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US Stock Outlook | "The 'Horse' is caught in a pincer attack! Powell will boldly enter Capitol Hill tonight; all three major futures indexes are down, with blue-chip stocks rising against the trend in pre-market trading, and Lattice Semiconductor soaring

Futu News · Feb 11 21:14

热点要闻

周二，美股三大期指齐跌，美联储主席鲍威尔将在北京时间23:00于国会山面临一系列“超级难度”听证会。

明星科技股盘前普跌， $特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$跌0.64%，$英伟达 (NVDA.US)$跌0.49%。

特朗普将宣布对所有进口至美国的钢铁和铝加征25%关税，$克利夫兰克里夫 (CLF.US)$涨超3%，$美国工商五金公司 (CMC.US)$涨超2%。

热门中概股盘前普跌， $小鹏汽车 (XPEV.US)$、 $金山云 (KC.US)$跌超6%

可口可乐美股盘前短线拉升，现涨逾3%，公司Q4业绩超预期

$可口可乐 (KO.US)$盘前短线拉升逾3%，第四季度可比每股收益0.55美元，预估0.52美元。 2024年Q4营收115.44亿美元，市场预期为106.77亿美元。可口可乐预计2025财年调整后的每股收益增长2%-3%，预计2025财年自由现金流（不包括Fairlife支付）约为95亿美元。

莱迪思半导体盘前涨超13%，公司四季度营收1.174亿美元，略高于市场预期

$莱迪思半导体 (LSCC.US)$盘前涨超13%，该公司四季度调整后EPS为0.15美元，分析师预期0.19美元。四季度营收1.174亿美元，分析师预期1.171亿美元。预计一季度营收1.15亿-1.25亿美元，分析师预期1.188亿美元。

“特马”组合，正在为特斯拉扫清监管障碍

“特马”组合的监管松绑战略，正在悄然改写美国汽车工业的游戏规则。据美联社11日报道，特朗普政府正从多个方面重塑监管框架：首先，通过人事任命控制美国国家公路交通安全管理局等关键机构；其次，废除行政令性质的监管措施；最后，推动联邦自动驾驶法规制定——这正是马斯克公开呼吁的方向。有分析认为，特朗普的举措将在短期内有利于$特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$。

谷歌CEO：现在就是AI创新，黄金年代

今日，$谷歌-A (GOOGL.US)$首席执行官Sundar Pichai在法国巴黎全球AI峰会上表示，现在就是AI创新的黄金年代。在过去18个月中，处理token的成本从每百万个4美元降至13美分，降幅高达97%。此外，谷歌发布的蛋白质模型AlphaFold，帮助全球超过250万研究人员开发新的疟疾疫苗和癌症治疗方法。谷歌在量子计算方面也取得了重要进步。

META“换血”抢AI人才：大举裁员5%，急招机器学习工程师

为了在全球人工智能热潮中击败OpenAI和DeepSeek等竞争对手，$Meta Platforms (META.US)$正在加大力度调整其企业人事结构：一方面，加大对机器学习工程师的招聘力度，另一方面，大举裁员数千人。Meta上个月曾透露，将裁员5%左右，这可能意味着约3600名Meta员工将失去工作。美东时间本周一，Meta正式向美国、欧洲和亚洲被解雇的员工发送了邮件通知。

为避免欧盟反垄断罚款，微软捆绑Teams版Office将涨价

据三位知情人士透露，为了避免欧盟可能祭出反垄断罚款，$微软 (MSFT.US)$计划进一步扩大Office捆绑Teams版与非捆绑版之间的价格差距。微软旗下通信和协作产品Teams在2017年免费加入其企业套件Office 365。自那以后，该功能迅速普及，在大流行期间尤其受欢迎。不过，$赛富时 (CRM.US)$旗下的办公软件子公司Slack在五年前向欧盟委员会投诉微软将Teams与Office 365捆绑在一起。

指引不及预期！Shopify美股盘前一度跌逾10%，现跌超5%

$Shopify (SHOP.US)$美股盘前走低，一度跌逾10%，现跌幅收窄至5.03%；Shopify第四季度营收28.1亿美元，预估27.3亿美元；Shopify预计第一季度营收将以25%左右的速度增长；公司预计2025年毛利润同比增速为20%区间的低端。

财报将至！$超微电脑 (SMCI.US)$昨日收涨逾17%，今日盘前跌超4%。

福克斯盘前涨超1%，公司大举押注创作者经济，出手收购Red Seat Ventures

$福克斯公司-B (FOX.US)$盘前涨超1%。有媒体报道称，美国娱乐行业领军者福克斯已收购了Red Seat Ventures，这是一家为包括前福克斯新闻明星塔克·卡尔森(Tucker Carlson)、梅根·凯利(Megyn Kelly)和比尔·奥莱利(Bill O'Reilly)在内的知名创作者提供播客和其他数字化流媒体服务的媒体公司。

