Bitcoin Adoption By Another Nation? Polymarket Shows 75% Odds Of New Country Following El Salvador's Path In 2025
Bitcoin Adoption By Another Nation? Polymarket Shows 75% Odds Of New Country Following El Salvador's Path In 2025
Polymarket's official X handle posted the contract with the caption, "Who will follow in Bettors on the cryptocurrency-based prediction market Polymarket eyed a strong possibility that a new country would switch to the "Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) Standard" this year.
在以數字貨幣爲基礎的預測市場Polymarket上，投注者看到了一個新國家今年可能會轉向"比特幣（CRYPTO: BTC）標準"的強烈可能性。
What happened: A new contract titled, "Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?" went live on the Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based platform on New Year's Day, with odds in favor jumping past 75% as of this writing.
發生了什麼：一個名爲"一個新國家會在2025年買入比特幣嗎？"的新合同在Polygon（CRYPTO: POL）平台上於新年當天上線，目前支持的賠率超過了75%。
As per rules, the market will resolve to "Yes" if any sovereign U.N. member buys the apex cryptocurrency for the first time before Dec. 31. As of this writing, over $40,000 has been wagered on this bet.
根據規則，如果任何聯合國主權成員在12月31日之前首次購買該頂級數字貨幣，市場將會判定爲"是"。截至目前，超過40,000美元已被投入到這個賭注中。
Polymarket's official X handle posted the contract with the caption, "Who will follow in Nayib Bukele's footsteps?" referring to the pioneering Bitcoin embrace of El Salvador. The post was reshared by Bukele.
Polymarket的官方X帳號發佈了合同，配文爲"誰會追隨納伊布·布克爾的腳步？" 指的是薩爾瓦多對比特幣的開創性擁抱。該帖子被布克爾轉發。
There's a 75% chance a new country buys Bitcoin this year.
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) January 2, 2025
Who will follow in @nayibbukele's footsteps? pic.twitter.com/MM6fQJRMUc
有75%的機會一個新國家在今年會買入比特幣。
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) 2025年1月2日
誰會追隨@nayibbukele的腳步？ pic.twitter.com/MM6fQJRMUc
See Also: 'Pharma Bro' Martin Shkreli Predicts Liquidation Doom For MicroStrategy Amid Fall Below $300, Says Bitcoin Will Hit $250K Without Michael Saylor
另見：'藥品兄弟'馬丁·什克雷利預測MicroStrategy面臨清算厄運，因爲其股價跌破300美元，並表示比特幣將在沒有邁克爾·賽勒的情況下達到25萬美元
Why It Matters: El Salvador was indeed the first country to buy Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset back in 2021, in what was seen as an audacious move with regards to fiscal policy. The country has adopted a plan to buy one Bitcoin every day, until it becomes unaffordable with fiat currencies.
重要性：薩爾瓦多確實是第一個在2021年作爲財政儲備資產買入比特幣的國家，此舉被視爲在財政政策方面的大膽舉措。該國已採取計劃，每天購買一枚比特幣，直到用法幣無法承受。
The Central American nation currently sits on a stockpile of 6,005 BTCs, worth nearly $582 million.
這個中美洲國家目前儲備了6,005個比特幣，價值近58200萬美元。
The list is dominated by bigger countries like the U.S., China, and the UK, although none of them treat Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset.
這個名單主要由像美國、中國和英國這樣的大國主導，儘管這些國家都沒有將比特幣視爲戰略儲備資產。
As for the U.S., expectations have run high after Donald Trump's victory, who pledged to establish a national Bitcoin stockpile during the election campaign. As of this writing, the odds of the U.S. establishing a reserve in 2025 were 38% on Polymarket.
關於美國，在特朗普的勝利之後，期待已高，他在競選期間承諾建立國家比特幣儲備。截至目前，美國在2025年建立儲備的幾率爲38%。
The U.S. government holds 198,109 Bitcoins in asset forfeiture funds, according to latest data analytics firm, Arkham Intelligence
根據最新數據分析公司Arkham Intelligence的數據顯示，美國政府持有198,109個比特幣作爲資產沒收基金。
Price Action: At the time of writing, Bitcoin was exchanging hands at $96,815.55, up 1.99% in the last 24 hours, according to data from Benzinga Pro.
價格動態：截至撰寫時，比特幣的交易價格爲96,815.55美元，在過去24小時內上漲了1.99%，根據Benzinga Pro的數據。
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譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
