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U.S. Stock Market Preview | January CPI data exceeded expectations! The three major index futures fell nearly 1% in the short term; Powell is making his second visit to Capitol Hill tonight; high-performing stocks soared in pre-market trading, with Upstar

Futu News · Feb 12 20:58

热点要闻

周三，美股三大期指短线下挫，1月CPI数据高于市场预期。

美国1月CPI同比增长3%，预期增长2.9%，前值增长2.9%。

明星科技股盘前多数上涨， $英特尔 (INTC.US)$涨超5%， $特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$涨超2%

热门中概股盘前普涨， $贝壳 (BEKE.US)$涨近10%，$阿里巴巴 (BABA.US)$、$理想汽车 (LI.US)$、$小鹏汽车 (XPEV.US)$齐涨逾3%

传Meta正在讨论收购韩国芯片公司FuriosaAI，或制造自研AI芯片

知情人士透露， $Meta Platforms (META.US)$正在讨论收购韩国人工智能芯片初创公司FuriosaAI，这笔交易最早可能在本月完成。报道称，Meta是有意收购这家人工智能初创公司的几家公司之一。如果Meta收购FuriosaAI，这家社交媒体巨头可能会设计和制造自己的人工智能芯片，而不是在芯片供应紧张的情况下依赖$英伟达 (NVDA.US)$。

消费电子投资者注意！周三起苹果或进入新品公告密集发布期

根据知名苹果爆料人马克·古尔曼数小时前的最新表态， $苹果 (AAPL.US)$公司似乎会从周三开始，拉开一轮各条产品线的更新周期，除了意料之中的iPhone SE外，甚至连冷门产品Apple Vision Pro似乎都有出场的机会。古尔曼表示，新款iPhone SE预计会在下周之前发布，届时苹果将举行产品简报。

超微电脑盘前涨超10%，Q2初步业绩疲弱，但2026财年营收目标400亿美元远超预期

$超微电脑 (SMCI.US)$盘前涨超10%。消息面上，超微电脑公布2025财年二季度初步业绩，销售额将介乎56亿至57亿美元，低于分析师预期的57.7亿美元；调整后每股收益初步将介乎0.58至0.6美元，略低于分析师预期的0.61美元。同时，超微电脑首席执行官Charles Liang公布一项长期目标,预计2026财年收入将达到400亿美元，远超分析师预期的291.8亿美元。

再次交出惊人财报！Upstart盘前飙升逾26%，Q4业绩及2025年指引均超预期

$Upstart (UPST.US)$盘前涨逾26%，Q4营收同比增长56%至2.19亿美元，好于市场预期的1.82亿美元；调整后的每股收益为0.26美元，好于市场预期的每股亏损0.04美元。Upstart Q4共发放贷款245,663笔，总计21亿美元，同比增长68%、环比增长33%；其转化率为19.3%，高于2023年第四季度的11.6%。Upstart预计2025年全年营收约为10亿美元，好于市场预期的8.23亿美元。

美国外卖需求强劲，DoorDash盘前涨逾6%，Q4同比扭亏为盈，订单指引超预期

$DoorDash (DASH.US)$盘前涨逾6%，第四季度营收同比增长25%至29亿美元，好于市场预期；归属于公司普通股股东的净利润为1.41亿美元，而上年同期亏损1.54亿美元;每股收益为0.33美元，符合市场预期。DoorDash第四季度订单总额为213亿美元，远超分析师预期的209亿美元。该公司预计2025年第一季度订单总额将达到226亿至230亿美元，也超出预期。

吉利德科学盘前涨超4%，Q4业绩及今年盈利指引超预期

$吉利德科学 (GILD.US)$盘前涨超4%。消息面上，吉利德科学公布去年第四季度业绩，营收同比增长6%至75.69亿美元，高于市场预期的71.4美元；其中，艾滋病药销售额同比增长16%至55亿美元。纯利同比增长25%至17.83亿美元；调整后每股收益为1.9美元，高于市场预期的1.7美元。指引方面，该公司预计今年销售额介乎282亿至286亿美元，市场预期为284.2亿美元。

西维斯健康盘前涨逾10%，公司Q4经调整EPS为1.19美元，超市场预期，同时业绩指引稳健

$西维斯健康 (CVS.US)$盘前涨逾10%，第四季度调整后的每股摊薄收益为1.19美元，超FactSet的分析师预期的0.91美元。季度营业收入为977.1亿，较去年同期的938.1亿有所增长，超FactSet调查的分析师预计的970.9亿。对于2025年，医疗保健和药品巨头预计调整后的摊薄后每股收益为5.75到6.00美元。超 FactSet的分析师预计非GAAP每股收益的5.86美元。

