Flash Sale Profits: 2 Canadian Retail Stocks That Still Look Cheap — for Now
Flash Sale Profits: 2 Canadian Retail Stocks That Still Look Cheap — for Now
With Boxing Day and the festive season all wrapped up, investors should begin to focus on the retail names that could deliver upside surprises in the new year, perhaps on the back of stronger consumers. Indeed, it's been a rather tough past year for consumer spending, but things could change for the better as the Canadian economy looks to move past a period of relative sluggishness.
隨着節禮日和節日季的結束,投資者應該開始關注那些可能在新的一年帶來上行驚喜的零售企業,這可能是在消費者走強的支持下。事實上,去年消費者支出相當艱難,但隨着加拿大經濟希望擺脫相對疲軟的時期,情況可能會好轉。
With the Canadian dollar rallying on Monday, perhaps the worst of the weak loonie is in the rear-view mirror as the Bank of Canada looks to consider its next move while the nation looks to make steps to sidestep potential 25% tariffs that could be imposed by Trump pretty soon.
隨着週一加元的上漲,疲軟的加元中最糟糕的時刻可能出現在後視鏡中,因爲加拿大銀行正在考慮下一步行動,而加拿大則希望採取措施規避特朗普可能很快徵收的25%關稅。
Either way, I think the Canadian retail scene is very interesting for its modest valuation and the potential for multiple expansion through the next two to three years. Here are two names that I view as dirt cheap this January.
無論哪種方式,我認爲加拿大的零售業都非常有趣,因爲其估值適中,並且有可能在未來兩到三年內進行多次擴張。我認爲今年一月有兩個名字非常便宜。
Dollarama
多拉瑪
In the U.S. market, the dollar-store chains have been under quite a bit of pressure, with some of the better-known brands imploding by double-digit percentage points. Meanwhile, it's been off to the races for Dollarama (TSX:DOL), whose shares have been up a whopping 45% in the past year.
在美國市場,美元連鎖店一直承受着相當大的壓力,一些知名度更高的品牌暴跌了兩位數的百分點。同時,Dollarama(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:DOL)的股價在過去一年中上漲了45%。
Indeed, Dollarama has thrived in the Canadian market by offering a wide line-up of goods at rather attractive prices. As Canadians continue to go bargain hunting, Dollarama could have an opportunity to scale up its growth rate as it continues its lengthy nationwide expansion. Indeed, we don't have enough Dollaramas in any given town!
事實上,Dollarama通過以相當誘人的價格提供種類繁多的商品,在加拿大市場蓬勃發展。隨着加拿大人繼續討價還價,Dollarama可能有機會在繼續漫長的全國擴張的同時擴大其增長率。事實上,我們在任何一個城鎮都沒有足夠的 Dollaramas!
The major knock against shares may be its seemingly hefty 35.5 times trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple. Given the growth narrative (expansion plus the retailer's market dominance), I'd argue shares are cheap after slipping 8% in the past two months. On a forward-looking basis, DOL stock goes for 28 times forward P/E, which isn't all too unreasonable for such a high-quality defensive with ample growth left in the tank.
對股票的主要衝擊可能是其看似高達35.5倍的追蹤市盈率(P/E)。鑑於增長的說法(擴張加上零售商的市場主導地位),我認爲股票在過去兩個月中下跌了8%之後很便宜。從前瞻來看,美國勞工部股票的遠期市盈率是28倍,對於如此有充足增長的高質量防禦措施來說,這並不是太不合理的。
My takeaway? Dollarama is a dependable consumer stock that could keep rising, regardless of what consumers are in for in 2025.
我的外賣?Dollarama是一種可靠的消費股,無論消費者在2025年的需求如何,它都可能繼續上漲。
Aritzia
阿里齊亞
Aritzia (TSX:ATZ) is another "growthy" retail play that's looking like a compelling buy to start the new year. At $58 and change per share, Aritzia is at fresh 52-week highs after a 126% gain in the past year. If the women's clothing retailer can continue crushing on earnings (a report is just ahead), a breakout could be in the cards. Either way, I view the small $6.5 billion clothing retailer as a growth gem for those who are bullish on the firm's growth runway in the U.S. market.
Aritzia(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:ATZ)是另一家 「成長型」 零售公司,在新的一年開始時看起來像是一個引人入勝的選擇。Aritzia的漲幅爲58美元,每股漲幅爲126%,創下52周新高。如果這家女裝零售商能夠繼續壓低收益(即將發佈報告),那麼可能會出現突破。無論哪種方式,對於那些看好該公司在美國市場增長軌道的人來說,我都將這家價值65億美元的小型服裝零售商視爲增長寶石。
Indeed, expansion south of the border could be a source of significant growth that could keep the good times rolling. In any case, it's time to give the brand a closer look as it builds an economic moat around its offerings. At 24.1 times forward P/E, I also view shares of ATZ as cheap relative to the growth rate. So, if you seek strength in retail, look no further than the name as it nears all-time highs again.
事實上,邊境以南的擴張可能是顯著增長的來源,這可能會使美好時光持續下去。無論如何,是時候仔細研究該品牌圍繞其產品建立經濟護城河了。按遠期市盈率的24.1倍,我還認爲ATZ的股票相對於增長率來說便宜。因此,如果你尋求零售業的實力,那麼這個名字就是你的不二之選,因爲它再次接近歷史新高。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。