 December 2023: $84,075m) and $3,729m of other financial assets at amortised cost (31 December 2023: $19,111m) mainly from Argentina ($3.9bn), Germany ($2.7bn) and Armenia ($0.6bn). The corresponding allowance for ECL comprised $54m of loans and advances to customers and banks (31 December 2023: $303m) and $5m of other financial assets at amortised cost (31 December 2023: $21m). The significant reduction is due to the completion of the sales of our banking business in Canada in March 2024 and our retail banking operations in France in January 2024.
3 Includes only those financial instruments that are subject to the impairment requirements of IFRS 9. ‘Other assets’ as presented within the summary consolidated balance sheet on page 19 comprises both financial and non-financial assets, including cash collateral and settlement accounts.
4 Represents the maximum amount at risk should the contracts be fully drawn upon and clients default.
5 Debt instruments measured at FVOCI continue to be measured at fair value with the allowance for ECL as a memorandum item. Change in ECL is recognised in ‘Change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges’ in the income statement.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
51
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Summary of credit risk (excluding debt instruments measured at FVOCI) by stage distribution and ECL coverage at 30 September 2024
Gross carrying/nominal amount1
Allowance for ECL
ECL coverage %
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
POCI2
Total
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
POCI2
Total
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
POCI2
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
%
%
%
%
%
Loans and advances to customers at amortised cost
851,828
103,633
24,064
87
979,612
(1,086)
(2,467)
(7,364)
(42)
(10,959)
0.1
2.4
30.6
48.3
1.1
Loans and advances to banks at amortised cost
117,279
244
2
—
117,525
(8)
(1)
(2)
—
(11)
—
0.4
100.0
—
—
Other financial assets measured at amortised cost
866,034
1,890
189
3
868,116
(85)
(26)
(34)
—
(145)
—
1.4
18.0
—
—
Loan and other credit-related commit-ments
651,349
20,797
743
3
672,892
(160)
(118)
(89)
—
(367)
—
0.6
12.0
—
0.1
Financial guarantees
15,361
1,581
273
—
17,215
(5)
(9)
(17)
—
(31)
—
0.6
6.2
—
0.2
At 30 Sep 2024
2,501,851
128,145
25,271
93
2,655,360
(1,344)
(2,621)
(7,506)
(42)
(11,513)
0.1
2.0
29.7
45.2
0.4
1 Represents the maximum amount at risk should the contracts be fully drawn upon and clients default.
2 Purchased or originated credit-impaired (‘POCI‘).
Summary of credit risk (excluding debt instruments measured at FVOCI) by stage distribution and ECL coverage at 31 December 2023
Gross carrying/nominal amount1
Allowance for ECL
ECL coverage %
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
POCI2
Total
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
POCI2
Total
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
POCI2
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
%
%
%
%
%
Loans and advances to customers at amortised cost
809,384
120,871
19,273
81
949,609
(1,130)
(2,964)
(6,950)
(30)
(11,074)
0.1
2.5
36.1
37.0
1.2
Loans and advances to banks at amortised cost
111,479
1,436
2
—
112,917
(10)
(3)
(2)
—
(15)
—
0.2
100.0
—
—
Other financial assets measured at amortised cost
946,873
12,734
664
—
960,271
(109)
(132)
(181)
—
(422)
—
1.0
27.3
—
—
Loan and other credit-related commit-ments
630,949
28,922
1,140
4
661,015
(153)
(128)
(86)
—
(367)
—
0.4
7.5
—
0.1
Financial guarantees
14,746
1,879
384
—
17,009
(7)
(7)
(25)
—
(39)
—
0.4
6.5
—
0.2
At 31 Dec 2023
2,513,431
165,842
21,463
85
2,700,821
(1,409)
(3,234)
(7,244)
(30)
(11,917)
0.1
2.0
33.8
35.3
0.4
1 Represents the maximum amount at risk should the contracts be fully drawn upon and clients default.
2 Purchased or originated credit-impaired (‘POCI‘).
52
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Measurement uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of ECL estimates
The recognition and measurement of ECL involves the use of significant judgement and estimation. We form multiple economic scenarios based on economic forecasts and distributional estimates and apply these to credit risk models to estimate future credit losses. The results are then probability-weighted to determine an unbiased ECL estimate.
Management assessed the current economic environment, reviewed the latest economic forecasts and discussed key risks before selecting the economic scenarios and their weightings.
The Central scenario is constructed to reflect current macroeconomic expectations. Outer scenarios incorporate the crystallisation of economic and geopolitical risks, including those relating to future elections, the Russia-Ukraine war, conflict in the Middle East and shipping disruptions in the Red Sea.
Management judgemental adjustments are used where modelled allowance for ECL does not fully reflect the identified risks and related uncertainty, or to capture significant late-breaking events.
Methodology
At 30 September 2024, four economic scenarios were used to capture the latest economic expectations and to articulate management’s view of the range of risks and potential outcomes. Scenarios are updated with the latest economic forecasts and distributional estimates each quarter and the approach to scenario generation has remained consistent with that taken in the fourth quarter of 2023.
As at 30 September 2024, the escalation of conflict in the Middle East had no significant impact on economic forecasts or oil price expectations used in the 3Q24 scenarios. We continue to monitor the situation in the region closely.
Three scenarios, the Upside, Central and Downside, are drawn from external consensus forecasts, market data and distributional estimates of the entire range of economic outcomes. The fourth scenario, the Downside 2, represents management’s view of severe downside risks.
Scenarios produced to calculate ECL are aligned to HSBC’s top and emerging risks.
Description of economic scenarios
Stronger than expected GDP growth in the first half of 2024 has resulted in Central scenario forecasts being revised upwards for the remainder of the year, specifically in the UK, France, the US, mainland China and Hong Kong. In the US and Europe, the service sector has been an important driver of growth as consumption has proved resilient to inflation and high interest rates. In mainland China, economic growth has been supported by strong export sales but despite various stimulus measures, domestic activity remains weak and growth, by sector, is uneven. Authorities have increased fiscal and monetary support to boost economic activity and to ensure growth remains close to the official target. In Hong Kong, growth has been driven by strong government support and investment, while household spending has remained weak.
Inflation has continued to moderate in several of our key markets, helped by falling energy costs and stability in food prices, while services inflation has remained higher across the US and Europe. Low inflation in mainland China and Hong Kong has been driven by weak domestic demand, particularly consumption. In the Central forecast, softer wage growth and services price inflation are expected to sustain lower inflation across most of our key markets. In mainland China, inflation in the Central scenario is forecast to rise as stimulus measures lift consumption and spending. Lower inflation in the US, UK and Euro Area is forecast to enable major central banks to reduce policy rates further, particularly from 2025 onwards.
House price forecasts in Hong Kong and China have seen more significant revisions in the third quarter of 2024 compared with the fourth quarter of 2023. In mainland China and Hong Kong, real estate prices have continued to fall despite the delivery of supportive policy measures. Forecasts have been revised down further. In mainland China, prolonged weak buyer confidence has weighed on property sales and investment while in Hong Kong developers have relied on discounting to clear out housing inventory. As a consequence, forecasts have been revised lower. House price forecasts in the US and UK have remained relatively more stable despite elevated interest rates, due to low housing supply and low unemployment, which has acted to support moderate price growth.
Risks to the Central outlook are captured in the outer scenarios. The Upside and Downside scenarios are constructed to reflect the economic consequences from the crystallisation of a number of key economic and financial risks. Sources of forecast uncertainty include geopolitical tensions, inflation, and the outlook for monetary policy. In particular, the Downside scenarios explore the possibility that interest rates and inflation move higher than is forecast in the Central scenario.
As the geopolitical environment remains volatile and complex, risks include a broader and more prolonged conflict in the Middle East, a potential escalation in the Russia-Ukraine war, and continued differences between the US and China over a range of strategic issues. Election outcomes in major economies, including the United States, could also deliver policies that are more adverse to global trade growth and complicate international supply chains, leading to greater trade frictions, higher costs and market instability.
The four global scenarios used for calculating ECL at 30 September 2024 were:
–The consensus Central scenario: This scenario features a slowdown in global growth in 2024 before a gradual pick-up over the remainder of the forecast horizon. Growth rates remain below the pre-Covid-19 pandemic average. Unemployment is forecast to rise gradually amid weaker economic activity, but is set to remain low by historic standards. Inflation is expected to continue to ease back to central bank targets, allowing central banks to continue a gradual easing of interest rates. Interest rates stay above their pre-pandemic levels over the entire forecast horizon.
