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RTX Corporation (NYSE:RTX) Just Reported Full-Year Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

RTX Corporation (NYSE:RTX) Just Reported Full-Year Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

RTX公司(紐交所:RTX)剛剛公佈了全年收益:分析師對該股票改變看法了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/30 12:10

As you might know, RTX Corporation (NYSE:RTX) recently reported its full-year numbers. RTX reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of US$81b and statutory earnings per share of US$3.55, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

正如您所知,RTX公司(紐交所:RTX)最近公佈了其全年的財務數據。RTX的業績與分析師預測一致,營業收入達到810億美元,每股收益爲3.55美元,表明業務執行良好並符合其計劃。根據結果,分析師們更新了他們的收益模型,了解他們是否認爲公司的前景發生了重大變化,或者是否一切如常,會很有意思。我們認爲讀者會發現分析師們最新的(法定)收益後預測對明年的展望很有趣。

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NYSE:RTX Earnings and Revenue Growth January 30th 2025
紐交所:RTX收益與營業收入增長 2025年1月30日

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for RTX from 20 analysts is for revenues of US$84.2b in 2025. If met, it would imply a modest 4.3% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 36% to US$4.89. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$84.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.94 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

考慮到最新結果,來自20位分析師對RTX的最新共識預計2025年的營業收入爲842億美元。如果實現,這將意味着在過去12個月中營業收入溫和增長4.3%。每股收益預計將反彈36%至4.89美元。在這份報告發佈前,分析師們曾預測2025年營業收入爲844億美元,每股收益(每股收益)爲4.94美元。共識分析師似乎沒有在這些結果中發現任何會改變他們對業務看法的事實,因爲他們的估計沒有發生重大變化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at US$141. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic RTX analyst has a price target of US$159 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$113. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

因此,得知共識價格目標基本保持不變在141美元也就不足爲奇了。共識價格目標只是各個分析師目標的平均值,因此,了解基礎估計的區間有多寬會很方便。最樂觀的RTX分析師將目標價設定爲每股159美元,而最悲觀的分析師將其設定爲113美元。這些價格目標表明分析師對業務有一些不同的看法,但這些估計的差異並不足以讓我們認爲有些人在賭極大的成功或徹底的失敗。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that RTX's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 4.3% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 9.3% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 7.0% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than RTX.

現在看一下更大的圖景,我們可以理解這些預測的一種方法是看看它們與過去的表現和行業增長估計的比較。我們需要強調的是,RTX的營業收入增長預計將放緩,預計到2025年底的年化增長率爲4.3%,遠低於過去五年的歷史年均增長率9.3%。作爲比較,該行業其他擁有分析師覆蓋的公司預計將以每年7.0%的速度增長。所以很明顯,儘管預計營業收入增長將放緩,但更廣泛的行業預計增長速度也將快於RTX。

The Bottom Line

結論

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that RTX's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$141, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最明顯的結論是,近期業務前景沒有重大變化,分析師們對每股收益的預測保持穩定,符合之前的預估。幸運的是,分析師們還再次確認了他們的營業收入預估,表明其表現符合預期。儘管我們的數據確實表明RTX的營業收入預計會表現得比更廣泛的行業要差。共識目標價保持在141美元,最新的估計不足以對他們的目標價產生影響。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple RTX analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

基於這一思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景遠比明年的收益更爲重要。我們從多位RTX分析師處獲得了到2027年的預估,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for RTX (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.

值得注意的是,我們發現RTX存在兩個警告信號(其中一個讓我們感到有些不安!)需要你考慮。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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