For investors involved in trading related to the USA Congressional budget Medicaid, Deutsche Bank recommends buying listed hospital stocks; once the budget policy becomes clearer, hospital stocks will experience a rebound, as no senators have indicated support for cutting Medicaid benefits.
The Sector Index has fallen by about 19% from its peak in September last year.$HCA Healthcare (HCA.US)$ 、$Tenet Healthcare (THC.US)$ and$Universal Health Services (UHS.US)$The stock price has been under pressure as lawmakers consider significant spending cuts, including cuts to Medicaid and other safety net programs that serve low-income Americans. According to Analyst Pito Chickering, once the budget policy becomes clearer, Hospital Stocks will rebound due to sell-offs.
In a research report on Tuesday, he wrote: "These Stocks are essentially dead money, trading within a narrow Range. Over the next few months, we expect federal budget clarity to increase, which will reassure investors that the worst-case scenario for the Medical Assistance program will not occur."
Since the pandemic, all Hospitals have been struggling under the weight of rising costs and labor shortages, leading to the closure of many non-profit Institutions. The Medical Assistance program is a major source of revenue for Hospitals, and the prospect of cuts to this program further pressures the sector. However, Chickering believes that the drastic drop in Hospital Stocks is unwarranted, as no senator has indicated support for cuts to Medical Assistance benefits, and this situation is unlikely to change with the upcoming 2026 midterm elections.
Nonetheless, he pointed out that since many non-profit organizations have low or negative profit margins, "the cancellation of the Medical Assistance program could put a large portion of Hospitals in the USA in jeopardy." Ultimately, although Chickering expects the current policy baseline to be "the path of least resistance with the most likely outcome."
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