股神巴菲特又加仓西方石油，持股比例逼近30%

根据周二（2月11日）提交给美国SEC的一份文件，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司上周五（2月7日）增持了$西方石油 (OXY.US)$公司的少量股票。文件显示，伯克希尔此次共计买入763,017股西方石油公司股票，交易价值总计约3570万美元，加权平均价格为每股46.8195美元。在这次增持后，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司现在总共持有264,941,431股西方石油公司的普通股，持股比例高达28.3%。

盘前涨逾1%，巴里克黄金发布强劲财报，2025年产量展望乐观

$巴里克黄金 (GOLD.US)$盘前涨逾1%，公司财报显示，其2024年第四季度非公认会计准则每股收益为0.46美元，超出预期0.05美元。该公司营收达36.5亿美元，同比增长19.3%，但较上年同期减少3亿美元。公司宣布每股股息为0.10美元，2024年股东总回报为12亿美元。2025年，巴里克黄金公司预计黄金产量将在315-350万盎司之间。

Vertiv Holdings盘前跌超10%，Q4净销售额超预期，但本季业绩指引略显保守

$Vertiv Holdings (VRT.US)$美股盘前跌超10%；公司Q4净销售额23.46亿美元，同比增26%，高于市场21.51亿美元的预期；经调整EPS为0.99美元，高于市场0.82美元的预期。对于2025年Q1，预计经调整EPS为0.57美元至0.63美元，市场预计为0.63美元；净销售额为19亿美元至19.5亿美元，市场预计为19.2亿美元。预计2025年全年经调整EPS为3.5美元至3.6美元，市场预计为3.57美元。

诺和诺德盘前跌近2%，研究发现Ozempic等药物或可致失明

$诺和诺德 (NVO.US)$盘前跌近2%。消息上，研究人员上个月在《美国医学会杂志-眼科学》上刊文称，9例美国患者在服用了诺和诺德的Ozempic或$礼来 (LLY.US)$的Mounjaro之后出现了失明的症状。专家表示，虽然尚无法解释导致这种副作用的具体原因，但像Ozempic这样快速降低血糖水平的药物可能会损害到眼周血管，从而导致视力丧失。

Lyft盘前跌逾12%，一季度预订量前景不佳

$Lyft Inc (LYFT.US)$盘前跌逾12%，公司发布了令人失望的第一季度总预订量前景，并警告称寒冷天气损害了叫车和自行车租赁的需求。根据公司声明，2025年前三个月的总预订量预计为40.5亿美元至42亿美元，低于华尔街预期的42.3亿美元。调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润预计为9000万美元至9500万美元，同样低于预期。

全球宏观

CPI数据来袭！市场预计通胀或持续高于美联储2%目标

投资者和交易员正在密切关注今晚公布的1月CPI数据，市场预计通胀或持续高于美联储2%目标。然而，金融市场的某些部分仍然释放出未来价格可能继续上涨的信号。根据FactSet的数据，衡量未来五年通胀预期的五年期盈亏平衡通胀率在周二录得2.6%。如果即将公布的CPI数据高于市场预期，即便只是小幅超出，也可能对金融市场造成冲击，并引起美联储官员的高度关注。

美联储主席鲍威尔将于北京时间2月12日23:00出席美国众议院听证会

周三，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将在美国众议院金融服务委员会作证，提交他的半年度货币政策报告。他的讲话预计将涉及当前经济状况、美联储对通胀的立场、经济增长和潜在的利率调整。鉴于最近的经济数据和对未来降息的预期，他的证词可能会显著影响市场情绪。

美国高通胀重燃？“吹哨人”时隔四年再警告：美联储降息或已结束，下一步或是加息

四年前，美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯曾抨击美国财政和货币政策制定者过度刺激经济，有可能引发一代人以来最严重的通胀。如今，他警告称，价格压力有再次爆发的危险。他敦促美联储对价格压力保持警惕，并认为当前周期可能不会进一步降息，有可能会加息。萨默斯表示：“这可能是自2021年政策失误引发严重通胀以来，我们经历的通胀升级最敏感的时刻。”