Phillips66盘前涨超5%，激进投资者Elliott持有该公司超25亿美元股份，计划推动运营变革

$Phillips 66 (PSX.US)$盘前涨超5%。据路透，知情人士称，激进投资者Elliott持有美国炼油商Phillips66超过25亿美元的股份，并计划推动运营变革以提高其股价。Elliott计划推动Phillips66出售或分拆其中游业务。去年3月，在Elliott披露持有Phillips66价值10亿美元的股份后，接受了后者为提高股东回报和股价而制定的绩效改进计划。

万国数据盘前续涨4%，消息称其拟分拆国际业务在美IPO

$万国数据 (GDS.US)$美股盘前续涨超4%。有媒体援引知情人士透露，万国数据控股有限公司正考虑將GDS International (GDSI)业务在美国进行首次公开招股，筹集约5亿美元。知情人士称，这家数据中心运营商可能会尝试最早今年让GDSI挂牌上市。相关工作仍在进行之中，最终未必会推进交易。

有道盘前跌超8%，昨日暴涨超41%，此前全线AI应用接入DeepSeek-R1

$有道 (DAO.US)$盘前跌超8%。该股昨日暴涨41.76%，收报11.1美元。消息面上，2月6日，有道正式宣布全面拥抱DeepSeek-R1。此外，Hi Echo、有道智云、QAnything等产品也将全面接入DeepSeek的推理能力，并于近日陆续升级。融合全新推理大模型能力的智能硬件新品及“有道小P” 2.0版本也会在不久后正式推出。

全球宏观

“特马”左右夹击！今晚鲍威尔“再闯”国会山，迎战高压听证会

特朗普政策阴影与马斯克的“刁难”双重夹击，美联储主席鲍威尔将当地时间周二上午10点（即北京时间23:00）在国会山面临一系列“超级难度”听证会。并于周三同一时间在众议院出席听证会。据彭博社报道称，民主党和共和党议员都可能在听证会上就特朗普政府的政策向鲍威尔施压，涉及银行监管到多元化、公平和包容性努力的缩减等多个方面。

特朗普关税害人害己！美银警告：美企盈利将遭严重反噬

美东时间周一，美国总统特朗普正式签署行政命令，宣布对所有进口至美国的钢铁和铝征收25%关税，标志着美国与其他国家的贸易冲突进一步升温。美银警告称，随着特朗普挑起的贸易冲突愈演愈烈，可能会对美股企业的盈利带来不小的麻烦。如若引发报复，$标普500指数 (.SPX.US)$成分股的每股盈利可能受到严重打击。

调查显示：关税加剧通胀压力，美联储下次降息或推迟至二季度

调查显示，面对通胀上升的威胁，经济学家预计美联储将等到下个季度才会再次降息，而此前他们预计美联储将在3月份降息。自特朗普去年11月赢得美国大选以来，经济学家们上调了通胀预测，因为他们担心特朗普的政策，尤其是关税政策，可能会重新引发经济中的价格压力。许多经济学家认为，美国经济处于有利地位，几乎没有必要降低利率。

富达增持中国股票，押注“动物精神”回归和AI热潮

DeepSeek掀翻美股后，外资更加看好中国股市。近日，富达投资组合经理Taosha Wang在接受彭博电视采访称，富达国际已经增持了中国股票，并给予超配，中国市场的“动物精神”正在回归。报道称，除了经济基本面和“动物精神”之外，令人兴奋的新人工智能工具也会带来机会。Taosha Wang指的是DeepSeek，其认为，尽管“这条路不会一帆风顺”，但中国市场可能会反弹。

美股盘前成交额TOP20

美股宏观事历提醒

（以下均为北京时间）

21:50 克利夫兰联储主席哈玛克就经济前景发表讲话。

23:00 美联储主席鲍威尔出席参议院听证会，并发表半年度政策报告。

次日凌晨

01:00 EIA公布月度短期能源展望报告。

04:30 FOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯发表讲话。

05:30 美国至2月7日当周API原油库存。

编辑/ping

Hot News

On Tuesday, the three major U.S. stock index futures fell. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will face a series of "super difficult" hearings on Capitol Hill at 23:00 Beijing time.

Growth Tech stocks fell across the board in pre-market trading. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$Down 0.64%.$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$Down 0.49%.

