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Kohl's (NYSE:KSS) Sheds US$90m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years

Kohl's (NYSE:KSS) Sheds US$90m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years

科爾士(紐交所:KSS)損失9000萬美元,公司的收益和投資者回報在過去三年中一直在下降。
Simply Wall St ·  01/02 20:49

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the long term shareholders of Kohl's Corporation (NYSE:KSS) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 71% drop in the share price over that period. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 47% in a year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 28% in the last three months.

如果你喜歡投資股票,你必定會買到一些虧損的股票。然而,科爾士公司(NYSE:KSS)的長期股東在過去三年裏遭遇了不幸的局面。不幸的是,他們在這一期間內不得不應對股價下跌了71%。最近的消息讓人感到不安,股價在一年內下跌了47%。股價的下跌在最近加速,過去三個月內股價下跌了28%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務的表現。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, Kohl's moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

在五年的股價增長中,科爾士從虧損轉向盈利。一般來說,這被視爲積極的變化,因此我們對股價下跌感到驚訝。值得關注的是其他指標,以嘗試理解股價的變動。

Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. However, the weak share price might be related to the fact revenue has been disappearing at a rate of 4.8% each year, over three years. This could have some investors worried about the longer term growth potential (or lack thereof).

考慮到分紅派息的健康程度,我們懷疑市場是否對此感到擔憂。然而,股價疲軟可能與營業收入在過去三年內以每年4.8%的速度減少有關。這可能讓一些投資者擔心長期的增長潛力(或缺乏增長潛力)。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到盈利和營業收入隨時間的變化(通過點擊圖片發現確切值)。

big
NYSE:KSS Earnings and Revenue Growth January 2nd 2025
紐交所:KSS 盈利和營業收入增長 2025年1月2日

Kohl's is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.

科爾士是一隻知名的股票,得到了很多分析師的覆蓋,這表明對未來增長的某種可見性。鑑於我們有相當多的分析師預測,查看這個描繪共識估計的免費圖表是非常值得的。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Kohl's the TSR over the last 3 years was -64%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR則包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)和任何折扣融資或剝離的收益。可以公平地說,TSR爲支付分紅的股票提供了更全面的圖景。我們注意到,科爾士在過去3年的TSR爲-64%,這比上述的股價回報更好。可以肯定的是,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了兩者之間的差異!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Investors in Kohl's had a tough year, with a total loss of 41% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 26%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 10% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Kohl's is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...

在Kohl's的投資者經歷了艱難的一年,總損失達41%(包括分紅派息),而市場收益約爲26%。即使是優質股票的股價有時候也會下跌,但在對一家公司的基本指標沒有改善之前,我們希望能看到一些進展。 不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明存在未解決的挑戰,因爲其損失超過了過去五年的年化損失10%。我們意識到巴倫·羅斯柴爾德曾說過投資者應該在街頭流血時"買入",但我們提醒投資者首先要確保自己在購買一家高質量的企業。 我發現從長期來看觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理是非常有趣的。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。 即便如此,請注意,在我們的投資分析中,Kohl's顯示出兩個警告信號,而其中一個是重要的...

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,你可能會通過其他地方尋找一個絕佳的投資機會。所以請查看這個我們預計將增長每股收益的公司免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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