Bitcoin Drop To $95,000 Could Be Imminent, Analyst Warns
Bitcoin Drop To $95,000 Could Be Imminent, Analyst Warns
Bitcoin's (CRYPTO: BTC) Monday dip and the broader altcoin decline may not solely a result of the launch of DeepSeek, according to a prominent cryptocurrency analyst.
根據一位知名數字貨幣分析師,週一比特幣(數字貨幣代碼:BTC)的下跌和更廣泛的其他幣種下滑可能並不僅僅是由於DeepSeek的推出。
What Happened: Pseudonymous analyst Stockmoney Lizards broke down the key reasons behind the drop in a detailed thread on X on Tuesday:
發生了什麼:化名分析師Stockmoney Lizards在週二的X平台上詳細分析了導致下跌的關鍵原因:
- China-based AI firm DeepSeek shook U.S. tech markets, affecting crypto sentiment. Lizards notes this is a temporary spike in Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD) with no fundamental change for Bitcoin.
- Bitcoin's recent pump has trapped liquidity in leveraged long positions, prompting market makers to force drops in price to release it. Heatmaps suggest a possible retracement to $95,000 as part of this normal market correction.
- With no expected rate cuts from the Fed, risk assets like Bitcoin face pressure. However, Lizards believes this scenario is already priced in and won't have a major long-term effect on Bitcoin's fundamentals.
- The "sell-the-news" effect after Donald Trump's inauguration, coupled with a lack of near-term catalysts, could contribute to headwinds for Bitcoin. This is reminiscent of prior patterns seen around ETF approvals.
- 中國的人工智能公司DeepSeek震動了美國科技市場,影響了數字貨幣情緒。Lizards指出,這只是恐懼、不確定性和懷疑(FUD)的一次短暫激增,對比特幣沒有根本性的變化。
- 比特幣近期的上漲使得流動性被困在槓桿開多頭寸中,促使市場製造商強行降價以釋放流動性。熱力圖顯示可能會回調至95,000美元,這是正常市場修正的一部分。
- 由於聯儲局沒有預期的減息,像比特幣這樣的風險資產面臨壓力。然而,Lizards認爲這一情況已經被市場消化,不會對比特幣的基本面產生重大長期影響。
- 在特朗普就職後的「賣出消息」效應,加上缺乏短期催化劑,可能會對比特幣形成逆風。這讓人想起了以往在可交易ETF批准時所看到的模式。
Lizards also pointed out that fears of rising trade tariffs under Trump, as well as the speculative launch of coins like TRUMP and MELANIA, contribute to altcoin underperformance. These factors reflect broader structural issues in the altcoin market, but not Bitcoin.
Lizards還指出,對特朗普下調貿易關稅的擔憂,以及TRUMP和MELANIA等幣種的投機性推出,導致其他幣種表現不佳。這些因素反映了其他幣種市場中更廣泛的結構性問題,但對比特幣沒有影響。
Also Read: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin To Thrive In Q1, Prominent Trader Says
另請閱讀:比特幣、以太幣、狗狗幣將在第一季度蓬勃發展,知名交易員表示。
What's Next: Stockmoney Lizards predicts that Bitcoin will likely retrace to the $95,000-$96,000 range in the short term, allowing liquidity to clear and establishing stronger support.
展望未來:Stockmoney Lizards預測,比特幣在短期內可能回落到95,000至96,000的區間,以清除流動性並建立更強的壓力位。
BTC's recent breakout from a pennant pattern suggests a potential retest of the upper trendline, which could set the stage for the next upward move.
BTC最近從一個旗形模式中突破,暗示可能會重新測試上行趨勢線,這可能爲下一個上漲走勢奠定基礎。
While the current drop is seen as temporary, driven by liquidity shifts, sentiment changes, and external factors, the trader maintains a positive long-term outlook for Bitcoin.
儘管當前的下跌被視爲暫時性,受到流動性變化、情緒變化和外部因素的影響,但交易者對比特幣的長期前景保持樂觀。
- Bitcoin Correction To $75,000 Imminent Before A Surge To $250,000, Arthur Hayes Warns
- 阿瑟·海耶斯警告:比特幣修正至75,000美元在即,隨後飆升至250,000美元。
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譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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