When you see that almost half of the companies in the Telecom industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, Iridium Communications Inc. (NASDAQ:IRDM) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 4.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Iridium Communications' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
There hasn't been much to differentiate Iridium Communications' and the industry's revenue growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Iridium Communications.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Iridium Communications?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Iridium Communications would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 2.9%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 34% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 3.9% per annum as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 171% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's alarming that Iridium Communications' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Iridium Communications, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Iridium Communications that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Iridium Communications, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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