–The consensus Upside scenario: This scenario incorporates the de-escalation of geopolitical tensions and a loosening of financial conditions. In this scenario, growth accelerates, inflation falls at a faster rate than in the Central scenario and unemployment declines. This enables central banks to lower interest rates more quickly than in the Central scenario. Asset prices, including housing, rise more quickly than in the Central scenario.
–The consensus Downside scenario: This scenario features weaker economic activity compared with the Central scenario, driven by a supply shock that causes a rise in inflation and interest rates above the Central forecast. In this scenario, GDP growth slows, unemployment rises, financial conditions tighten, and equity markets and house prices fall.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
53
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
–The Downside 2 scenario: This scenario reflects management’s view of the tail end of the economic distribution. It incorporates the simultaneous crystallisation of a number of risks that leads to a deep global recession. The narrative features an escalation of geopolitical risks, more significant changes to the global tariff and trade order and a worsening of supply chain disruptions. Inflation and interest rates are assumed to rise initially. Unemployment also increases rapidly, asset prices fall, and defaults rise significantly. As recession takes hold, commodity prices fall back and inflation falls.
Both the consensus Downside and the Downside 2 scenarios are global in scope, and while they differ in severity, they assume that the key risks to HSBC, listed above, crystallise simultaneously.
The following tables describe key macroeconomic variables in the consensus Central scenario, consensus Upside scenario, consensus Downside scenario and Downside 2 scenario.
Consensus Central scenario 4Q24-3Q29 (as at 3Q24)
UK
US
Hong Kong
Mainland China
France
UAE
Mexico
GDP (annual average growth rate, %)
2024
1.0
2.5
2.9
4.9
1.1
3.7
1.9
2025
1.4
1.7
2.7
4.4
1.2
4.2
1.7
2026
1.6
2.0
2.4
4.2
1.4
4.2
2.2
2027
1.7
1.9
2.3
3.9
1.3
3.7
2.2
2028
1.6
1.9
2.3
3.7
1.3
3.3
2.2
5-year average1
1.6
1.9
2.5
4.0
1.3
3.8
2.1
Unemployment rate (%)
2024
4.4
4.1
3.0
5.1
7.5
2.8
2.8
2025
4.8
4.4
2.9
5.1
7.4
2.7
3.2
2026
4.5
4.1
3.0
5.0
7.1
2.6
3.3
2027
4.6
4.0
2.9
5.0
7.0
2.6
3.4
2028
4.4
4.0
2.9
5.0
6.8
2.5
3.5
5-year average1
4.6
4.1
2.9
5.0
7.1
2.6
3.4
House prices (annual average growth rate, %)
2024
1.5
5.7
(12.3)
(7.5)
(3.7)
17.9
8.6
2025
1.7
3.9
(6.8)
(4.4)
2.7
8.7
5.0
2026
3.6
3.0
4.8
(2.4)
4.4
4.9
4.0
2027
4.7
3.0
3.0
2.3
4.5
3.3
3.9
2028
3.5
2.9
2.5
3.2
4.0
1.9
3.9
5-year average1
3.2
3.2
0.5
(0.3)
3.5
4.8
4.3
Inflation (annual average growth rate, %)
2024
2.6
3.1
1.9
0.5
2.4
2.5
4.4
2025
2.2
2.4
2.1
1.4
1.8
2.1
3.7
2026
2.0
2.4
2.1
1.8
1.6
2.1
3.5
2027
2.0
2.3
2.2
1.8
1.9
2.0
3.4
2028
2.0
2.2
2.3
1.7
2.0
1.8
3.3
5-year average1
2.1
2.3
2.2
1.7
1.9
2.0
3.5
Central bank policy rate (annual average, %)2
2024
5.1
5.1
5.5
3.4
3.7
5.2
10.8
2025
4.2
3.6
4.0
3.3
2.5
3.6
9.1
2026
3.6
3.1
3.5
3.4
2.1
3.1
8.3
2027
3.5
3.1
3.4
3.5
2.2
3.1
8.0
2028
3.4
3.1
3.5
3.6
2.2
3.1
8.1
5-year average1
3.7
3.3
3.7
3.5
2.3
3.3
8.5
1 The five-year average is calculated over a projected period of 20 quarters from 4Q24 to 3Q29.
2 For mainland China, rate shown is the Loan Prime Rate.
54
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Consensus Central scenario 2024–2028 (as at 4Q23)
UK
US
Hong Kong
Mainland China
France
UAE
Mexico
GDP (annual average growth rate, %)
2024
0.3
1.0
2.6
4.5
0.8
3.7
1.9
2025
1.2
1.8
2.7
4.4
1.5
4.0
2.2
2026
1.7
2.1
2.6
4.3
1.6
3.8
2.3
2027
1.6
2.0
2.6
3.8
1.5
3.4
2.4
2028
1.6
2.0
2.6
3.9
1.5
3.4
2.4
5-year average1
1.3
1.8
2.6
4.2
1.4
3.6
2.2
Unemployment rate (%)
2024
4.7
4.3
3.0
5.2
7.5
2.6
2.9
2025
4.6
4.2
3.0
5.1
7.3
2.6
2.9
2026
4.3
4.0
3.2
5.1
7.0
2.6
2.9
2027
4.2
4.0
3.2
5.1
6.8
2.6
2.9
2028
4.2
4.0
3.2
5.1
6.8
2.6
2.9
5-year average1
4.4
4.1
3.1
5.1
7.1
2.6
2.9
House prices (annual average growth rate, %)
2024
(5.5)
2.9
(6.6)
(0.6)
(1.0)
12.6
6.5
2025
0.1
2.7
(0.7)
1.1
2.4
7.7
4.2
2026
3.5
3.1
2.6
2.6
4.0
4.4
4.2
2027
3.0
2.7
2.8
4.0
4.4
2.6
4.0
2028
3.0
2.1
3.0
4.5
4.0
2.3
4.0
5-year average1
0.8
2.7
0.2
2.3
2.8
5.9
4.6
Inflation (annual average growth rate, %)
2024
3.2
2.7
2.1
1.8
2.7
2.3
4.2
2025
2.2
2.2
2.1
2.0
1.8
2.2
3.6
2026
2.2
2.3
2.2
2.1
1.7
2.1
3.5
2027
2.3
2.2
2.4
2.0
1.9
2.1
3.5
2028
2.3
2.2
2.4
2.0
2.1
2.1
3.5
5-year average1
2.4
2.3
2.2
2.0
2.0
2.1
3.7
Central bank policy rate (annual average, %)2
2024
5.0
5.0
5.4
3.2
3.6
5.1
10.4
2025
4.3
4.0
4.4
3.3
2.8
4.1
8.6
2026
3.9
3.7
4.1
3.5
2.6
3.7
7.9
2027
3.8
3.7
4.1
3.7
2.6
3.7
7.9
2028
3.7
3.8
4.1
3.9
2.7
3.8
8.1
5-year average1
4.1
4.1
4.4
3.5
2.9
4.1
8.6
1 The five-year average is calculated over a projected period of 20 quarters from 1Q24 to 4Q28.
2 For mainland China, rate shown is the Loan Prime Rate.
Consensus Upside scenario 4Q24–3Q29 (as at 3Q24)
UK
US
Hong Kong
Mainland China
France
UAE
Mexico
GDP level
(%, start-to-peak)1
11.9
(3Q29)
14.9
(3Q29)
21.5
(3Q29)
28.5
(3Q29)
9.2
(3Q29)
29.0
(3Q29)
16.6
(3Q29)
Unemployment rate
(%, min)2
3.0
(3Q26)
3.3
(3Q26)
2.5
(3Q26)
4.5
(3Q26)
6.2
(3Q26)
2.2
(3Q26)
2.8
(2Q25)
House price index
(%, start-to-peak)1
23.6
(3Q29)
25.6
(3Q29)
18.9
(3Q29)
5.4
(3Q29)
23.7
(3Q29)
27.9
(3Q29)
28.6
(3Q29)
Inflation rate
(YoY % change, min)3
1.0
(4Q25)
0.5
(3Q25)
0.6
(3Q25)
0.0
(3Q25)
0.8
(3Q25)
0.7
(3Q25)
2.5
(4Q25)
Central bank policy rate
(%, min)2
3.4
(4Q28)
3.1
(1Q27)
3.4
(1Q27)
3.2
(3Q25)
1.9
(3Q25)
3.1
(1Q27)
7.3
(1Q26)
1 Cumulative change to the highest level of the series during the 20-quarter projection.
2 Lowest projected unemployment or policy rate in the scenario. For mainland China, the rate shown is the Loan Prime Rate.
