share_log

Is Zebra Technologies (NASDAQ:ZBRA) A Risky Investment?

Is Zebra Technologies (NASDAQ:ZBRA) A Risky Investment?

斑馬技術(納斯達克:ZBRA)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/01 04:44

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Zebra Technologies Corporation (NASDAQ:ZBRA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李路(查理·芒格力挺)曾說過,「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡查看它的債務情況,因爲債務過重可能導致毀滅。我們注意到,斑馬技術公司(納斯達克:ZBRA)確實在其資產負債表上有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心它的債務使用呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

何時債務成爲問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業在償還時遇到麻煩,無論是通過新資本還是通過自由現金流。資本主義的一個重要部分是「創造性破壞」的過程,失敗的企業會被其銀行家無情清算。然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以便宜得可憐的價格發行股票,永久性稀釋股東的股份,僅僅是爲了增強其資產負債表。當然,許多公司利用債務來支持增長,而沒有任何負面後果。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先會一起查看現金和債務。

What Is Zebra Technologies's Debt?

斑馬技術公司的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Zebra Technologies had US$2.17b of debt in September 2024, down from US$2.31b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$676.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.49b.

您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示斑馬技術公司在2024年9月的債務爲21.7億美元,較一年前的23.1億美元有所減少。然而,由於它有67600萬美元的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約爲14.9億美元。

big
NasdaqGS:ZBRA Debt to Equity History December 31st 2024
納斯達克GS:ZBRA 債務與股本歷史 2024年12月31日

How Healthy Is Zebra Technologies' Balance Sheet?

斑馬技術的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Zebra Technologies had liabilities of US$1.56b due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.71b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$676.0m in cash and US$709.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$2.88b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,斑馬技術在一年內有15.6億美元的負債,以及27.1億美元的負債在那之後到期。對此,它有67600萬美元的現金和70900萬美元在12個月內到期的應收款。因此,它的負債總額超過其現金和短期應收款的總和達到28.8億美元。

Given Zebra Technologies has a humongous market capitalization of US$20.1b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

考慮到斑馬技術擁有210億美元的龐大市值,很難相信這些負債會構成太大威脅。話雖如此,顯然我們應該繼續監測它的資產負債表,以免情況惡化。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過查看公司的淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及計算息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋利息費用的能力(利息保障率),來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力的情況。這種方法的優勢在於,我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(通過淨債務與EBITDA的比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息費用(通過其利息保障率)。

Zebra Technologies has net debt worth 1.9 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 4.7 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. The bad news is that Zebra Technologies saw its EBIT decline by 18% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zebra Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

斑馬技術的淨債務是EBITDA的1.9倍,這並不算太高,但其利息覆蓋率看起來有些偏低,EBIT僅爲利息支出的4.7倍。雖然這並不讓我們太擔心,但它確實暗示利息支付有一定負擔。壞消息是,斑馬技術的EBIT在去年下降了18%。如果收益繼續以這個速度下降,那麼處理債務將比接送三個五歲以下的孩子去高級餐廳還要困難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上學到最多的關於債務的信息。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定斑馬技術是否能在未來增強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Zebra Technologies recorded free cash flow worth 52% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,雖然稅務官可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸方只接受現金。因此,合乎邏輯的一步是查看EBIT中有多少比例與實際自由現金流相匹配。在最近三年中,斑馬技術的自由現金流佔其EBIT的52%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅收。這一自由現金流使得公司在適當時機能很好地償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Zebra Technologies's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is relatively strong. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Zebra Technologies is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Zebra Technologies has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

斑馬技術在實現EBIT增長方面的掙扎讓我們對其資產負債表的強度產生了懷疑,但我們考慮的其他數據點相對來說比較有利。例如,其EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力相對較強。綜上所述,似乎由於其債務,斑馬技術的投資風險相對較高。這並不一定是壞事,因爲槓桿可以提高股本回報,但這是需要注意的事項。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表上,遠非如此。例如,斑馬技術有2個我們認爲你應該注意的警告信號。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論