share_log

美股前瞻 | 关税担忧刺激避险需求!COMEX黄金期货创新高;特斯拉盘前上涨4%,FSD点燃乐观情绪;苹果、英特尔财报盘后来袭

US stocks outlook | Concerns over tariffs stimulate safe-haven demand! COMEX Gold Futures hit new highs; Tesla pre-market rises 4%, FSD ignites optimism; Apple, Intel Earnings Reports coming after the market close.

Futu News ·  Jan 30 13:47

Hot News

For the week ending January 25, the number of initial jobless claims in the USA was 0.207 million people, expected at 0.22 million people, and the previous value was 0.223 million people; the preliminary annualized quarterly GDP for the fourth quarter was 2.3%, expected at 2.6%, and the previous value was 3.10%; the preliminary annualized quarterly core PCE price index for the fourth quarter was 2.5%, expected at 2.5%, and the previous value was 2.20%.

After a series of data releases, the three major index futures did not see significant fluctuations, with Nasdaq futures up 0.5%, Dow futures down 0.13%, and S&P 500 futures up 0.24%; the earnings season for Growth Tech has not yet ended, with Apple and Intel's earnings reports coming after hours.

Quantum Computing concept stocks are generally rising in Pre-Market Trading. $SEALSQ Corp (LAES.US)$Increased by over 6%, $Rigetti Computing (RGTI.US)$ Increased by over 3%. $Quantum (QMCO.US)$ Increased by nearly 3%.

Nuclear Power Concept stocks rebounded, $NANO Nuclear Energy (NNE.US)$ Increased over 4%, $Vistra Energy (VST.US)$ Up nearly 4%, $Constellation Energy (CEG.US)$ Up 3%.

  • Tesla's shares rose 4% in Pre-Market Trading, with Q4 performance below expectations but FSD igniting optimistic sentiment.

After Post-Market Trading on Wednesday, January 29, the USA $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Released the Q4 2024 Earnings Reports, which fell short of market expectations in terms of revenue, profit, EPS, gross margin, and core automotive business income. However, Tesla anticipates that the automotive business will regain growth this year, with investors optimistic about new models starting production in the first half of the year and the company continuing its commitment to advancing autonomous driving technology, resulting in a 4% increase in stock price in Pre-Market Trading. Additionally, Tesla stated that in the fourth quarter, the per-vehicle sales cost reached a historic low, below $35,000, primarily due to improvements in raw material costs. Tesla expects capital expenditures to exceed $11 billion in 2025, with market estimates at $10.88 billion. Tesla also forecasts capital expenditures to exceed $11 billion in the fiscal years 2026 and 2027. As of the time of writing, Tesla is up 4%.

  • United Parcel Service dropped over 14% in Pre-Market Trading, with Q4 revenue and 2025 revenue guidance falling short of expectations.

$United Parcel Service (UPS.US)$ The decline in Pre-Market Trading expanded to over 14%. The company reported Q4 revenue of $25.3 billion, slightly below the market estimate of $25.39 billion; adjusted EPS for Q4 was $2.75, compared to the market estimate of $2.53. UPS expects approximately $89 billion in revenue for 2025, with market estimates at $94.9 billion. UPS plans to repurchase around $1 billion by 2025.

  • IBM's stock surged over 9% in Pre-Market Trading as Q4 performance and guidance exceeded expectations, with strong demand for AI products.

$IBM Corp (IBM.US)$ The total revenue for Q4 2024 rose 1% year-on-year to 17.6 billion USD, surpassing market expectations of 17.5 billion USD; adjusted EPS was 3.92 USD, while the market anticipated 3.74 USD. The Software division is IBM's largest and fastest-growing segment, with fourth-quarter revenue growth of 10% to reach 7.92 billion USD. The growth in the Software business is attributed to a 16% increase in Red Hat's business, which IBM acquired in 2019. Revenue from IBM's consulting division has declined for the fourth consecutive quarter, falling to 5.18 billion USD. Chief Financial Officer Jim Kavanaugh stated that clients continue to shift funds from traditional consulting projects to AI-focused initiatives. Notably, IBM forecasts strong revenue growth in the new fiscal year, with a significant increase in AI-related Orders. As of the time of writing, IBM's stock has risen over 9% in Pre-Market Trading.

  • Mark Zuckerberg: Threads has over 0.32 billion monthly active users.

$Meta Platforms (META.US)$ CEO Mark Zuckerberg stated that Threads has exceeded 0.32 billion monthly active users and that advertising on Threads is not expected to be a significant driver of revenue growth in 2025. WhatsApp has over 0.1 billion monthly active users in the USA. He mentioned that new employees will be allocated to AI projects, with Meta's AI monthly active users surpassing 0.7 billion. Adoption of the MTIA chip is expected to accelerate in 2025, followed by an expansion of custom chips for training workloads next year for ranking and recommendations.

  • Microsoft's CEO: DeepSeek is genuinely innovative and will soon be able to run on Microsoft's AI computer Copilot + PC.

$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ CEO纳德拉在电话会上强调,DeepSeek R1模型目前已可通过微软的AI平台Azure AI Foundry和GitHub获取,并且很快就能在Copilot+电脑上运行。纳德拉称DeepSeek“有一些真的创新”,AI成本下降是趋势:“缩放定律(Scaling Law)在预训练和推理时间计算中不断积累。多年来,我们已经看到了AI训练和推理方面的效率显著提高。在推理方面,我们通常看到每一代硬件的性价比提高2倍以上,每一代模型的性价比提高10倍以上。”不过,因Azure等微软云收入增长均放缓,微软盘前下跌超4%。

  • SoftBank is in talks to invest up to 25 billion USD in OpenAI.