3 Lowest projected year-on-year percentage change in inflation in the scenario.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
55
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Consensus Upside scenario 2024–2028 (as at 4Q23)
UK
US
Hong Kong
Mainland China
France
UAE
Mexico
GDP level
(%, start-to-peak)1
10.8
(4Q28)
14.3
(4Q28)
21.8
(4Q28)
30.4
(4Q28)
10.4
(4Q28)
30.7
(4Q28)
17.8
(4Q28)
Unemployment rate
(%, min)2
3.1
(4Q24)
3.1
(2Q25)
2.4
(3Q24)
4.8
(4Q25)
6.2
(4Q25)
2.0
(4Q25)
2.4
(3Q24)
House price index
(%, start-to-peak)1
13.0
(4Q28)
21.9
(4Q28)
17.9
(4Q28)
19.7
(4Q28)
19.6
(4Q28)
34.2
(4Q28)
30.6
(4Q28)
Inflation rate
(YoY % change, min)3
1.3
(2Q25)
1.4
(1Q25)
0.3
(4Q24)
0.6
(3Q24)
1.5
(3Q24)
1.4
(1Q25)
2.7
(1Q25)
Central bank policy rate
(%, min)2
3.7
(3Q28)
3.7
(2Q27)
4.1
(1Q27)
3.1
(3Q24)
2.6
(2Q26)
3.7
(1Q27)
7.8
(2Q25)
1 Cumulative change to the highest level of the series during the 20-quarter projection.
2 Lowest projected unemployment or policy rate in the scenario. For mainland China, the rate shown is the Loan Prime Rate.
3 Lowest projected year-on-year percentage change in inflation in the scenario.
Consensus Downside scenario 4Q24–3Q29 (as at 3Q24)
UK
US
Hong Kong
Mainland China
France
UAE
Mexico
GDP level
(%, start-to-trough)1
(0.6)
(4Q26)
(1.4)
(2Q25)
(1.8)
(1Q26)
(2.3)
(2Q25)
(0.5)
(2Q25)
0.2
(4Q24)
(2.0)
(4Q25)
Unemployment rate
(%, max)2
6.6
(3Q25)
5.4
(2Q25)
4.3
(2Q26)
6.4
(3Q26)
8.4
(2Q25)
3.6
(2Q25)
3.8
(4Q25)
House price index
(%, start-to-trough)1
(5.4)
(4Q25)
(0.3)
(4Q24)
(10.1)
(4Q25)
(14.2)
(4Q26)
(0.2)
(1Q25)
(0.2)
(4Q24)
0.8
(4Q24)
Inflation rate
(YoY % change, max)3
3.9
(3Q25)
3.9
(3Q25)
4.6
(2Q25)
2.6
(2Q25)
3.4
(1Q25)
3.0
(3Q25)
6.1
(3Q25)
Central bank policy rate
(%, max)2
5.3
(4Q24)
5.1
(4Q24)
5.5
(4Q24)
3.4
(4Q24)
3.8
(2Q25)
5.1
(4Q24)
11.6
(2Q25)
1 Cumulative change to the lowest level of the series during the 20-quarter projection.
2 Highest projected unemployment or policy rate in the scenario. For mainland China, the rate shown is the Loan Prime Rate.
3 Highest projected year-on-year percentage change in inflation in the scenario.
Consensus Downside scenario 2024–2028 (as at 4Q23)
UK
US
Hong Kong
Mainland China
France
UAE
Mexico
GDP level
(%, start-to-trough)1
(1.0)
(2Q25)
(1.4)
(3Q24)
(1.6)
(3Q25)
(1.5)
(1Q24)
(0.3)
(2Q24)
1.4
(1Q24)
(0.3)
(4Q24)
Unemployment rate
(%, max)2
6.4
(1Q25)
5.6
(4Q24)
4.7
(4Q25)
6.9
(4Q25)
8.5
(4Q24)
3.7
(4Q25)
3.5
(4Q25)
House price index
(%, start-to-trough)1
(12.0)
(2Q25)
(1.3)
(3Q24)
(9.6)
(4Q24)
(7.1)
(3Q25)
(1.2)
(3Q24)
0.3
(1Q24)
1.2
(1Q24)
Inflation rate
(YoY % change, max)3
4.1
(1Q24)
3.5
(4Q24)
3.8
(3Q24)
3.5
(4Q24)
3.8
(2Q24)
3.0
(1Q24)
6.5
(4Q24)
Central bank policy rate
(%, max)2
5.7
(1Q24)
5.6
(1Q24)
6.0
(1Q24)
3.2
(3Q24)
4.2
(1Q24)
5.7
(1Q24)
12.0
(3Q24)
1 Cumulative change to the lowest level of the series during the 20-quarter projection.
2 Highest projected unemployment or policy rate in the scenario. For mainland China, the rate shown is the Loan Prime Rate.
3 Highest projected year-on-year percentage change in inflation in the scenario.
Downside 2 scenario 4Q24–3Q29 (as at 3Q24)
UK
US
Hong Kong
Mainland China
France
UAE
Mexico
GDP level
(%, start-to-trough)1
(8.6)
(1Q26)
(4.1)
(4Q25)
(7.9)
(1Q26)
(7.8)
(3Q25)
(8.1)
(4Q25)
(6.6)
(1Q26)
(9.3)
(2Q26)
Unemployment rate
(%, max)2
8.3
(1Q26)
9.2
(4Q25)
6.3
(3Q25)
6.8
(3Q26)
10.2
(3Q26)
5.1
(2Q25)
5.4
(4Q25)
House price index
(%, start-to-trough)1
(28.2)
(3Q26)
(15.9)
(3Q25)
(40.2)
(2Q27)
(32.1)
(4Q26)
(14.0)
(1Q27)
(12.0)
(1Q27)
0.8
(4Q24)
Inflation rate
(YoY % change, max)3
9.9
(1Q25)
4.6
(3Q25)
5.0
(2Q25)
5.1
(3Q25)
8.4
(1Q25)
3.5
(2Q25)
6.6
(3Q25)
Central bank policy rate
(%, max)2
5.8
(4Q24)
5.9
(4Q24)
6.2
(4Q24)
3.9
(2Q25)
4.8
(4Q24)
5.9
(4Q24)
12.2
(2Q25)
1 Cumulative change to the lowest level of the series during the 20-quarter projection.
2 Highest projected unemployment or policy rate in the scenario. For mainland China, the rate shown is the Loan Prime Rate.
3 Highest projected year-on-year percentage change in inflation in the scenario.
56
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Downside 2 scenario 2024–2028 (as at 4Q23)
UK
US
Hong Kong
Mainland China
France
UAE
Mexico
GDP level
(%, start-to-trough)1
(8.8)
(2Q25)
(4.6)
(1Q25)
(8.2)
(1Q25)
(6.4)
(1Q25)
(6.6)
(1Q25)
(4.9)
(2Q25)
(8.1)
(2Q25)
Unemployment rate
(%, max)2
8.4
(2Q25)
9.3
(2Q25)
6.4
(4Q24)
7.0
(4Q25)
10.2
(4Q25)
4.3
(3Q24)
4.9
(2Q25)
House price index
(%, start-to-trough)1
(30.2)
(4Q25)
(14.7)
(4Q24)
(32.8)
(3Q26)
(25.5)
(4Q25)
(14.5)
(2Q26)
(2.9)
(4Q25)
1.2
(1Q24)
Inflation rate
(YoY % change, max)3
10.1
(2Q24)
4.8
(2Q24)
4.1
(3Q24)
4.1
(4Q24)
8.6
(2Q24)
3.5
(2Q24)
7.0
(4Q24)
Central bank policy rate
(%, max)2
6.0
(1Q24)
6.1
(1Q24)
6.4
(1Q24)
4.1
(3Q24)
5.2
(1Q24)
6.1
(1Q24)
12.7
(3Q24)
1 Cumulative change to the lowest level of the series during the 20-quarter projection.
2 Highest projected unemployment or policy rate in the scenario. For mainland China, the rate shown is the Loan Prime Rate.