特朗普成通胀“X”因素？美联储官员：将按兵不动以观后效

美东时间周二，美国克利夫兰联储主席贝丝•哈马克表示，她担忧特朗普政府的举措可能会阻挠美国通胀的降温趋势。她认为，当前美联储官员应该等待美国通胀进一步下降，并分析新政府政策对经济的影响，而在这期间，最为恰当的举措就是维持利率不变。

债务上限压力大，美财政部开始削减短债发行规模

面对美国联邦政府债务上限的压力，美国财政部的国债发行受到直接影响，最近一批基准短债的发行规模被缩减，评论认为，可能后续有一系列发债都会“缩水”。美东时间2月11日周二，美国财政部公布，计划本周四发行900亿美元期限为四周的国债，还计划周四发行850亿美元的八周期限国债。这两个期限的国债发行规模均比之前同期短债各自的发行规模减少了50亿美元。

美股盘前成交额TOP20

美股宏观事历提醒

（以下均为北京时间）

21:30 美国1月CPI年率未季调(%)。

23:00 美联储主席鲍威尔在众议院金融服务委员会做证词陈述。

23:30 美国截至2月7日当周EIA原油库存变动(万桶)。

次日凌晨

00:00 美国1月IPSOS主要消费者情绪指数PCSI。

01:00 2027年FOMC票委、亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克就经济前景发表讲话。

02:00 美国2月12日10年期国债竞拍-总金额(亿美元)。

编辑/ping

Hot News

On Wednesday, the three major US stock index futures fell sharply as the January CPI data exceeded market expectations.

The US January CPI increased by 3% year-on-year, against an expected growth of 2.9%, and the previous value also growing by 2.9%.

Most Growth Tech stocks rose in Pre-Market Trading. $Intel (INTC.US)$Increased by more than 5%, $Tesla (TSLA.US)$increased over 2%

Popular China Concept Stocks are rising in Pre-Market Trading, $KE Holdings (BEKE.US)$Increased by nearly 10%,$Alibaba (BABA.US)$、$Li Auto (LI.US)$、$XPeng (XPEV.US)$All increased by over 3%.

It is reported that Meta is discussing the acquisition of South Korean chip company FuriosaAI, or manufacturing self-developed AI Chips.

Sources revealed that. $Meta Platforms (META.US)$Discussions are ongoing about acquiring South Korean AI chip startup FuriosaAI, with the deal potentially completing as early as this month. Reports indicate that Meta is one of the several companies interested in acquiring this AI startup. If Meta acquires FuriosaAI, this social media giant may design and manufacture its own AI Chips rather than relying on supplies amidst a chip shortage.$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$。

Attention Consumer Electronics investors! Starting Wednesday, Apple may enter a period of announcing new products intensively.

According to well-known Apple leaker Mark Gurman, who made the latest statement a few hours ago, $Apple (AAPL.US)$the company seems to be starting a round of updates across various product lines from Wednesday. In addition to the expected iPhone SE, even the less popular Apple Vision Pro seems to have a chance of being featured. Gurman stated that the new iPhone SE is expected to be released before next week, when Apple will hold a product briefing.

Super Micro Computer surged over 10% in Pre-Market Trading. The preliminary performance for Q2 is weak, but the revenue target for the fiscal year 2026 is set at $40 billion, far exceeding expectations.

$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$Surging over 10% in Pre-Market Trading. In terms of news, Super Micro Computer announced preliminary performance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, with sales expected to be between $5.6 billion and $5.7 billion, lower than the analyst expectation of $5.77 billion; adjusted EPS is anticipated to be between $0.58 and $0.60, slightly lower than the analyst expectation of $0.61. At the same time, Super Micro Computer CEO Charles Liang announced a long-term goal, expecting 2026 fiscal year revenue to reach $40 billion, far exceeding the analyst expectation of $29.18 billion.

Delivering another stunning Earnings Report! Upstart soared over 26% in Pre-Market Trading, with Q4 performance and 2025 guidance both exceeding expectations.

$Upstart (UPST.US)$In Pre-Market Trading, the stock rose over 26%. Q4 revenue increased by 56% year-over-year to $0.219 billion, beating market expectations of $0.182 billion; the adjusted EPS was $0.26, better than the market's forecast of a loss of $0.04 per share. Upstart issued a total of 245,663 loans in Q4, totaling $2.1 billion, which is a 68% year-over-year growth and a 33% quarter-over-quarter increase; its conversion rate was 19.3%, higher than 11.6% in the fourth quarter of 2023. Upstart expects full-year revenue for 2025 to be around $1 billion, surpassing the market expectation of $0.823 billion.

