Is Air Canada Stock a Buy While It's Below $25?
Is Air Canada Stock a Buy While It's Below $25?
It's been nearly five years since the start of the pandemic, and while most economies, companies and share prices are back to normal, Air Canada (TSX:AC) stock continues to trade more than 50% down from its pre-pandemic price.
距離疫情開始已經快五年了,儘管大多數經濟體、公司和股票價格已經恢復正常,但AIR CANADA(TSX:AC)的股票仍比疫情前的價格低50%以上。
Despite the travel industry recovering and setting new records, and Air Canada consistently growing its sales and setting record revenue itself, the stock continues to trade in the low $20 range, well below its pre-pandemic price of more than $50.
儘管旅遊行業正在復甦並創造新紀錄,AIR CANADA的營業收入也在持續增長並創下紀錄,但其股票仍在低20美元區間交易,遠低於疫情前50多美元的價格。
So, what's stopping Air Canada from seeing a full recovery, and is it worth buying while it continues to trade below $25?
那麼,是什麼阻止了AIR CANADA實現全面復甦,是否值得在其持續低於25美元交易時買入?
Why is Air Canada stock still trading undervalued?
爲什麼AIR CANADA的股票仍然被低估?
Although the pandemic and its impact on the economy are well in the rearview now, for some stocks like Air Canada, the negative impacts are still lingering.
雖然疫情及其對經濟的影響現在已經遠去,但對於像AIR CANADA這樣的股票,負面影響仍然在持續。
The airline industry is highly competitive, with companies constantly looking for ways to optimize and stay profitable. Planes only make money when they're in the air, so airlines focus heavily on minimizing ground time and maximizing operational efficiency.
航空公司行業競爭激烈,各公司不斷尋找優化和保持盈利的方法。飛機只有在空中時才能賺錢,因此航空公司非常注重減少地面停留時間和最大化運營效率。
Therefore, when the pandemic brought almost all travel to a halt, and planes sat idles at airports for over a year, companies like Air Canada were losing massive sums of money. In fact, from the end of 2019 to the end of 2021, Air Canada stock's net debt increased from $3.35 billion to more than $7.7 billion, an increase of roughly 130%, just to stay in business.
因此,當疫情幾乎使所有旅行停滯不前,飛機在機場閒置超過一年時,像AIR CANADA這樣的公司損失了巨額資金。事實上,從2019年底到2021年底,AIR CANADA股票的淨債務從33.5億加元增加到超過77億加元,增加了約130%,僅僅是爲了維持業務。
Therefore, although it's now generating record sales and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) as the travel industry has recovered, its significant debt load continues to weigh on its valuation.
因此,儘管在旅行行業恢復時,它現在創造了創紀錄的營業收入和息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),但其巨額債務負擔仍在壓制其估值。
The massive debt not only increases the risk of the investment, but with interest rates elevated lately, it's also increased interest expenses, which has impacted its margins negatively.
巨額債務不僅增加了投資風險,而且由於最近利率上升,也增加了利息支出,這對其利潤率產生了負面影響。
With that said, though, in the last two years, as Air Canada has rapidly recovered, it's begun to pay down much of that debt, which is ultimately bringing it closer to its eventual recovery.
不過,過去兩年中,隨着AIR CANADA迅速復甦,它開始償還大部分債務,這最終使它更接近於最終的復甦。
Therefore, although the stock has been undervalued for years now in comparison to its pre-pandemic price, Air Canada could finally turn the corner this year as its debt continues to be reduced and its profitability improves.
因此,儘管與疫情前的價格相比,這隻股票多年來一直被低估,但AIR CANADA可能今年終於迎來轉機,因爲其債務繼續減少,盈利能力改善。
Is the airliner worth investing in today?
今天這家航空公司值得投資嗎?
With Air Canada trading at just under $22 today, the stock certainly seems compelling. Not only does it have limited downside risk since it already trades so cheaply, but as interest rates continue to fall, Air Canada stock could begin to gain significant momentum.
考慮到AIR CANADA今天的交易價格剛好低於22美元,這隻股票確實非常吸引人。由於它已經以如此低廉的價格交易,因此其下行風險有限,並且隨着利率的持續下降,AIR CANADA的股票可能會開始獲得顯著的動力。
It's also worth noting that at these prices, Air Canada trades at a forward enterprise value (EV)-to-EBITDA ratio of just 3.2 times. That's not just ultra-cheap for any stock, but it's also right in line with Air Canada's three-year average EV/EBITDA ratio heading into the pandemic.
同樣值得注意的是,在這些價格下,AIR CANADA的前瞻性企業價值(EV)與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率僅爲3.2倍。這不僅對任何股票來說都極爲便宜,而且在疫情前,它也是與AIR CANADA三年平均EV/EBITDA比率相符。
In addition, of the 13 analysts that currently cover Air Canada stock, 11 are giving it a buy rating with the other two rating it a hold. Furthermore, its average analyst target price is currently sitting upwards of $28, which is a more than 25% premium to where Air Canada stock trades today.
此外,在目前覆蓋AIR CANADA股票的13位分析師中,有11位給予它買入評級,另外兩位則給予持有評級。此外,其平均分析師目標價目前高於28美元,比AIR CANADA今天的股票交易價格溢價超過25%。
Therefore, although it's difficult to predict when exactly the stock could gain momentum and begin to rally, it's hard to ignore the value that the airliner offers investors today.
因此,儘管很難預測這隻股票何時能夠獲得勢頭並開始反彈,但投資者今天無法忽視航空公司所提供的價值。
So, if you've got Air Canada stock on your watchlist and are expecting a significant recovery, you may want to consider buying the stock sooner rather than later before it takes off and leaves today's undervalued price behind.
因此,如果您在自選中持有AIR CANADA股票並期待其有顯著的恢復,您可能想考慮儘早買入股票,而不是等到它起飛,錯過今天被低估的價格。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。