3 Highest projected year-on-year percentage change in inflation in the scenario.
The following table describes the probabilities assigned in each scenario.
Scenario weightings, %
Standard weights
UK
US
Hong Kong
Mainland China
France
UAE
Mexico
3Q24
Upside
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
Central
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
Downside
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
Downside 2
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4Q23
Upside
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
Central
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
Downside
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
Downside 2
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
At 30 September 2024, scenario weights are consistent with those applied in the previous quarter and at 31 December 2023. The consensus Upside and Central scenarios for all key markets have a combined weighting of 85%, with the remaining 15% assigned to the two Downside scenarios. Management assessed that forecast dispersion around the consensus estimate had remained stable and that market measures of volatility had stayed low. Risks were deemed to be adequately reflected in outer scenarios at their calibrated probability.
Management judgemental adjustments
In the context of IFRS 9, management judgemental adjustments are typically short-term increases or decreases to the modelled allowance for ECL at either a customer, segment or portfolio level where management believes allowances do not sufficiently reflect the credit risk/expected credit losses at the reporting date. These can relate to risks or uncertainties that are not reflected in the models and/or to any late-breaking events with significant uncertainty, subject to management review and challenge.
This includes refining model inputs and outputs and using adjustments to ECL based on management judgement and quantitative analysis for impacts that are difficult to model.
The effects of management judgemental adjustments are considered for both balances and allowance for ECL when determining whether or not a significant increase in credit risk has occurred and is allocated to a stage where appropriate. This is in accordance with the internal adjustments framework.
Management judgemental adjustments are reviewed under the governance process for IFRS 9, as detailed in the section ‘Credit risk management’ on page 183 of the Annual Report and Accounts 2023 on Form 20-F.
Review and challenge focuses on the rationale and quantum of the adjustments with a further review carried out by the second line of defence where significant. For some management judgemental adjustments, internal frameworks establish the conditions under which these adjustments should no longer be required and as such are considered as part of the governance process. This internal governance process allows management judgemental adjustments to be reviewed regularly and, where possible, to reduce the reliance on these through model recalibration or redevelopment, as appropriate.
The drivers of management judgemental adjustments continue to evolve with the economic environment and as new risks emerge.
In addition to management judgemental adjustments there are also ‘Other adjustments’, which are made to address process limitations, data/model deficiencies and can also include, where appropriate, the impact of new models where governance has sufficiently progressed to allow an accurate estimate of ECL allowance to be incorporated into the total reported ECL.
‘Management judgemental adjustments’ and ‘Other adjustments’ constitute the total value of adjustments to modelled allowance for ECL. For the wholesale portfolio, defaulted exposures are assessed individually and management judgemental adjustments are made only to the performing portfolio.
At 30 September 2024, there was a $0.4bn reduction in management judgemental adjustments compared with 31 December 2023.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
57
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Management judgemental adjustments made in estimating the scenario-weighted reported allowance for ECL at 30 September 2024 are set out in the following table.
Management judgemental adjustments to ECL at 30 September 20241
Retail
Wholesale2
Total
$bn
$bn
$bn
Modelled ECL (A)3
2.7
1.9
4.6
Banks, sovereigns, government entities and low-risk counterparties
0.0
0.0
Corporate lending adjustments
0.2
0.2
Inflation-related adjustments
0.0
0.0
Other credit judgements
0.1
0.1
Total management judgemental adjustments (B)4
0.1
0.2
0.3
Other adjustments (C)5
(0.1)
0.1
0.0
Final ECL (A + B + C)6
2.7
2.2
4.9
Management judgemental adjustments to ECL at 31 December 20231,7
Retail
Wholesale2
Total
$bn
$bn
$bn
Modelled ECL (A)3
2.6
2.4
5.0
Banks, sovereigns, government entities and low-risk counterparties
0.0
0.0
Corporate lending adjustments
0.1
0.1
Inflation-related adjustments
0.1
0.1
Other credit judgements
0.5
0.5
Total management judgemental adjustments (B)4
0.6
0.1
0.7
Other adjustments (C)5
0.0
0.0
0.0
Final ECL (A + B + C)6
3.2
2.5
5.7
1 Management judgemental adjustments presented in the table reflect increases or (decreases) to allowance for ECL, respectively.
2 The wholesale portfolio corresponds to adjustments to the performing portfolio (stage 1 and stage 2).
3 (A) refers to probability-weighted allowance for ECL before any adjustments are applied.
4 (B) refers to adjustments that are applied where management believes allowance for ECL does not sufficiently reflect the credit risk/expected credit losses of any given portfolio at the reporting date. These can relate to risks or uncertainties that are not reflected in the model and/or to any late-breaking events.
5 (C) refers to adjustments to allowance for ECL made to address process limitations, data/model deficiencies, and can also include, where appropriate, the impact of new models where governance has sufficiently progressed to allow an accurate estimate of ECL allowance to be incorporated into the total reported ECL.
6 As presented within our internal credit risk governance (see page 183 of the Annual Report and Accounts 2023 on Form 20-F).
7 31 December 2023 includes the allowance for ECL related to the Canada banking business and retail banking operations in France.
At 30 September 2024, wholesale management judgemental adjustments were an increase to allowance for ECL of $0.2bn (31 December 2023: $0.1bn increase), mostly to reflect heightened uncertainty in specific sectors and geographies, including adjustments to exposures to the real estate sectors booked in Hong Kong, mainland China and the US.
In the retail portfolio, management judgemental adjustments were an increase to modelled ECL of $0.1bn at 30 September 2024 (31 December 2023: $0.6bn increase). The decrease in management judgemental adjustments to ECL allowance compared with 31 December 2023 was primarily attributed to the UK, where performance continued to remain resilient and modelled ECL becomes more reflective of expected credit performance.
Economic scenarios sensitivity analysis of ECL estimates
Management considered the sensitivity of the ECL outcome against the economic forecasts as part of the ECL governance process by recalculating the ECL under each scenario described above for selected portfolios, applying a 100% weighting to each scenario in turn. The weighting is reflected in both the determination of a significant increase in credit risk and the measurement of the resulting ECL.
The allowance for ECL calculated for the Upside and Downside scenarios should not be taken to represent the upper and lower limits of possible ECL outcomes. The impact of defaults that might occur in the future under different economic scenarios is captured by recalculating ECL for loans at the balance sheet date.
There is a particularly high degree of estimation uncertainty in numbers representing more severe risk scenarios when assigned a 100% weighting.
For wholesale credit risk exposures, the sensitivity analysis excludes allowance for ECL and financial instruments related to defaulted (stage 3) obligors. Loans to defaulted obligors are a small portion of the overall wholesale lending exposure, even if representing the majority of the allowance for ECL. The measurement of stage 3 ECL is relatively more sensitive to credit factors specific to the obligor than future economic scenarios, and therefore the effects of macroeconomic factors are not necessarily the key consideration when performing individual assessments of allowances for obligors in default. Due to the range and specificity of the credit factors to which the ECL is sensitive, it is not possible to provide a meaningful alternative sensitivity analysis for a consistent set of risks across all defaulted obligors.
For retail credit risk exposures, the sensitivity analysis includes ECL allowance for loans and advances to customers related to defaulted obligors. This is because the retail ECL allowance for secured mortgage portfolios, including loans in all stages, is sensitive to macroeconomic variables.
58
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Group ECL sensitivity results
The allowance for ECL of the scenarios and management judgemental adjustments is highly sensitive to movements in economic forecasts. If the Group allowance for ECL balance was estimated solely on the basis of the Central scenario, Downside scenario or the Downside 2 scenario at 30 September 2024, it would increase/(decrease) as presented in the below table.
