Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Alamo Group Inc. (NYSE:ALG)?
Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Alamo Group Inc. (NYSE:ALG)?
It is hard to get excited after looking at Alamo Group's (NYSE:ALG) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.4% over the past month. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study Alamo Group's ROE in this article.
在查看阿拉莫集團(紐交所:ALG)最近的表現後,很難感到興奮,因爲其股票在過去一個月中下降了9.4%。然而,仔細查看其穩健的財務狀況可能會讓你重新考慮。鑑於基本面通常驅動長期市場結果,這家公司值得關注。具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究阿拉莫集團的ROE。
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
ROE,即淨資產收益率,是評估公司如何有效地利用股東所投入的資金以產生回報的有用工具。簡單來說,它衡量了公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。
How Is ROE Calculated?
淨資產收益率怎麼計算?
The formula for ROE is:
ROE的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Alamo Group is:
所以,基於上述公式,阿拉莫集團的ROE爲:
12% = US$119m ÷ US$1.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
12% = 11900萬美元 ÷ 10億美金(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.12 in profit.
『收益』是過去十二個月的稅後收入。另一種理解方式是,對於每1美元的股本,公司能夠賺取0.12美元的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE爲什麼對凈利潤增長很重要?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的一個指標。根據公司將這些利潤再投資或「保留」的比例,以及其有效性,我們能夠評估公司的盈利增長潛力。在其他條件相同的情況下,與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留的公司通常具有更高的增長率。
A Side By Side comparison of Alamo Group's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE
阿拉莫集團的盈利增長與12% ROE的並列比較
To begin with, Alamo Group seems to have a respectable ROE. Even so, when compared with the average industry ROE of 15%, we aren't very excited. Although, we can see that Alamo Group saw a modest net income growth of 19% over the past five years. Therefore, the growth in earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently. Bear in mind, the company does have a respectable level of ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is higher. So this also provides some context to the earnings growth seen by the company.
首先,阿拉莫集團似乎擁有令人滿意的ROE。儘管如此,與行業平均ROE 15%相比,我們並不是很興奮。雖然我們可以看到,阿拉莫集團在過去五年的凈利潤增長了19%。因此,盈利的增長可能是由於其他因素造成的。例如,該公司有一個較低的分紅比率,或者管理得當。請記住,該公司的ROE水平是相當可觀的。只是行業的ROE更高。因此,這也爲公司所看到的盈利增長提供了一些背景。
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Alamo Group's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 15% in the same period, which is great to see.
接下來,在與行業凈利潤增長進行比較時,我們發現阿拉莫集團的增長在同一時期與行業平均增長15%相比相當高,這非常值得慶賀。
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for ALG? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.
對公司估值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長相聯繫。投資者應嘗試確定預期的盈利增長或下降,無論是哪種情況,是否已被市場定價。這樣做將幫助他們判斷股票未來的前景是光明還是陰暗。市場是否已經對ALG的未來前景進行了定價?您可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖表研究報告中找到答案。
Is Alamo Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
阿拉莫集團是否有效地再投資其利潤?
In Alamo Group's case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 8.4% (or a retention ratio of 92%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.
就阿拉莫集團而言,其可觀的盈利增長可能可以用其低的三年中位派息比率8.4%(或保留比率92%)來解釋,這表明該公司正在將大部分利潤投資於其業務增長。
Moreover, Alamo Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 7.3% of its profits over the next three years. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 12%.
此外,阿拉莫集團決心與股東分享其利潤,這一點從其至少十年的派息歷史中可以推斷出來。通過研究最新的分析師共識數據,我們發現該公司預計將在未來三年內保持大約7.3%的利潤分配。因此,該公司的未來ROE預計也不會有很大變化,分析師預測ROE爲12%。
Summary
總結
On the whole, we feel that Alamo Group's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business at a moderate rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
總體而言,我們認爲阿拉莫集團的表現相當不錯。特別是,我們喜歡這家公司以適中的回報率大量再投資於其業務。毫不意外,這導致了令人印象深刻的收益增長。儘管如此,預計公司的收益增長會放緩,正如當前分析師的預測所示。要了解更多關於公司未來收益增長的預測,請查看這份關於公司分析師預測的免費報告,以獲取更多信息。
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