With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.3x Avery Dennison Corporation (NYSE:AVY) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Avery Dennison certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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Is There Enough Growth For Avery Dennison?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Avery Dennison's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 39% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 6.9% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 12% per year during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% each year, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's curious that Avery Dennison's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Avery Dennison's P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Avery Dennison currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Avery Dennison that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Avery Dennison's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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