Retail
Wholesale1
Total Group ECL at 30 Sep 20242,3
$bn
$bn
Reported ECL
2.5
2.2
Scenarios
100% consensus Central scenario
(0.1)
(0.2)
100% consensus Upside scenario
(0.2)
(0.6)
100% consensus Downside scenario
0.0
0.8
100% Downside 2 scenario
1.9
4.1
Total Group ECL at 31 Dec 20232,3
Reported ECL
3.0
2.5
Scenarios
100% consensus Central scenario
(0.1)
(0.2)
100% consensus Upside scenario
(0.5)
(0.7)
100% consensus Downside scenario
0.4
0.8
100% Downside 2 scenario
2.1
4.5
1 Includes low credit-risk financial instruments, such as debt instruments at FVOCI, which have high carrying values but low ECL under all the scenarios.
2 ECL sensitivities exclude portfolios utilising less complex modelling approaches for the retail portfolio and defaulted obligors for the wholesale portfolio.
3 30 September 2024 excludes the Canada banking business, the sale of which completed on 28 March 2024. 31 December 2023 includes the Canada banking business. 30 September 2024 excludes the retained portfolio following the sale of retail banking operations in France, which completed on 1 January 2024. 31 December 2023 includes all retail banking operations in France.
At 30 September 2024, the Group allowance for ECL decreased in the retail portfolio by $0.5bn and decreased by $0.3bn in the wholesale portfolio, compared with 31 December 2023. There was also a reduction in ECL sensitivity across all scenarios within the retail and wholesale portfolios since 31 December 2023, primarily as a result of the sale of our Canada banking business and sale of our retail banking operations in France during the first half of 2024. This was the main driver of the decrease in Downside 2 ECL sensitivity for the wholesale portfolio.
At 30 September 2024 the retail portfolio sensitivity of the allowance for ECL across all scenarios was lower compared with 31 December 2023. This was due to lower reported ECL levels, reduced macroeconomic forecast uncertainty, reduction in management judgemental adjustments and the implementation of revised models and model methodology across many of the portfolios. This revised methodology maintains the higher sensitivity to the Downside 2 scenario while better reflecting the lower sensitivity to the consensus scenarios.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
59
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Personal lending
Total personal lending for loans and advances to customers at amortised cost by stage distribution
Gross carrying amount
Allowance for ECL
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
Total
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
By legal entity
HSBC UK Bank plc
158,071
36,533
1,258
195,862
(158)
(344)
(257)
(759)
HSBC Bank plc1
24,251
1,574
337
26,162
(18)
(24)
(104)
(146)
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
195,828
6,328
1,165
203,321
(171)
(370)
(169)
(710)
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
3,597
140
49
3,786
(15)
(27)
(31)
(73)
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
20,032
490
350
20,872
(5)
(13)
(13)
(31)
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
11,565
1,214
632
13,411
(155)
(396)
(282)
(833)
Other trading entities1
744
49
3
796
(6)
(2)
(2)
(10)
At 30 Sep 2024
414,088
46,328
3,794
464,210
(528)
(1,176)
(858)
(2,562)
By legal entity
HSBC UK Bank plc
146,354
35,190
1,218
182,762
(152)
(490)
(255)
(897)
HSBC Bank plc
14,598
1,747
273
16,618
(24)
(22)
(91)
(137)
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
191,382
7,741
948
200,071
(165)
(402)
(162)
(729)
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
3,335
397
47
3,779
(19)
(33)
(36)
(88)
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
18,096
553
364
19,013
(5)
(14)
(16)
(35)
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
12,717
1,740
536
14,993
(197)
(463)
(273)
(933)
Other trading entities
10,052
115
119
10,286
(17)
(10)
(21)
(48)
At 31 Dec 2023
396,534
47,483
3,505
447,522
(579)
(1,434)
(854)
(2,867)
1 At 31 December 2023, ‘Other trading entities‘ included gross carrying amount of $9,079m and allowances for ECL of $23m related to Private Banking entities that were reclassified to HSBC Bank plc to continue the process of simplifying our structure.
Wholesale lending
Total wholesale lending for loans and advances to banks and customers at amortised cost by stage distribution
Gross carrying amount
Allowance for ECL
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
POCI
Total
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
POCI
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
$m
By legal entity
HSBC UK Bank plc
84,676
13,908
3,820
—
102,404
(219)
(407)
(698)
—
(1,324)
HSBC Bank plc1
90,536
7,175
2,490
45
100,246
(66)
(97)
(770)
(18)
(951)
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
301,325
28,384
11,985
37
341,731
(172)
(605)
(4,132)
(23)
(4,932)
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
25,225
1,309
843
5
27,382
(27)
(9)
(477)
(1)
(514)
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
31,302
5,028
550
—
36,880
(34)
(126)
(120)
—
(280)
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
13,028
1,360
230
—
14,618
(36)
(44)
(132)
—
(212)
Other trading entities1
8,858
385
354
—
9,597
(12)
(4)
(179)
—
(195)
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-Group eliminations
69
—
—
—
69
—
—
—
—
—
At 30 Sep 2024
555,019
57,549
20,272
87
632,927
(566)
(1,292)
(6,508)
(42)
(8,408)
By legal entity
HSBC UK Bank plc
76,793
18,735
3,769
—
99,297
(213)
(474)
(593)
—
(1,280)
HSBC Bank plc
82,025
8,452
2,673
40
93,190
(69)
(138)
(1,035)
(7)
(1,249)
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
287,876
37,402
7,077
38
332,393
(185)
(696)
(3,349)
(21)
(4,251)
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
21,927
1,598
894
3
24,422
(17)
(11)
(571)
(2)
(601)
HSBC North America Holdings Inc.
30,797
5,712
583
—
37,092
(24)
(145)
(127)
—
(296)
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
13,714
1,186
382
—
15,282
(39)
(56)
(231)
—
(326)
Other trading entities
11,164
1,739
392
—
13,295
(14)
(13)
(192)
—
(219)
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-Group eliminations
33
—
—
—
33
—
—
—
—
—
At 31 Dec 2023
524,329
74,824
15,770
81
615,004
(561)
(1,533)
(6,098)
(30)
(8,222)
1 At 31 December 2023, ‘Other trading entities‘ included gross carrying amount of $1,792m and allowances for ECL of $1m related to Private Banking entities that were reclassified to HSBC Bank plc to continue the process of simplifying our structure.
60
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Commercial real estate
The following table presents the Group’s exposure to borrowers classified in the commercial real estate sector where the ultimate parent is based in mainland China, as well as all commercial real estate exposures booked on mainland China balance sheets. The exposures and allowances for ECL at 30 September 2024 are split by country/territory and credit quality. Additionally, allowances for ECL are split by stage.
Commercial real estate financing refers to lending that focuses on commercial development and investment in real estate and covers commercial, residential and industrial assets. The exposures in the table are related to companies whose primary activities are focused on these areas. The table also includes financing provided to a corporate or financial entity for the purchase or financing of a property that supports the overall operations of the business. Such exposures are outside of our normal definition of commercial real estate, as applied elsewhere in this Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K, but are provided here for a more comprehensive view of our property exposures in mainland China.
Mainland China commercial real estate
Hong Kong
Mainland China
Rest of the Group
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
Loans and advances to customers1
4,342
4,149
327
8,818
Guarantees issued and others2
47
16
6
69
Total mainland China commercial real estate exposure at 30 Sep 2024
4,389
4,165
333
8,887
Distribution of mainland China commercial real estate exposure by credit quality
Strong
186
1,614
110
1,910
Good
542
872
1
1,415
Satisfactory
214
1,184
53
1,451
Sub-standard
817
150
150
1,117
Credit impaired
2,630
345
19
2,994
At 30 Sep 2024
4,389
4,165
333
8,887
Allowance for ECL by credit quality
Strong
—
(4)
—
(4)
Good
—
(4)
—
(4)
Satisfactory
—
(16)
—
(16)
Sub-standard
(140)
(26)
(17)
(183)
Credit impaired
(1,780)
(108)
(3)
(1,891)
At 30 Sep 2024
(1,920)
(158)
(20)
(2,098)
Allowance for ECL by stage distribution
Stage 1
—
(10)
—
(10)
Stage 2
(140)
(40)
(17)
(197)
Stage 3
(1,778)
(108)
(3)
(1,889)
POCI
(2)
—
—
(2)
At 30 Sep 2024
(1,920)
(158)
(20)
(2,098)