Strong demand for takeout in the USA caused DoorDash to rise over 6% in Pre-Market Trading, with Q4 turning a profit year-over-year, and the Order guidance exceeding expectations.

$DoorDash (DASH.US)$The stock increased over 6% in Pre-Market Trading, with fourth-quarter revenue growing 25% year-over-year to $2.9 billion, exceeding market expectations; net income attributable to common shareholders was $0.141 billion, recovering from a loss of $0.154 billion in the same period last year; EPS was $0.33, meeting market expectations. DoorDash's total order volume for the fourth quarter was $21.3 billion, far above the Analyst's expectation of $20.9 billion. The company expects total orders for Q1 2025 to reach between $22.6 billion to $23 billion, also exceeding expectations.

Gilead Sciences rose over 4% in Pre-Market Trading, with Q4 performance and this year's profit guidance exceeding expectations.

$Gilead Sciences (GILD.US)$The stock rose over 4% in Pre-Market Trading. In the news, Gilead Sciences reported Q4 performance with revenue growing 6% year-over-year to $7.569 billion, surpassing market expectations of $71.4 billion; among this, sales of AIDS drugs grew 16% year-over-year to $5.5 billion. Net income grew 25% year-over-year to $1.783 billion; adjusted EPS was $1.9, higher than the market expectation of $1.7. In terms of guidance, the company anticipates sales between $28.2 billion to $28.6 billion this year, with market expectations at $28.42 billion.

CVS Health rose over 10% in Pre-Market Trading, with the company's adjusted EPS for Q4 being $1.19, exceeding market expectations, while the performance guidance remains solid.

$CVS Health (CVS.US)$In Pre-Market Trading, it rose over 10%, with a fourth-quarter adjusted diluted EPS of $1.19, exceeding the FactSet Analyst expectation of $0.91. Quarterly revenue was $97.71 billion, an increase compared to $93.81 billion in the same period last year, surpassing FactSet surveyed analysts' projection of $97.09 billion. For 2025, the healthcare and pharmaceutical giant expects adjusted diluted EPS to be between $5.75 and $6.00. FactSet analysts expect a non-GAAP EPS of $5.86.

Warren Buffett increases his shareholding in Occidental Petroleum, with the ratio nearing 30%.

According to a filing submitted to the SEC on Tuesday (February 11), Berkshire Hathaway increased its holdings.$Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$The company bought a small number of shares. The filing shows that Berkshire purchased a total of 763,017 shares of Occidental Petroleum stock, valued at approximately $35.7 million, with a weighted average price of $46.8195 per share. After this increase, Berkshire Hathaway now holds a total of 264,941,431 shares of Occidental Petroleum's common stock, with a holding ratio of 28.3%.

It rose over 1% in Pre-Market Trading, as Barrick Gold released strong Earnings Reports and has an optimistic production outlook for 2025.

$Barrick Gold (GOLD.US)$In Pre-Market Trading, it rose over 1%. The company's Earnings Reports show that its non-GAAP diluted EPS for the fourth quarter of 2024 is $0.46, exceeding expectations by $0.05. The company's revenue reached $3.65 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.3%, but a decrease of $0.3 billion compared to the same period last year. The company announced a dividend per share of $0.10, with a total shareholder return of $1.2 billion for 2024. In 2025, Barrick Gold expects gold production to be between 3.15 and 3.5 million ounces.

Vertiv Holdings fell over 10% in Pre-Market Trading; Q4 net sales exceeded expectations, but the performance guidance for the season appears slightly conservative.

$Vertiv Holdings (VRT.US)$In Pre-Market Trading, it fell over 10%; the company posted Q4 net sales of $2.346 billion, a 26% year-on-year increase, surpassing market expectations of $2.151 billion; adjusted EPS is $0.99, higher than the market expectation of $0.82. For Q1 2025, adjusted EPS is expected to be between $0.57 and $0.63, with the market expecting $0.63; net sales are projected to be between $1.9 billion and $1.95 billion, with the market expecting $1.92 billion. The full-year adjusted EPS for 2025 is expected to be between $3.5 and $3.6, with market expectations at $3.57.

