We Think CBRE Group (NYSE:CBRE) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think CBRE Group (NYSE:CBRE) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, CBRE Group, Inc. (NYSE:CBRE) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
傳奇基金經理李祿(查理·芒格支持的那位)曾說過:『最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。』 在審視一家公司風險的同時考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲債務往往與企業崩潰有關。重要的是,世邦魏理仕公司(紐交所:CBRE)確實有債務。但是,股東們應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般而言,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才會成爲真正的問題,通常通過融資或自身的現金流償還。最終,如果公司無法履行償債的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債公司由於債權人迫使他們以受壓價格籌集資金而永久性稀釋股東權益。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是在它替代了一家能夠以高回報率再投資的公司的稀釋時。當考慮一個企業使用多少債務時,首先要查看其現金和債務的結合情況。
What Is CBRE Group's Debt?
世邦魏理仕的債務是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, CBRE Group had US$5.42b of debt, up from US$4.47b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$1.03b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$4.40b.
正如您在下面所看到的,直到2024年9月底,世邦魏理仕的債務爲54.2億美元,較去年同期的44.7億美元增加。點擊圖片了解更多細節。但是,它有10.3億美元的現金來抵消這部分債務,因此淨債務約爲44億美元。
How Healthy Is CBRE Group's Balance Sheet?
世邦魏理仕的資產負債表健康嗎?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CBRE Group had liabilities of US$9.43b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$5.86b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.03b in cash and US$7.36b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$6.91b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
從最新的資產負債表數據來看,世邦魏理仕有94.3億美元的短期負債和58.6億美元的長期負債。對此,它有10.3億美元的現金和73.6億美元的應收賬款,這些應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額超過其現金及近期應收款共計69.1億美元。
Of course, CBRE Group has a titanic market capitalization of US$39.2b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
當然,世邦魏理仕擁有392億美元的龐大市值,因此這些負債可能是可控的。但是,負債總額足夠多,我們確實建議股東今後持續關注資產負債表。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們通過查看公司的淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及計算息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋利息費用的能力(利息保障率),來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力的情況。這種方法的優勢在於,我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(通過淨債務與EBITDA的比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息費用(通過其利息保障率)。
CBRE Group's net debt of 2.0 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.6 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Importantly, CBRE Group grew its EBIT by 63% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CBRE Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
世邦魏理仕的淨債務爲EBITDA的2.0倍,表明其優雅地使用債務。而誘人的利息覆蓋率(EBIT是利息支出的7.6倍)當然不會消除這種印象。重要的是,世邦魏理仕在過去的十二個月裏將EBIT增長了63%,這一增長將使其更容易處理債務。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點。不過,未來的收益比其他任何因素更能判斷世邦魏理仕未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會覺得這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告非常有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, CBRE Group recorded free cash flow worth 67% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,儘管稅務官可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸方只接受冷硬現金。因此,值得檢查一下這些EBIT中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在最近三年中,世邦魏理仕記錄的自由現金流佔其EBIT的67%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅款。當適當時,這一自由現金流使公司處於良好的位置,能夠償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Happily, CBRE Group's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Zooming out, CBRE Group seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with CBRE Group .
令人欣慰的是,世邦魏理仕令人印象深刻的EBIt增長率表明它在債務方面佔據優勢。好消息並未止步於此,它將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的表現也支持了這種印象!放眼來看,世邦魏理仕似乎合理使用債務;對此我們表示贊同。儘管債務確實帶來了風險,但在明智使用的情況下,它也可以帶來更高的股本回報。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到了債務的知識。但最終,每個公司都可能存在資產負債表外的風險。爲此,您應該注意我們發現的世邦魏理仕的兩個警示信號。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。