Trump will announce a 25% tariff on all steel and Aluminum imported to the USA.$Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF.US)$it rose by over 3%, $Commercial Metals (CMC.US)$Increase of over 2%.

China Concept Stocks are broadly down in Pre-Market Trading. $XPeng (XPEV.US)$、 $Kingsoft Cloud (KC.US)$Fell over 6%

Coca-Cola's shares rose in Pre-Market Trading, currently up over 3%, as the company’s Q4 performance exceeded expectations.

$Coca-Cola (KO.US)$In Pre-Market Trading, shares rose over 3%, with a comparable EPS for the fourth quarter of $0.55, estimated at $0.52. Revenue for Q4 2024 is $11.544 billion, while the market expected $10.677 billion. Coca-Cola anticipates adjusted EPS growth of 2%-3% for the fiscal year 2025, and expects about $9.5 billion in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025 (excluding Fairlife payments).

Lattice Semiconductor's shares rose over 13% in Pre-Market Trading, with the company reporting Q4 revenue of $0.1174 billion, slightly above market expectations.

$Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC.US)$Shares rose over 13% in Pre-Market Trading, with the company’s Q4 adjusted EPS at $0.15, while analysts expected $0.19. Q4 revenue stands at $0.1174 billion, with analysts forecasting $0.1171 billion. Expected revenue for Q1 is between $0.115 billion and $-0.125 billion, with analysts predicting $0.1188 billion.

The "Te Ma" combination is working to clear regulatory obstacles for Tesla.

The "tempered" combination of regulatory easing strategy is quietly rewriting the rules of the game in the USA's automotive industry. According to a report by the Associated Press on the 11th, the Trump administration is reshaping the regulatory framework from multiple angles: first, by controlling key agencies such as the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration through personnel appointments; second, by abolishing regulatory measures that are executive orders; and finally, by promoting the formulation of federal autonomous driving regulations - a direction openly called for by Musk. Some analysts believe that Trump's actions will be beneficial in the short term.$Tesla (TSLA.US)$。

Google CEO: Now is the golden age of AI innovation.

Today,$Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$CEO Sundar Pichai stated at the global AI summit in Paris, France, that now is the golden age of AI innovation. In the past 18 months, the cost of processing tokens has dropped from $4 per million to 13 cents, a decrease of up to 97%. In addition, Google's protein model AlphaFold has helped more than 2.5 million global researchers develop new malaria vaccines and cancer treatments. Google has also made significant progress in quantum computing.

META is "refreshing" its workforce to grab AI talent: laying off 5% of staff while urgently recruiting machine learning engineers.

In order to beat competitors like OpenAI and DeepSeek in the global AI boom,$Meta Platforms (META.US)$there is a concerted effort to adjust its corporate personnel structure: on one hand, there is an increased recruitment of machine learning engineers, while on the other hand, thousands of layoffs are taking place. Last month, Meta revealed plans to lay off about 5%, which may mean approximately 3,600 Meta employees will lose their jobs. This past Monday Eastern Time, Meta officially sent out email notifications to employees in the USA, Europe, and Asia who have been laid off.

To avoid antitrust fines from the European Union, Microsoft is planning to raise the price of its Teams bundled Office.

According to three insiders, in order to avoid the potential antitrust fines from the European Union,$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$there are plans to further widen the price gap between the bundled version of Office with Teams and the non-bundled version. Microsoft's communication and collaboration product, Teams, became a free addition to its enterprise suite Office 365 in 2017. Since then, the feature has rapidly gained popularity, especially during the pandemic. However,$Salesforce (CRM.US)$The subsidiary of office software, Slack, complained to the European Commission five years ago about Microsoft bundling Teams with Office 365.

Guidance fell short of expectations! Shopify experienced a drop of over 10% in Pre-Market Trading, and is now down more than 5%.

$Shopify (SHOP.US)$US stocks fell in Pre-Market Trading, initially dropping over 10%, but the decline has narrowed to 5.03%; Shopify's fourth-quarter revenue is $2.81 billion, estimated at $2.73 billion; Shopify expects first-quarter revenue to grow at around 25%; the company anticipates a low-end year-on-year gross profit growth of 20% by 2025.

Earnings Reports are approaching!$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$Yesterday closed up over 17%, and today dropped over 4% in Pre-Market Trading.

Fox Corp-B rose over 1% in Pre-Market Trading, as the company makes a big bet on the creator economy by acquiring Red Seat Ventures.

$Fox Corp-B (FOX.US)$Pre-market trading rose over 1%. Media reports suggest that USA entertainment industry leader Fox has acquired Red Seat Ventures, a media company providing podcast and other digital streaming services for renowned creators including former Fox News stars Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, and Bill O'Reilly.

