When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:SUPN) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 35.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Supernus Pharmaceuticals has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Supernus Pharmaceuticals will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Supernus Pharmaceuticals' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 131% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 30% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 1.7% per year over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 11% per year.
With this information, we find it concerning that Supernus Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining earnings are likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Supernus Pharmaceuticals' P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Supernus Pharmaceuticals currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. When we see a poor outlook with earnings heading backwards, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Supernus Pharmaceuticals you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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