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Musk: Tesla Aims to Produce Up to 100,000 Optimus Robots Next Year

Musk: Tesla Aims to Produce Up to 100,000 Optimus Robots Next Year

馬斯克:特斯拉計劃明年生產多達100,000個Optimus機器人
鈦媒體 ·  10:21

TMTPOST -- Tesla Inc. CEO Elon Musk presented at the CES 2025 an ambitious vision for Optimus, or Tesla Bot, the humanoid robot that Musk boasted can bring a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity for his company.

TMTPOSt -- 特斯拉公司首席執行官埃隆·馬斯克在2025年消費電子展上展示了對Optimus(特斯拉機器人)的宏偉願景,他自豪地表示,這將爲他的公司帶來數萬億的機會。

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Credit:Tesla

來源:特斯拉

Tesla is aiming to initially produce "several thousand of" Optimus robots this year, and then ramp up significantly, Musk told Stagwell CEO Mark Penn during a video interview at the CES show in Las Vegas. "Assuming things go well, we'll 10x that output next year (2026), so we'll aim to do maybe 50,000-100,000 humanoid robots next year, and then 10x it again the following year," Musk said in the interview.

馬斯克在拉斯維加斯的CES展會上接受Stagwell首席執行官馬克·彭的視頻採訪時表示,特斯拉計劃今年初步生產"幾千台"Optimus機器人,然後大幅提升產量。"假設進展順利,明年(2026年)我們將把產量提升十倍,所以我們計劃明年生產可能爲50,000-100,000台人形機器人,然後再在隨後一年再提升十倍,"馬斯克在採訪中說道。

Musk was so optimistic that even envisioned a world where the ratio of robots to humans could reach three to five robots per person, culminating in a global presence of 20 to 30 billion robots.

馬斯克非常樂觀,甚至設想了一個機器人與人類的比例能夠達到每人三到五個機器人的世界,最終在全球達到20至300億個機器人。

Tesla first unveiled second generation Optimus in December 2023, showing its prototype through a demo video. Optimus Gen 2 is equipped with in-house designed actuators and sensors, with ability to walk 30% faster than its predecessor. Optimus, which powered by the company's artficial intelligence (AI) technology, is currently being used in a limited capacity in Tesla's energy-storage division.

特斯拉於2023年12月首次展示了第二代Optimus,通過演示視頻展示了其原型。Optimus Gen 2配備了公司內部設計的驅動器和傳感器,行走速度比前一代快30%。Optimus由公司的人工智能(AI)技術驅動,目前在特斯拉的能源存儲部門被有限使用。

Musk said in May 2024 that Optimus' hands will be upgraded to have 22 degrees of freedom (DoF), in comparison with the previous version of just 11 DoF. That's already very close to a human's hands, which have 27 degrees of freedom. Optimus coud be ready for sale as soon as the end of 2025, Musk said at a conference call with investors the same month.

馬斯克在2024年5月表示,Optimus的手部將升級爲22個自由度(DoF),而之前的版本只有11個自由度。這已經非常接近人類的手,後者有27個自由度。馬斯克在同月與投資者的業績發佈會上表示,Optimus可能在2025年底前準備好出售。

Tesla said in June it has two Optimus robots that autonomously move around the company's office and laboratories every day. It also said it had started deploying two Optimus bots in its Gigafactory Texas, performing tasks autonomously.The tasks it was responsible for included sorting battery cells and other simple things. Tesla said it would be able to eliminate monotonous work that is boring to humans when its first-generation robot was unveiled.

特斯拉在6月表示,有兩臺Optimus機器人每天在公司的辦公室和實驗室內自主移動。它還表示已開始在其德克薩斯州超級工廠部署兩臺Optimus機器人,自動執行任務。它們負責的任務包括對電池單元進行分類和其他簡單工作。特斯拉表示,當其第一代機器人推出時,將能夠消除對人類來說單調乏味的工作。

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At the company's annual stockholder meeting in June, Musk revealed Optimus Gen 2 is being produced for $10,000 and there will be over 1,000, or a few thousand Optimus robots working at Tesla in 2025. Musk expected Optimus robots some day will perform like R2-D2 and C-3PO in "Star Wars." They could cook or clean for you, do factory work, or even teach your children, the chief executive suggested. As for shareholder value, Musk believes Optimus could be the catalyst for lifting Tesla's market cap to $25 trillion someday.

在公司六月的年度股東會議上,馬斯克透露,Optimus Gen 2的生產成本爲10,000美元,並且到2025年,特斯拉將有超過1,000或幾千個Optimus機器人在工作。馬斯克預計,Optimus機器人有一天將像《星球大戰》中的R2-D2和C-3PO那樣工作。首席執行官暗示,他們可以爲你做飯或打掃,做工廠工作,甚至教你的孩子。至於股東價值,馬斯克相信Optimus可能成爲提升特斯拉市值至25萬億美元的催化劑。

Musk called Optimus "the most advanced humanoid robot by a long shot" during Tesla's earnings call in late October. He said Tesla was the "only company that really has all of the ingredients necessary to scale humanoid robots." "What other companies are missing is that they're missing the AI brain, that they're missing people to really scale to very high-volume production," Musk said. "I think Optimus will ultimately be the most valuable part, so I think [it] has a good chance of being the most viable product that we made."

馬斯克在10月底的特斯拉業績發佈會上稱Optimus是「迄今爲止最先進的類人機器人」。他說特斯拉是「唯一一家真正擁有大規模生產類人機器人所需所有要素的公司」。「其他公司缺少的是缺少人工智能大腦,缺少吸引人們大規模生產的能力,」馬斯克說。「我認爲Optimus最終將是最有價值的部分,所以我認爲它有很大機會成爲我們製造的最具競爭力的產品。」

Commenting on a video showcasing Optimus' flexible movement of hand with 22 DoF in October, Musk said the robot will "be able to play the piano, maybe even some guitar." Tesla last month released a video of its Optimus achieving a new milestone: walking autonomously outside.

在10月的一段展示Optimus靈活手部運動(擁有22個自由度)的視頻中,馬斯克表示,該機器人將「能夠演奏鋼琴,甚至可能演奏一些吉他。」特斯拉上個月發佈了一段視頻,展示其Optimus達到了一個新里程碑:自主行走在戶外。

Bank of America analyst John Murphy last month raised his price target on Tesla by $50 to $400 per share, citing the impact robotics technology will have on the group's upcoming fleet of Cybercabs, which are expected to launch next year. Murphy said Tesla was testing Optimus in a host of use cases, as it looked to both refine the current version and determine its final design.

美國銀行的分析師約翰·墨菲上個月將特斯拉的目標價提高了50美元,達到每股400美元,理由是機器人技術將對該集團即將推出的Cybercabs車隊產生影響,預計將於明年推出。墨菲表示,特斯拉正在測試Optimus在多種用例中的表現,旨在改進當前版本並判斷其最終設計。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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