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Is Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) A Risky Investment?

Is Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) A Risky Investment?

Chegg(紐交所:CHGG)是一個高風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/28 12:01

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Chegg, Inc. (NYSE:CHGG) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過,'波動性遠非與風險同義。' 因此看來,聰明的錢知道債務——通常與破產有關——是在評估一個公司的風險時非常重要的因素。值得注意的是,Chegg公司(紐交所:CHGG)確實有債務。但股東們是否應該擔心其債務使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時會變得危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業不能輕易履行債務和其他負債時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資本,這些負債就變得風險很大。如果情況真的很糟,貸款人可能會控制企業。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們時常看到負債過多的公司因爲貸款者迫使他們以低價籌集資本而永久稀釋股東權益。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表着廉價資本,尤其是在它取代了公司的稀釋,並且公司有能力以高回報率再投資時。考慮一家公司使用多少債務時,首先要看它的現金和債務總和。

What Is Chegg's Debt?

Chegg的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Chegg had debt of US$485.9m at the end of December 2024, a reduction from US$599.8m over a year. On the flip side, it has US$315.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$170.2m.

下面的圖片可以點擊查看更詳細的信息,顯示截至2024年12月底,Chegg的債務爲48590萬美元,比一年前減少了59980萬美元。另一方面,它有31570萬美元的現金,導致淨債務約爲17020萬美元。

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NYSE:CHGG Debt to Equity History February 28th 2025
紐交所:CHGG債務與股本歷史 2025年2月28日

How Healthy Is Chegg's Balance Sheet?

Chegg的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Chegg had liabilities of US$528.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$147.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$315.7m in cash and US$23.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$336.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,Chegg有到期負債52830萬美元,且14760萬美元的負債在一年後到期。相應地,它有31570萬美元的現金和2360萬美元的應收款項在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收款的總和多33660萬美元。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$108.3m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Chegg would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Chegg's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這裏的不足在10830萬美元的公司身上顯得格外沉重,就像一個孩子在承受着裝滿書籍、運動器材和小號的巨大揹包一樣。所以我們會密切關注它的資產負債表,這一點毫無疑問。畢竟,如果Chegg今天要支付其債權人,很可能需要進行大規模的再融資。分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是關注的重點。但最重要的是,未來的盈利能力將決定Chegg能否維持健康的資產負債表。所以如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,顯示分析師的利潤預測。

In the last year Chegg had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 14%, to US$618m. That's not what we would hope to see.

在過去一年中,Chegg在利息和稅前虧損,實際營業收入下降了14%,降至61800萬美元。這並不是我們所希望看到的。

Caveat Emptor

買者自負盈虧

While Chegg's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$19m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of US$837m in the last year. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Chegg has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

雖然Chegg的營業收入下降得就像溼毛毯一樣令人失望,但毫無爭議的是,它的利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)虧損更加不令人愉快。其EBIT虧損高達1900萬美元。如果考慮到上述顯著的負債,我們對這項投資非常謹慎。當然,憑藉一點運氣和良好的執行,它可能能夠改善其狀況。但是,我們認爲這種可能性不大,因爲它的流動資產不足,並且在過去一年中虧損了83700萬美元。因此,儘管假設公司會失敗並不明智,但我們確實認爲這很有風險。分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是關注的重點。但最終,任何公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。例如,Chegg有2個警告信號,我們認爲你應該注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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