ECL coverage %
43.7
3.8
6.0
23.6
1 Amounts represent gross carrying amount.
2 Amounts represent nominal amount for guarantees and other contingent liabilities.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
61
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Mainland China commercial real estate (continued)
Hong Kong
Mainland China
Rest of the Group
Total
$m
$m
$m
$m
Loans and advances to customers1
6,033
4,917
839
11,789
Guarantees issued and others2
255
66
37
358
Total mainland China commercial real estate exposure at 31 Dec 2023
6,288
4,983
876
12,147
Distribution of mainland China commercial real estate exposure by
credit quality
Strong
781
1,723
6
2,510
Good
604
953
421
1,978
Satisfactory
679
1,704
261
2,644
Sub-standard
1,298
327
188
1,813
Credit impaired
2,926
276
—
3,202
At 31 Dec 2023
6,288
4,983
876
12,147
Allowance for ECL by credit quality
Strong
—
(3)
—
(3)
Good
—
(5)
(1)
(6)
Satisfactory
(3)
(27)
—
(30)
Sub-standard
(66)
(87)
(16)
(169)
Credit impaired
(1,726)
(125)
—
(1,851)
At 31 Dec 2023
(1,795)
(247)
(17)
(2,059)
Allowance for ECL by stage distribution
Stage 1
—
(10)
—
(10)
Stage 2
(69)
(112)
(17)
(198)
Stage 3
(1,726)
(125)
—
(1,851)
At 31 Dec 2023
(1,795)
(247)
(17)
(2,059)
ECL coverage %
28.5
5.0
1.9
17.0
1 Amounts represent gross carrying amount.
2 Amounts represent nominal amount for guarantees and other contingent liabilities.
The table above shows that commercial real estate financing exposures were $8.9bn at 30 September 2024, down from $12.1bn at 31 December 2023. The reduction was mainly due to repayments by performing customers. Total ‘credit impaired’ exposures at 30 September 2024 were stable, standing at $3.0bn, down from $3.2bn at 31 December 2023.
Allowances for ECL are substantially against unsecured exposures. For secured exposures, allowances for ECL are minimal, reflecting the nature and value of the security held.
Facilities booked in Hong Kong continued to represent the largest proportion of mainland China commercial real estate exposures, although total exposures fell to $4.4bn, down by $1.9bn since 31 December 2023, as a result of de-risking measures, repayments and write-offs. This portfolio remains relatively higher risk, with $2.6bn (31 December 2023: $2.9bn) of exposures in the ‘credit impaired’ category.
At 30 September 2024, the Group had allowances for ECL of $1.9bn (31 December 2023: $1.8bn) held against commercial real estate exposures for companies whose ultimate parent is based in mainland China and which are booked in Hong Kong. ECL coverage increased to 43.7% (31 December 2023: 28.5%) to reflect the assessment of risk associated with this portfolio.
Approximately half of the performing exposure in the Hong Kong portfolio is lending to state-owned enterprises and relatively strong privately-owned enterprises. This is reflected in the relatively low allowance for ECL in this part of the portfolio. Mainland China property market activity remains subdued with housing demand yet to meaningfully recover. Stimulus measures introduced in September 2024 nevertheless demonstrate the government’s determination to stabilise the sector, and while further policy support may be required, these measures represent concerted government efforts to improve market confidence and demand. We continue to monitor developments in the real estate sector closely, including the extent to which government support measures are driving a sustained stabilisation of property market fundamentals and financing conditions.
The Group has additional exposures to mainland China commercial real estate as a result of lending to multinational corporates booked outside of mainland China, which is not incorporated in the table above.
62
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Capital risk
Capital overview
Capital and liquidity adequacy metrics
At
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
Risk-weighted assets (‘RWAs‘) ($bn)
Credit risk
690.0
664.1
Counterparty credit
37.6
36.8
Market risk
37.4
37.9
Operational risk
98.9
96.3
Total risk-weighted assets
863.9
835.1
Capital on a transitional basis ($bn)
Common equity tier 1 capital
131.4
125.3
Tier 1 capital
150.6
144.3
Total capital
179.8
172.1
Capital ratios on a transitional basis (%)
Common equity tier 1 ratio
15.2
15.0
Tier 1 ratio
17.4
17.3
Total capital ratio
20.8
20.6
Capital on an end point basis ($bn)
Common equity tier 1 capital
131.4
125.3
Tier 1 capital
150.6
144.3
Total capital
175.6
168.1
Capital ratios on an end point basis (%)
Common equity tier 1 ratio
15.2
15.0
Tier 1 ratio
17.4
17.3
Total capital ratio
20.3
20.1
Liquidity coverage ratio (‘LCR’)
Total high-quality liquid assets ($bn)
649.2
646.1
Total net cash outflow ($bn)
473.0
472.3
LCR (%)1
137
137
1 We enhanced our calculation processes during 1H24. As the Group LCR is reported as a 12-month average, the benefit of these changes is being recognised incrementally over the year starting from 30 June 2024.
References to EU regulations and directives (including technical standards) should, as applicable, be read as references to the UK’s version of such regulation or directive, as onshored into UK law under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018, and as may be subsequently amended under UK law.
Capital figures and ratios in the previous table are calculated in accordance with the regulatory requirements of the Capital Requirements Regulation and Directive, the CRR II regulation and the Prudential Regulation Authority (’PRA’) Rulebook (’CRR II’). The table presents them under the transitional arrangements in CRR II for capital instruments and after their expiry, known as the end point.
Regulatory numbers and ratios are as presented at the date of reporting. Small changes may exist between these numbers and ratios and those subsequently submitted in regulatory filings. Where differences are significant, we may restate in subsequent periods.
Capital
At 30 September 2024, our CET1 capital ratio increased to 15.2% from 15.0% at 30 June 2024, driven by an increase in CET1 capital of $6.1bn, partly offset by an increase in RWAs of $28.8bn.
The key drivers impacting the CET1 ratio were:
–a 0.3 percentage point increase from capital generation, mainly through regulatory profits and other reserves, partly offset by dividends and the share buy-back announced with our 2Q24 results;
–a 0.1 percentage point increase from the favourable impact of foreign exchange fluctuations; and
–a 0.2 percentage point decrease driven by higher RWAs, mainly from asset size and asset quality movements.
Our Pillar 2A requirement at 30 September 2024, as per the PRA’s Individual Capital Requirement based on a point-in-time assessment, was equivalent to 2.6% of RWAs, of which 1.5% was required to be met by CET1. Throughout 3Q24, we complied with the PRA’s regulatory capital adequacy requirement.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
63
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Leverage
Leverage ratio
At
30 Sep 2024
30 Jun 2024
$bn
$bn
Tier 1 capital (leverage)
150.6
144.3
Total leverage ratio exposure
2,657.8
2,514.5
%
%
Leverage ratio
5.7
5.7
Our leverage ratio was 5.7% at 30 September 2024, unchanged from 30 June 2024. The increase in the leverage exposures led to a 0.3 percentage point fall in the leverage ratio, primarily due to growth in the balance sheet, which was offset by a 0.3 percentage point increase due to an increase in tier 1 capital.
At 30 September 2024, our UK minimum leverage ratio requirement of 3.25% was supplemented by a leverage ratio buffer of 1.0%, which consists of an additional leverage ratio buffer of 0.7% and a countercyclical leverage ratio buffer of 0.3%. These buffers translated into capital values of $18.6bn and $8.0bn respectively. We exceeded these leverage requirements throughout 3Q24.
Risk-weighted assets
RWAs by global business
WPB
CMB
GBM
Corporate Centre
Total
RWAs
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
Credit risk
155.1
313.2
135.9
85.8
690.0
Counterparty credit risk
0.8
0.3
35.3
1.2
37.6
Market risk
1.7
1.4
27.7
6.6
37.4
Operational risk
34.1
33.7
33.3
(2.2)
98.9
At 30 Sep 2024
191.7
348.6
232.2
91.4
863.9
At 30 Jun 2024
182.5
335.7
225.1
91.8
835.1
RWAs by legal entities1
HSBC UK Bank plc
HSBC Bank plc
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-Group eliminations2
Total
RWAs
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
Credit risk
121.4
76.9
326.6
19.6
63.6
—
24.1
49.1
8.7
690.0
Counterparty credit risk
0.3
20.1
10.6
0.5
3.6
—
0.5
2.0
—
37.6
Market risk3
0.2
25.0
27.2
1.6
3.0
—
0.8
1.8
2.5
37.4
Operational risk
18.9
18.8
47.2
3.7
7.2
—
4.5
4.7
(6.1)
98.9
At 30 Sep 2024
140.8
140.8
411.6
25.4
77.4
—
29.9
57.6
5.1
863.9
At 30 Jun 2024
131.5
137.1
401.2
26.1
76.8
—
31.3
55.0
4.9
835.1
1 Balances are on a third-party Group consolidated basis.
2 Balances include HSBC Bank Canada operational risk RWAs due to the averaging calculation and will roll off over future reporting cycles.