据英国金融时报,日本$SoftBank Group (ADR) (SFTBY.US)$ 正就向ChatGPT开发商OpenAI投资15 billion美元至25 billion美元进行初步谈判。这笔潜在投资可能使软银超过微软,成为OpenAI最大的支持者。消息称,这将是软银向“星际之门”(Stargate)项目15 billion美元投资承诺之外的补充。“星际之门”是软银创办人孙正义与OpenAI在美国得州成立的合资企业,旨在建设数据中心和其他人工智能基础设施。双方计划在“星际之门”项目共同部署100 billion美元,并在4年内投资最高达500 billion美元。

  • ServiceNOW盘前大跌超10%,业绩未达预期引发市场担忧

Recently, $ServiceNow (NOW.US)$ The fourth quarter Earnings Reports were released, although the adjusted EPS was $3.67, slightly higher than the Analyst's expectation of $3.60, it still failed to meet the higher expectation of $3.68. This result triggered dissatisfaction among investors, causing the stock to plunge 8.19% in Post-Market Trading. In such a rapidly changing business environment, the challenges faced by ServiceNow are not just about performance fluctuations, but also about how to maintain a leading position in the competitive Cloud Computing market.

  • Caterpillar fell nearly 5% in Pre-Market Trading, with fourth quarter revenue of $16.22 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5%.

$Caterpillar (CAT.US)$ The performance for the fourth quarter and the full year of 2024 was announced. Caterpillar's fourth quarter revenue was $16.22 billion, decreasing 5% year-on-year, estimated at $16.72 billion; the adjusted EPS was $5.14, compared to $5.23 in the same period last year, the estimate was $5.05. The EPS was $5.78, compared to $5.28 in the same period last year.

  • DeepSeek is facing security challenges, and Qihoo 360 reports that botnets have entered the scene, increasing the difficulty of prevention.

With DeepSeek attracting unprecedented attention both domestically and internationally, during the Spring Festival, many users reported difficulties in logging in and using DeepSeek normally, often experiencing downtime. It was learned from the cybersecurity company Qihoo 360 that the intensity of attacks on DeepSeek's online services suddenly escalated, with attack instructions surging over a hundred times compared to January 28. Qihoo 360's Xlab laboratory observed at least two botnets participating in the attack, launching two waves of attacks.

Global Macro

  • Concerns about tariffs have stimulated safe-haven demand, causing Gold Futures to rise.

The demand for safe-haven assets drove Gold Futures up, with continuous contracts rising 0.9% to $2,794.90 per ounce. Analyst Ricardo Evangelista stated that despite the comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell suggesting that interest rates may remain elevated for a longer period due to ongoing inflation risks and a strong job market, the reaction of U.S. Treasury yields has been subdued, which is favorable for gold prices. The rise in safe-haven gold may reflect investor concerns about the potential consequences of protectionist policies under the Trump administration. Tariffs of 25% on Mexico and Canada will take effect on Saturday. He added that this potential inflationary environment is beneficial for gold, attracting safe-haven funds from investors seeking protection amid economic uncertainty.

  • The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": Both inflation and growth are uncertain, and the Federal Reserve has entered a wait-and-see mode.

Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos pointed out that the Federal Reserve has paused its series of rate cuts and has entered a wait-and-see phase to assess whether further rate reductions are necessary. On Wednesday, the Fed paused rate cuts, maintaining the benchmark federal funds rate at about 4.3%, a significant decrease from 5.3% in September of last year. Fed Chairman Powell stated at a news conference that because current interest rates have relaxed compared to last year, there is "no rush to adjust the policy stance." Timiraos indicated that this statement implies that the Fed may not take new actions at the March meeting, and any further rate cuts will depend on actual inflation progress or unexpected weakness in the labor market.

  • OPEC+ is preparing to unite in response to Trump, and the Saudi Energy Minister has had private meetings with several peers.

Kazakhstan announced on Wednesday that the OPEC+ group, composed of major oil-producing countries, will discuss U.S. President Trump's efforts to increase U.S. oil production and take a united stance on the matter. Trump called on Saudi Arabia and OPEC last week to lower oil prices. OPEC+ has not yet responded, but five OPEC+ representatives indicated that the OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee meeting scheduled for February 3 is unlikely to adjust its current plans, which include increasing production starting in April. Two others stated that it is still too early to draw conclusions.

  • The European Central Bank cut rates by 25 basis points as expected, while the Eurozone is set to fall back into economic stagnation by the end of 2024, alongside rising unemployment rates.

The European Central Bank lowered the deposit rate to 2.750%, cut the marginal lending rate to 3.150%, and reduced the main refinancing rate to 2.900%, all in line with market expectations. The European Central Bank does not make any pre-commitments to specific interest rate paths and the governing council is ready to adjust all tools at any time. Traders maintain their bets on further ECB rate cuts, anticipating a reduction of 70 basis points this year. The ECB and policymakers across Europe had hoped that cooling inflation and rapid wage increases would stimulate strong growth in consumer spending, thereby driving economic recovery in 2024. However, many households still choose to save rather than spend, and businesses are also reluctant to invest, indicating continued uncertainty about future prospects amid a increasingly turbulent economic and political environment.

Pre-Market Trading Top 20 by transaction volume.

Reminder of Macroeconomic Events in the USA

(The following are all in Beijing Time)

23:00 USA December Pending Home Sales Index MoM

23:30 USA EIA Henry Hub Natural Gas Inventories for the week ending January 24 (billion cubic feet)

Editor/Rocky

The translation is provided by third-party software.


The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
14
Comment Comment · Views 98.8k

Recommended

Write a comment

Statement

This page is machine-translated. Futubull tries to improve but does not guarantee the accuracy and reliability of the translation, and will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by any inaccuracy or omission of the translation.