Novo-Nordisk fell nearly 2% in Pre-Market Trading; research finds that drugs like Ozempic may cause blindness.

$Novo-Nordisk A/S (NVO.US)$Fell nearly 2% in Pre-Market Trading. According to the news, researchers published last month in the Journal of the American Medical Association - Ophthalmology, reporting that 9 American patients who took Novo-Nordisk's Ozempic or$Eli Lilly and Co (LLY.US)$Symptoms of blindness occurred after using Mounjaro. Experts indicate that while the specific cause of this side effect cannot yet be explained, medications like Ozempic that rapidly lower blood sugar levels may damage the blood vessels around the eyes, potentially leading to vision loss.

Lyft fell over 12% in Pre-Market Trading, with poor first-quarter booking outlook.

$Lyft Inc (LYFT.US)$Falling over 12% in Pre-Market Trading, the company released disappointing total booking forecasts for the first quarter and warned that cold weather has hurt demand for ride-hailing and bike rentals. According to the company's statement, total bookings for the first three months of 2025 are expected to be between 4.05 billion dollars and 4.2 billion dollars, below Wall Street's expectation of 4.23 billion dollars. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between 90 million dollars and 95 million dollars, also below expectations.

Global Macro

CPI data is here! The market expects inflation to remain above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

Investors and traders are closely monitoring the January CPI data to be released tonight, with markets expecting inflation to remain above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. However, certain parts of the financial markets still signal that prices may continue to rise in the future. According to FactSet data, the five-year breakeven inflation rate, which measures inflation expectations over the next five years, recorded 2.6% on Tuesday. If the upcoming CPI data exceeds market expectations, even if just slightly, it may impact financial markets and attract significant attention from Federal Reserve officials.

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend a hearing of the U.S. House of Representatives at 11:00 PM Peking time on February 12.

On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will testify before the U.S. House Financial Services Committee, presenting his semi-annual monetary policy report. His speech is expected to address the current economic conditions, the Fed's stance on inflation, economic growth, and potential interest rate adjustments. Given the recent economic data and expectations for future interest rate cuts, his testimony could significantly influence market sentiment.

Is high inflation in the USA reigniting? The 'whistleblower' warns after four years: The Fed's rate cuts may be over, and the next move could be an interest rate hike.

Four years ago, former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers criticized U.S. fiscal and monetary policymakers for excessively stimulating the economy, potentially triggering the worst inflation in a generation. Now, he warns of the risk of renewed price pressures. He urges the Fed to remain vigilant against price pressures and believes that further interest rate cuts may not happen in the current cycle, with the possibility of rate hikes. Summers stated, "This could be the most sensitive moment of inflation escalation we have experienced since the serious inflation triggered by policy mistakes in 2021."

Is Trump the "X" factor for inflation? Federal Reserve officials: will remain inactive to observe the effects.

On Tuesday, U.S. Eastern Time, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester expressed concern that actions taken by the Trump administration might impede the trend of cooling inflation in the USA. She believes that Fed officials should wait for further decreases in U.S. inflation and analyze the impact of new government policies on the economy, and during this period, the most appropriate measure is to maintain the current interest rate.

The pressure of the debt ceiling is significant, and the U.S. Treasury Department has begun to reduce the issuance scale of short-term debts.

In the face of the pressure from the U.S. federal government's debt ceiling, the U.S. Treasury's debt issuance is directly affected, and the size of the recent benchmark short-term debt issuance has been reduced. Commentators believe that a series of future bond issuances may also be 'shrinking.' On February 11, Tuesday, U.S. Eastern Time, the U.S. Treasury announced its plan to issue $90 billion in four-week Treasury bills this Thursday and also planned to issue $85 billion in eight-week Treasury bills. The issuance size of these two maturities has been reduced by $5 billion compared to their respective sizes in the previous same period.

Pre-Market Trading Top 20 by transaction volume.

Reminder of Macroeconomic Events in the USA

(The following are all in Beijing Time)

21:30 USA January CPI year-on-year unadjusted (%).

23:00 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell testifies before the House Financial Services Committee.

23:30 USA EIA crude oil inventory change (10,000 barrels) for the week ending February 7.

Next early morning

00:00 USA January IPSOS Consumer Confidence Index PCSI.

01:00 2027 FOMC voting member, Atlanta Fed President Bostic speaks on economic outlook.

02:00 USA February 12 10-Year Treasury Auction - Total Amount (in billions).

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