There wouldn't be many who think The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:THG) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Insurance industry in the United States is similar at about 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Hanover Insurance Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times haven't been great for Hanover Insurance Group as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hanover Insurance Group.
How Is Hanover Insurance Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
Hanover Insurance Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.0% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 20% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.1% over the next year. That's shaping up to be similar to the 3.9% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Hanover Insurance Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look at Hanover Insurance Group's revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. If all things remain constant, the possibility of a drastic share price movement remains fairly remote.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Hanover Insurance Group with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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