Phillips 66 rose over 5% in pre-market trading, with activist investor Elliott holding over $2.5 billion in shares of the company and planning to push for operational changes.

$Phillips 66 (PSX.US)$Pre-market trading rose over 5%. According to Reuters, informed sources stated that activist investor Elliott holds over $2.5 billion in shares of USA refiner Phillips 66 and plans to push for operational changes to boost its stock price. Elliott aims to urge Phillips 66 to sell or spin off its midstream business. In March last year, after Elliott disclosed holding $1 billion in Phillips 66 shares, it accepted the latter's performance improvement plan set to enhance shareholder returns and stock prices.

GDS Holdings continued to rise 4% in pre-market trading, with news that it plans to spin off its international business for an IPO in the USA.

$GDS Holdings (GDS.US)$U.S. stocks rose over 4% in pre-market trading. Media outlets cited informed sources revealing that GDS Holdings is considering an initial public offering of its GDS International (GDSI) business in the USA, aiming to raise approximately $0.5 billion. Informed sources indicated that the datacenter operator may try to get GDSI listed as early as this year. Related work is still ongoing, and the transaction may not ultimately proceed.

Youdao fell over 8% in Pre-Market Trading. Yesterday, it surged over 41%, previously fully integrating AI applications with DeepSeek-R1.

$Youdao (DAO.US)$It fell over 8% in Pre-Market Trading. The stock surged 41.76% yesterday, closing at $11.10. On February 6th, Youdao officially announced its full embrace of DeepSeek-R1. Additionally, products like Hi Echo, Youdao Zhiyun, and QAnything will fully integrate DeepSeek's reasoning capabilities and will be upgraded successively in the coming days. New smart hardware products that integrate the new reasoning large model capabilities and the "Youdao Xiao P" 2.0 version will also be officially launched soon.

Global Macro

"Horse racing" under pressure! Tonight, Powell will "storm" Capitol Hill again, facing a high-pressure hearing.

The shadow of Trump's policies and Musk's "harassment" form a dual pressure. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will face a series of "super difficult" hearings on Capitol Hill at 10:00 AM local time Tuesday (23:00 Beijing time). He will attend a hearing in the House of Representatives at the same time on Wednesday. According to Bloomberg reports, both Democratic and Republican lawmakers may press Powell on the Trump administration's policies during the hearing, covering various aspects from bank regulation to cuts in diversity, equity, and inclusion efforts.

Trump's tariffs harm both others and himself! Bank of America warns: U.S. companies' profits will face severe backlash.

On Monday Eastern Time, President Trump officially signed an executive order imposing a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports to the USA, marking an escalation in the trade conflict between the USA and other countries. Bank of America warned that as the trade conflict sparked by Trump intensifies, it could pose significant challenges to the earnings of American companies. If retaliation occurs,$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$The earnings per share of the constituent stocks may be severely impacted.

The survey shows: Tariffs intensify inflation pressure, the Fed's next interest rate cut may be delayed until the second quarter.

The survey shows that, facing the threat of rising inflation, economists expect the Fed to wait until the next quarter to cut interest rates again, whereas they previously expected the Fed to cut rates in March. Since Trump's victory in the U.S. election last November, economists have raised their inflation forecasts due to concerns that Trump's policies, especially tariffs, may rekindle price pressures in the economy. Many economists believe that the U.S. economy is in a favorable position, with little need to cut rates.

Fidelity increases its Shareholding in China Stocks, betting on the return of "animal spirits" and the AI craze.

After DeepSeek overturned the U.S. stock market, foreign capital is more optimistic about the Chinese stock market. Recently, Fidelity portfolio manager Taosha Wang stated in an interview with Bloomberg Television that Fidelity International has increased its position in Chinese stocks and has given it an overweight rating, noting that the 'animal spirits' in the Chinese market are returning. Reports state that, in addition to economic fundamentals and 'animal spirits,' exciting new AI tools will also bring opportunities. Taosha Wang refers to DeepSeek, which believes that, although 'the road will not be smooth,' the Chinese market may rebound.

Pre-Market Trading Top 20 by transaction volume.

Reminder of Macroeconomic Events in the USA

(The following are all in Beijing Time)

21:50 The President of the Cleveland Fed, Harmack, will speak about the economic outlook.

23:00 The Federal Reserve Chairman Powell attends a Senate hearing and presents the semiannual policy report.

Next early morning

01:00 EIA releases the monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report.

04:30 FOMC permanent voter, New York Fed President Williams, delivers a speech.

05:30 API crude oil inventory for the week ending February 7 in the USA.

Editor/ping

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