When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN) as an attractive investment with its 9.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
AutoNation hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AutoNation will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as AutoNation's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 25%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 28% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 11% per year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% per annum, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it odd that AutoNation is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On AutoNation's P/E
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that AutoNation currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for AutoNation (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than AutoNation. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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