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What's Next For The Retail Sector After September's Sales Beat?

What's Next For The Retail Sector After September's Sales Beat?

9 月的銷售擊敗後,零售行業的下一步是什麼?
Benzinga Real-time News ·  2020/10/19 19:40

September retail sales grew 1.9%, which beat expectations and this marked a reversal from August's sales growth that fell short of estimates, Ally Invest's Chief Investment Strategist Lindsey Bell said on CNBC.

九月 零售銷售 盟友投資的首席投資策略師林賽·貝爾(Lindsey Bell)表示,增長 1.9%,超出預期,這標誌著 8 月份的銷售增長逆轉,低於估計 CNBC

'Really Strong Number': Friday's retail sales data shows the consumer "remains resilient," especially clothing and accessories sales that grew 11% month-over-month, Bell said. While this is a "really strong number," it could signify consumers are merely getting ahead of themselves
and spending will slow down in the near-term.

「真正強大的數字」: 貝爾說,週五的零售銷售數據顯示,消費者「保持彈性」,尤其是服裝和配飾銷售額按月增長 11%。雖然這是一個「真正強大的數字」,但它可能意味著消費者只是在領先自己
而消費將在短期內放緩。

The consumer wants to have a "good holiday season" so retail spending through the end of 2020 should remain strong.

消費者希望有一個「良好的節日季節」,因此到 2020 年底的零售支出應該保持強勁。

Retail Progress: Bell said economic data and sales readouts make it clear the retail sector experienced a "big rebound" from the Spring lows. But we haven' reached a point where some of the economic data is starting to slow down amid stimulus uncertainty from Washington and spiking COVID-19 cases in some regions.

零售進度:貝爾表示,經濟數據和銷售數據顯示,零售部門經歷了春季低點的「大反彈」。但是,在華盛頓的刺激不確定性以及某些地區的 COVID-19 病例激增的情況下,我們已經達到了一些經濟數據開始放緩的地步。

Consumers should be able to "weather the storm" for the next few months as the general consumer was in a better position prior to the pandemic outbreak, she said. However, financial aid will be needed to support the economy at recent growth rates.

她說,消費者應該能夠在接下來的幾個月內「風暴」,因為普通消費者在大流行爆發之前處於更好的位置。然而,我們將需要經濟援助,以最近的增長率支持經濟。

'Cautiously Optimistic' Looking forward to the end of 2020, it's difficult to rely on past history to try and model where the market is headed, she said. The fourth quarter is historically the best time for stocks with an average 3.9% return in the S&P 500 index.

「謹慎樂觀」 她說,期待 2020 年底,很難依靠過去的歷史來嘗試建立市場走向的模型。從歷史上看,第四季度是標普 500 指數平均回報 3.9% 的股票的最佳時機。

However, the index is up already 3.6% since the fourth quarter started just 12 days ago. Volatility will likely continue through the end of the year, but there are enough reasons to be "cautiously optimistic."

但是,自第四季度僅在 12 天前開始以來,該指數已經上漲了 3.6%。波動性可能會持續到今年年底,但有足夠的理由「謹慎樂觀」。

"We are in the later stages, at least I believe, of the coronavirus crisis, and we are still in positive stages of the reopening story," said Bell.

貝爾說:「至少我相信,我們處於冠狀病毒危機的後期階段,我們仍處於重新開放故事的積極階段。」

Better Early Than Late: Small-cap stocks are closely correlated with economic performance and it might be too early to conclude how the economic trajectory is moving forward, she said, but it's better to invest "too early than too late."

早比晚更好: 她說,小型股票與經濟表現密切相關,可能還為時過早,總結經濟軌跡如何向前發展,但最好是「太早投資比太晚」。

Bell is "starting to begin" to look at financial stocks. The sector has underperformed the most since the market rebound but it should "pop the most" as investors look for value-oriented sectors.

貝爾正在「開始」看金融股票。自市場反彈以來,該行業表現最低,但隨著投資者尋找面向價值的行業,它應該「流行最多」。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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