3 Market risk RWAs are non-additive across the legal entities due to diversification effects within the Group.
RWA movement by global business by key driver
Credit risk, counterparty credit risk and operational risk
Market risk
Total RWAs
WPB
CMB
GBM
Corporate Centre
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
RWAs at 1 Jul 2024
181.3
334.5
197.4
84.0
37.9
835.1
Asset size
3.7
5.9
1.6
1.3
(0.7)
11.8
Asset quality
—
0.9
2.2
1.1
—
4.2
Model updates
1.6
0.6
—
(3.3)
—
(1.1)
Methodology and policy
—
(1.9)
—
0.9
0.2
(0.8)
Acquisitions and disposals
(0.1)
—
—
—
—
(0.1)
Foreign exchange movements1
3.5
7.2
3.3
0.8
—
14.8
Total RWA movement
8.7
12.7
7.1
0.8
(0.5)
28.8
RWAs at 30 Sep 2024
190.0
347.2
204.5
84.8
37.4
863.9
1 Credit risk foreign exchange movements in this disclosure are computed by retranslating RWAs into US dollars based on the underlying transactional currencies, and other movements in the table are presented on a constant currency basis.
64
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
RWA movement by legal entities by key driver1
Credit risk, counterparty credit risk and operational risk
HSBC UK Bank plc
HSBC Bank plc
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC North America Holdings Inc
HSBC Bank Canada
Grupo Financiero HSBC, S.A. de C.V.
Other trading entities
Holding companies, shared service centres and intra-Group eliminations
Market risk
Total RWAs
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
$bn
RWAs at 1 Jul 2024
131.3
111.6
372.0
23.5
73.1
—
30.5
53.5
1.7
37.9
835.1
Asset size
3.4
0.6
4.9
0.4
(0.1)
—
0.4
2.7
0.2
(0.7)
11.8
Asset quality
(0.1)
0.6
2.8
—
0.9
—
—
—
—
—
4.2
Model updates
—
(0.5)
(0.2)
(0.4)
—
—
—
—
—
—
(1.1)
Methodology and policy
(1.0)
—
(1.0)
0.2
0.4
—
—
—
0.4
0.2
(0.8)
Acquisitions and disposals
—
—
(0.1)
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
(0.1)
Foreign exchange movements2
7.0
3.5
6.0
0.1
0.1
—
(1.8)
(0.4)
0.3
—
14.8
Total RWA movement
9.3
4.2
12.4
0.3
1.3
—
(1.4)
2.3
0.9
(0.5)
28.8
RWAs at 30 Sep 2024
140.6
115.8
384.4
23.8
74.4
—
29.1
55.8
2.6
37.4
863.9
1 Balances are on a third-party Group consolidated basis.
2 Credit risk foreign exchange movements in this disclosure are computed by retranslating RWAs into US dollars based on the underlying transactional currencies, and other movements in the table are presented on a constant currency basis.
RWAs increased by $28.8bn during 3Q24, including a rise of $14.8bn due to foreign currency translation differences. The remaining $14.0bn increase in RWAs was predominantly attributed to asset size and asset quality movements.
Asset size
CMB RWAs rose by $5.9bn, due to an increase in corporate lending, mainly in HSBC UK Bank plc and Asia, and higher sovereign exposures in Asia.
WPB RWAs increased by $3.7bn, due to retail portfolio growth and an increase in sovereign exposures in Asia and Other trading entities.
GBM RWAs increased by $1.6bn, primarily due to higher securities financing exposures and an increased derivatives portfolio in counterparty credit risk, notably in HSBC Bank plc. The increase was partly offset by a fall in corporate exposures, primarily in Asia and the US.
Corporate Centre RWAs increased by $1.3bn, largely driven by movements related to investments in associates from lending growth in SAB and our holding in BoCom, reflected in Other trading entities and Asia respectively.
The $0.7bn decrease in market risk RWAs was mainly attributed to lower value at risk and foreign exchange exposures, which was partly offset by a rise in stressed value at risk, and a higher incremental risk charge from increased positions.
Asset quality
The $4.2bn rise in RWAs was mainly due to unfavourable credit risk migrations in Asia, including in the Hong Kong commercial real estate sector, and the US.
Model update
The $1.1bn fall in RWAs was mainly driven by a $2.2bn change to the financial institutions models, partly offset by an increase in the post-model adjustment for the Hong Kong mortgage model.
Methodology and policy
Credit risk parameter refinements offset by methodology changes, mainly in Asia, HSBC UK Bank plc and the US, led to an RWA decrease of $0.8bn.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
65
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Regulatory and other developments
In the UK, the PRA published its second set of near-final rules on credit risk, the output floor, and reporting and disclosure elements of Basel III Reforms (’Basel 3.1’) in September 2024. Near-final rules in relation to the market risk, credit valuation adjustments, counterparty risk and operational risk elements of the package were published by the PRA in December 2023. The implementation date is delayed by a further six months to 1 January 2026, with an output floor transitional period of four years until 31 December 2029.
We continue to assess the impact of Basel 3.1 standards on our capital, including the recent release of more beneficial PRA near-final rules, developments in the US and associated implementation challenges (including data provision). We continue to expect that the impact on our CET1 ratio at 1 January 2026 will be immaterial.
The work by Basel on climate-related financial risks across all three pillars of regulation, supervision and disclosure is ongoing. The initial work by Basel concluded that climate risk drivers, including physical and transition risks, can be captured in traditional financial risk categories such as credit, market, operational and liquidity risks. As part of its wider efforts to improve ESG risk coverage, Basel consulted in November 2023 on a Pillar 3 disclosures framework for climate-related financial risks with a proposed effective date of 1 January 2026.
Regulatory transitional arrangements for IFRS 9 ‘Financial Instruments‘
We have adopted the regulatory transitional arrangements of the Capital Requirements Regulation for IFRS 9, including paragraph four of article 473a. These allow banks to add back to their capital base a proportion of the impact that IFRS 9 has upon their loan loss allowances. Our capital and ratios are presented under these arrangements throughout the tables in this section, including the end point figures.
For further details, see our Pillar 3 Disclosures at 30 September 2024, which is expected to be published on or around 5 November 2024 at www.hsbc.com/investors.
66
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Additional information
Dividends
Second interim dividend for 2024
On 31 July 2024, the Directors approved a second interim dividend for 2024 of $0.10 per ordinary share, which was paid on 27 September 2024 in cash. The sterling and Hong Kong dollar amounts of approximately £0.075817 and HK$0.779073 were calculated using the forward exchange rates quoted by HSBC Bank plc in London at or about 11.00am on 16 September 2024.
Third interim dividend for 2024
On 29 October 2024, the Directors approved a third interim dividend in respect of the financial year ending 31 December 2024 of $0.10 per ordinary share (the ‘dividend‘), a distribution of approximately $1.814bn. The dividend will be payable on 19 December 2024 to holders of record on the Principal Register in the UK, the Hong Kong Overseas Branch Register or the Bermuda Overseas Branch Register on 8 November 2024.
The dividend will be payable in US dollars, or in pounds sterling or Hong Kong dollars at the forward exchange rates quoted by HSBC Bank plc in London at or about 11.00am on 9 December 2024. The ordinary shares in London, Hong Kong and Bermuda will be quoted ex-dividend on 7 November 2024. American Depositary Shares (‘ADSs’) in New York will be quoted ex-dividend on 8 November 2024.
The default currency on the Principal Register in the UK is pounds sterling, and dividends can also be paid in Hong Kong dollars or US dollars, or a combination of these currencies. International shareholders can register to join the Global Dividend Service to receive dividends in their local currencies. Please register and read the terms and conditions at www.investorcentre.co.uk. UK shareholders can also register their sterling bank mandates at www.investorcentre.co.uk.
