0.9% Earnings Growth Over 5 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Verint Systems (NASDAQ:VRNT) Shareholders Over That Period
0.9% Earnings Growth Over 5 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Verint Systems (NASDAQ:VRNT) Shareholders Over That Period
For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Verint Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:VRNT), since the last five years saw the share price fall 56%. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 17% in thirty days.
對於許多人來說,投資的主要目的是獲得比整體市場更高的回報。但是每個投資者幾乎可以肯定會擁有表現優於市場和表現不佳的股票。在這一點上,一些股東可能會質疑他們對Verint系統公司(納斯達克:VRNT)的投資,因爲在過去五年中,股價下跌了56%。不幸的是,股價的動量仍然相當負面,價格在三天內下降了17%。
Since Verint Systems has shed US$120m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由於Verint系統在過去7天內蒸發了12000萬美元的價值,讓我們看看長期的下降是否是由業務經濟所驅動的。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
雖然一些人仍然教授有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過於反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性。一個不完美但簡單的考慮市場對公司認知變化的方法是,將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價波動進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Verint Systems moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.
在五年的股價增長期間,Verint系統從虧損變爲盈利。這通常被視爲積極信號,因此我們對股價下跌感到驚訝。其他指標可能能更好地幫助我們了解其價值隨時間的變化。
It could be that the revenue decline of 3.3% per year is viewed as evidence that Verint Systems is shrinking. This has probably encouraged some shareholders to sell down the stock.
每年3.3%的營業收入下降可能被視爲Verint系統正在縮小的證據。這可能促使一些股東賣出股票。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。
We know that Verint Systems has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Verint Systems stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
我們知道Verint系統在過去三年改善了其盈利能力,但未來會怎樣呢?如果你考慮買入或賣出Verint系統的股票,你應該查看這份關於其資產負債表的免費詳細報告。
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
那麼,股東總回報(TSR)呢?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Verint Systems' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Verint Systems hasn't been paying dividends, but its TSR of -13% exceeds its share price return of -56%, implying it has either spun-off a business, or raised capital at a discount; thereby providing additional value to shareholders.
投資者應該注意到,Verint系統的總股東回報(TSR)與其股價變化之間存在差異,這一點我們在上面提到過。TSR是一個回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)和任何折扣資本籌集及剝離的計算價值。Verint系統沒有支付分紅,但其-13%的TSR超出了其-56%的股價回報,這意味着其可能剝離了一個業務,或以折扣方式籌集資本,從而爲股東提供了額外的價值。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Verint Systems shareholders are down 2.9% for the year, but the market itself is up 26%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Verint Systems better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Verint Systems that you should be aware of.
Verint系統的股東今年下降了2.9%,而市場本身上漲了26%。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但在對業務產生過多興趣之前,我們希望看到基本指標的改善。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明仍然存在未解決的挑戰,因爲它的年化損失超過了過去五年的3%。一般而言,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆向投資者可能希望研究該股票,希望出現轉機。長期追蹤股價表現總是很有趣。但爲了更好地理解Verint系統,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們已經發現了1個需要注意的警告信號。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,你可能會通過其他地方尋找一個絕佳的投資機會。所以請查看這個我們預計將增長每股收益的公司免費列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。