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Is NVent Electric (NYSE:NVT) A Risky Investment?

Is NVent Electric (NYSE:NVT) A Risky Investment?

nVent Electric(紐交所:NVT)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/08 06:53

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies nVent Electric plc (NYSE:NVT) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人說波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過 『波動性與風險遠非同義詞。』 所以當你考慮任何股票的風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可能會使一家公司陷入困境。 與許多其他公司一樣,nVent Electric plc(紐交所:NVT)利用了債務。但是股東應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時會變得危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當一個企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就變得危險,無論是依靠自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資金。資本主義的一個重要部分是『創造性破壞』的過程,其中失敗的企業被其銀行無情地清算。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,它不得不以低價籌集新股本,從而永久稀釋股東權益。話雖如此,大多數情況下是一家公司合理管理其負債並從中獲益。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先要將現金與債務一起看待。

What Is nVent Electric's Net Debt?

nVent Electric的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 nVent Electric had US$2.26b of debt, an increase on US$1.86b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$137.1m, its net debt is less, at about US$2.12b.

你可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示截至2024年9月,nVent Electric 擁有22.6億美元的債務,相較於一年前的18.6億美元有所增加。 然而,由於它有13710萬美元的現金儲備,淨債務較少,約爲21.2億美元。

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NYSE:NVT Debt to Equity History January 8th 2025
紐交所:NVT 債務與權益歷史 2025年1月8日

How Strong Is nVent Electric's Balance Sheet?

nVent Electric的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that nVent Electric had liabilities of US$776.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.86b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$137.1m as well as receivables valued at US$574.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.92b.

從最新的資產負債表數據來看,nVent Electric的短期負債爲77620萬美元,長期負債爲28.6億美元。抵消這些義務的是13710萬美元現金以及57490萬美元的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收賬款總和29.2億美元。

nVent Electric has a very large market capitalization of US$11.8b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

nVent Electric的市值非常大,達到118億美元,因此如果有需要,它很可能會籌集現金來改善其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們應該仔細檢查它是否能在不稀釋的情況下管理其債務。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們通過看淨債務與息稅折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何輕鬆地覆蓋利息費用(利息覆蓋)來衡量一家公司相對於其獲利能力的債務負擔。這樣,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量,也考慮了其支付的利率。

nVent Electric's debt is 2.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 6.4 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. If nVent Electric can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 18% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine nVent Electric's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

nVent Electric的債務是其EBITDA的2.6倍,EBIT能覆蓋其利息支出6.4倍。綜合來看,這意味着,儘管我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它能夠處理當前的槓桿。如果nVent Electric能夠保持去年18%的EBIT增長率,那麼它將發現其債務負擔更容易管理。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。但未來的收益,超過一切,將判斷nVent Electric維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, nVent Electric recorded free cash flow worth 79% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,儘管稅務部門可能會喜歡會計利潤,但貸方只接受冷硬現金。因此,邏輯步驟是查看EBIT中由實際自由現金流匹配的比例。在最近的三年中,nVent Electric記錄的自由現金流佔其EBIT的79%,這是正常的,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅。這筆冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that nVent Electric's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that nVent Electric takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for nVent Electric you should be aware of.

好消息是,nVent Electric展現出的將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力讓我們感到高興,就像蓬鬆的小狗讓幼兒開心一樣。 但是,從更嚴肅的角度來看,我們對其淨債務與EBITDA的比例有些擔憂。 綜合考慮所有這些數據,我們認爲nVent Electric對待債務的方式相當合理。這意味着他們承擔了更多的風險,希望能夠提高股東的回報。 資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表外的風險。 比如說:我們發現nVent Electric有兩個警示信號需要你注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

無論最終結果如何,有時候更容易關注那些根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費獲取一份淨債務爲零的成長股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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