The default currency on the Hong Kong Overseas Branch Register is Hong Kong dollars, and dividends can also be paid in US dollars or pounds sterling, or a combination of these currencies. Shareholders can arrange for direct credit of Hong Kong dollar cash dividends into their bank account, or arrange to send US dollar or pound sterling cheques to the credit of their bank account. Shareholders can register for these services at www.investorcentre.com/hk. Shareholders can also download a dividend currency election form from www.hsbc.com/dividends, www.investorcentre.com/hk, or www.hkexnews.hk.
The default currency on the Bermuda Overseas Branch Register is US dollars, and dividends can also be paid in Hong Kong dollars or pounds sterling, or a combination of these currencies. Shareholders can change their dividend currency election by contacting the Bermuda investor relations team. Shareholders can download a dividend currency election form from www.hsbc.com/dividends.
Changes to currency elections must be received by 5 December 2024 to be effective for this dividend.
The dividend will be payable on ADSs, each of which represents five ordinary shares, on 19 December 2024 to holders of record on 8 November 2024. The dividend of $0.50 per ADS will be payable by the depositary in US dollars. Alternatively, the cash dividend may be invested in additional ADSs by participants in the dividend reinvestment plan operated by the depositary. Elections must be received by 29 November 2024.
Any person who has acquired ordinary shares registered on the Principal Register in the UK, the Hong Kong Overseas Branch Register or the Bermuda Overseas Branch Register but who has not lodged the share transfer with the Principal Registrar in the UK, Hong Kong Overseas Branch Registrar or Bermuda Overseas Branch Registrar should do so before 4.00pm local time on 8 November 2024 in order to receive the dividend.
Ordinary shares may not be removed from or transferred to the Principal Register in the UK, the Hong Kong Overseas Branch Register or the Bermuda Overseas Branch Register on 8 November 2024. Any person wishing to remove ordinary shares to or from each register must do so before 4.00pm local time on 7 November 2024.
Shares repurchased under HSBC Holdings plc buy-backs, which have not yet been cancelled from the Hong Kong custodians CCASS account as at the record date, will not be eligible for the dividend.
Transfers of ADSs must be lodged with the depositary by 11.00am on 8 November 2024 in order to receive the dividend. ADS holders who receive a cash dividend will be charged a fee, which will be deducted by the depositary, of $0.005 per ADS per cash dividend.
Dividend on preference shares
A quarterly dividend of £0.01 per Series A sterling preference share is payable on 15 March, 17 June, 16 September and 16 December 2024 for the quarter then ended at the sole and absolute discretion of the Board of HSBC Holdings plc. Accordingly, the Board of HSBC Holdings plc has approved a quarterly dividend to be payable on 16 December 2024 to holders of record on 29 November 2024.
For and on behalf of
HSBC Holdings plc
Aileen Taylor
Company Secretary
The Board of Directors of HSBC Holdings plc as at the date of this announcement comprises: Sir Mark Edward Tucker*, Georges Bahjat Elhedery, Geraldine Joyce Buckingham†, Rachel Duan†, Dame Carolyn Julie Fairbairn†, James Anthony Forese†, Ann Frances Godbehere†, Steven Craig Guggenheimer†, Dr José Antonio Meade Kuribreña†, Kalpana Jaisingh Morparia†, Eileen K Murray†, Brendan Robert Nelson† and Swee Lian Teo†.
* Non-executive Group Chairman
† Independent non-executive Director
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
67
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Investor relations/media relations contacts
For further information contact:
Investor relations
Media relations
UK – Neil Sankoff
UK – Gillian James
Telephone: +44 (0) 20 7991 5072
Telephone: +44 (0)7584 404 238
Email: investorrelations@hsbc.com
Email: pressoffice@hsbc.com
Hong Kong – Yafei Tian
UK – Kirsten Smart
Telephone: +852 2899 8909
Telephone: +44 (0)7725 733 311
Email: investorrelations@hsbc.com.hk
Email: pressoffice@hsbc.com
Hong Kong – Aman Ullah
Telephone: +852 3941 1120
Email: aspmediarelations@hsbc.com.hk
68
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
Abbreviations
1H24
First half of 2024
1Q23
First quarter of 2023
1Q24
First quarter of 2024
2Q23
Second quarter of 2023
2Q24
Second quarter of 2024
3Q23
Third quarter of 2023
3Q24
Third quarter of 2024
4Q23
Fourth quarter of 2023
4Q24
Fourth quarter of 2024
9M23
First nine months of 2023
9M24
First nine months of 2024
ADR
American Depositary Receipt
ADS
American Depositary Share
AIBL
Average interest-bearing liabilities
AIEA
Average interest-earning assets
Banking NII
Banking net interest income
Basel III
Basel Committee’s reforms to strengthen global capital and liquidity rules
Basel 3.1
Outstanding measures to be implemented from the Basel III reforms
BoCom
Bank of Communications Co., Limited, one of China‘s largest banks
Bps
Basis points. One basis point is equal to one-hundredth of a percentage point
CET1
Common equity tier 1
CMB
Commercial Banking, a global business
CODM
Chief Operating Decision Maker
Corporate Centre
Corporate Centre comprises Central Treasury, our legacy businesses, interests in our associates and joint ventures, central stewardship costs and consolidation adjustments
CRR II
The regulatory requirements of the Capital Requirements Regulation and Directive, the CRR II regulation and the PRA Rulebook
CSM
Contractual service margin
Dec
December
EBA
European Banking Authority
ECL
Expected credit losses. In the income statement, ECL is recorded as a change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges. In the balance sheet, ECL is recorded as an allowance for financial instruments to which only the impairment requirements in IFRS 9 are applied
ESG
Environmental, social and governance
EU
European Union
FDIC
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
FTE
Full-time equivalent staff
FVOCI
Fair value through other comprehensive income
FX
Foreign exchange
GAAP
Generally accepted accounting principles
GBM
Global Banking and Markets, a global business
GDP
Gross domestic product
GEC
Group Executive Committee
GPS
Global Payments Solutions, the business formerly known as Global Liquidity and Cash Management
Group
HSBC Holdings together with its subsidiary undertakings
GTS
Global Trade Solutions, the business formerly known as Global Trade and Receivables Finance
Hong Kong
Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People’s Republic of China
HSBC
HSBC Holdings together with its subsidiary undertakings
HSBC Bank plc
HSBC Bank plc, also known as the non-ring-fenced bank
HSBC Holdings
HSBC Holdings plc, the parent company of HSBC
HSBC UK
HSBC UK Bank plc, also known as the ring-fenced bank
IAS
International Accounting Standards
Ibor
Interbank offered rate
IFRSs
International Financial Reporting Standards
IVB
HSBC Innovation Banking
Jun
June
JV
Joint venture
LCR
Liquidity coverage ratio
Long term
For our financial targets, we define long term as five to six years, commencing 1 January 2024
Mainland China
People’s Republic of China excluding Hong Kong and Macau
Mar
March
Medium term
For our financial targets, we define medium term as three to four years, commencing 1 January 2024
MENAT
Middle East, North Africa and Türkiye
MSS
Markets and Securities Services, HSBC’s capital markets and securities services businesses in Global Banking and Markets
Net operating income
Net operating income before change in expected credit losses and other credit impairment charges, also referred to as revenue
NII
Net interest income
NIM
Net interest margin
POCI
Purchased or originated credit-impaired financial assets
PRA
Prudential Regulation Authority (UK)
Revenue
Net operating income before ECL
RoE
Return on average ordinary shareholders’ equity
RoTE
Return on average tangible equity
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
69
Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
RWA
Risk-weighted asset
SAB
Saudi Awwal Bank, which was formed from the merger between The Saudi British Bank and Alawwal Bank
Sep
September
SVB UK
Silicon Valley Bank UK Limited, now HSBC Innovation Bank Limited
UAE
United Arab Emirates
UK
United Kingdom
US
United States of America
WPB
Wealth and Personal Banking, a global business
$m/$bn/$tn
United States dollar millions/billions/trillions. We report in US dollars
Registered office and Group head office: 8 Canada Square, London, E14 5HQ, United Kingdom
Web: www.hsbc.com
Incorporated in England with limited liability. Registered number 617987
Paste the following link into your web browser, to view the associated Data Pack PDF document.
HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Release 3Q24 on Form 6-K
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.