The following is a comment written by individual investor "G有限亭玉介" of Fisco Social Reporter (blog: Profitable Stock Information "Cat Husband's Stocks are Limitlessly High"). At Fisco, efforts are made to actively disseminate diverse information to investors by collaborating with individuals who proactively share information.

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※Written on January 20, 2025, at 9:00 AM.

Amidst the numerous challenges in the USA and Overseas, all eyes are on what President Trump will tackle first. What will happen to high-tech stocks like Semiconductors that have been affected by interest rates and export regulations?

Once again, my name is G有限亭玉介, and I am writing the stock and cat blog "Profitable Stock Information 'Cat Husband's Stocks are Limitlessly High'."

Looking back at the market during the first Trump administration, it seems that after the president's inauguration in 2017, tax reduction policies were implemented, and starting around 2018, the results of corporate performance expansion began to show. Alongside this, there were export regulations from the US-China trade war on high-tech products like Semiconductors, and starting around 2019, the expansion of performance seemed to pause, with the EPS (earnings per share net profit) of the S&P 500 stock index stabilizing.

Japanese stocks typically rise when US stocks rise, so in the grand scheme, observing US stocks will be key to predicting the future of Japanese stocks. The second Trump administration will last a maximum of four years, so the speed of policy implementation may accelerate compared to the first term. Furthermore, since Trump is not entirely a political novice at this point, it is questionable how applicable the data from the 'first term was like this' will be.

For individual stock investments, if the themes are related to the policies of the US president, it can be expected to have a significant impact. However, it is undeniable that both the Japanese and US stock markets are greatly dependent on US interest rates. Therefore, it is important to closely watch how the US Federal Reserve will set interest rates in response to Trump's policies. Given Trump's character, there is a scary possibility that he might dismiss the Fed chair if it interferes with his policies.

Now, the "Trump Mix" has just begun, and it is uncertain whether it will turn out to be good or bad... In this context, focus is on stocks maintaining a bullish candlestick. First, TeamSpirit <4397>, which reported favorable earnings on January 10. The company, which provides a cloud-based service for attendance and business management called "TeamSpirit", became profitable due to the expansion of license sales and the restraint of advertising expenses. Monitoring if it can raise the bottom price from here.

Similarly, Agriculture Comprehensive Research Institute <3541>, which announced favorable earnings on January 10, also opened a window and moved. The direct shipment of vegetables and fruits from production areas is reportedly performing better than expected. The share buyback is also a positive factor, and it will be monitored whether it can form an upward trend in the medium to long term.

Japan M&A Solutions <9236>, which has broken out of the bottom price range, saw speculative buy inflow due to a large purchase by光通信 <9435> recently. It has broken above the 25-day and 75-day moving averages, and monitoring will be strengthened from here.

PRTIMES <3922>, which moved after the earnings report on January 10, seems to be increasing the number of companies using its core press release distribution service. There was also a surprise with the first dividend adjustment in December last year, and if it exceeds last year's high of 2,233 yen, it may form a genuine bullish candlestick.

Wakita <8125>, a trading company for construction machinery engaged in the sales and rental of civil engineering machinery, recently updated its high from last year. Its PB is also below 1, suggesting it is undervalued. While not at its highest earnings, its performance is stable and may be favored in a market where uncertainty is increasing.

Finally, Technisco <2962>, which handles heat sinks that absorb and radiate heat from electronic components. It has speculation regarding AI heat sinks as a semiconductor-related stock. It had been on a downward trend since its listing, but a rebound from the bottom price has been confirmed recently. Monitoring is ongoing to see what will happen with the earnings report on February 14.

Well, I've talked a lot, but my blog introduces "individual stocks and thematic stocks that are currently strong." If you have some free time, please take a look. I'll be waiting along with my beloved cat "Al."

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Author name: Yūgentō Gyokusuke

Blog name: The Cat Husband's Stocks are Limitless