Is Nextracker (NASDAQ:NXT) A Risky Investment?
Is Nextracker (NASDAQ:NXT) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Nextracker Inc. (NASDAQ:NXT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過,『波動性遠非風險的同義詞。』 所以,考慮債務時,你想清楚任何給定股票的風險是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可能會沉沒一家公司。 我們注意到 Nextracker Inc.(納斯達克:NXT)的資產負債表上確實有債務。 但這筆債務對股東來說是個問題嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是依靠自身的現金流。資本主義的一個重要組成部分是'創造性破壞'的過程,不成功的企業被它們的銀行毫不留情地清算。然而,更常見(但同樣痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價資本,特別是當它替代了在高回報率公司中的稀釋。我們在審查債務水平時,首先會考慮現金和債務水平的綜合情況。
What Is Nextracker's Net Debt?
Nextracker 的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Nextracker had US$146.1m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has US$561.9m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$415.8m net cash.
如下所示,截至 2024 年 9 月,Nextracker 負債爲 14610萬美元,與前一年基本相同。你可以點擊圖表獲取更多詳細信息。 但它還有 56190萬美元現金來抵消這些債務,這意味着它有 41580萬美元的淨現金。
A Look At Nextracker's Liabilities
Nextracker的負債簡析
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nextracker had liabilities of US$806.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$680.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$561.9m as well as receivables valued at US$884.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$39.7m.
從最新的資產負債表來看,Nextracker的負債爲80630萬美元,即將在一年內到期,還有68010萬美元的負債在之後到期。抵消這些義務,Nextracker擁有56190萬美元的現金以及88480萬美元的應收賬款,這些應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收賬款總和3970萬美元。
Having regard to Nextracker's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the US$5.42b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Nextracker boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
考慮到Nextracker的規模,其流動資產與總負債的平衡性良好。因此,這家54.2億美元的公司不太可能現金短缺,但還是值得關注其資產負債表。儘管負債顯著,Nextracker擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它並沒有沉重的債務負擔!
Even more impressive was the fact that Nextracker grew its EBIT by 168% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nextracker's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
更令人印象深刻的是Nextracker在十二個月內的EBIT增長了168%。如果保持這種增長,未來幾年內其債務將變得更加可控。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但決定Nextracker未來保持健康資產負債表能力的,更多是未來收益。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這個關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告非常有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Nextracker has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Nextracker recorded free cash flow worth 61% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,儘管稅務部門可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款方只接受實實在在的現金。雖然Nextracker在其資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但仍值得關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解其構建(或消耗)現金餘額的速度。在最近三年內,Nextracker的自由現金流佔其EBIT的61%,這一比例大致正常,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅收。這一自由現金流使公司在適當的時候有良好的償債能力。
Summing Up
總結
We could understand if investors are concerned about Nextracker's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$415.8m. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 168% over the last year. So we don't think Nextracker's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Nextracker that you should be aware of before investing here.
我們可以理解投資者對Nextracker負債的擔憂,但我們可以放心的是,它的淨現金達到41580萬美元。而且,它在過去一年中的EBIT增長了168%,這讓我們印象深刻。因此,我們認爲Nextracker使用債務並不冒險。分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的重點。然而,投資風險並不僅僅存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,我們發現Nextracker有一個警告信號,投資前你應該注意這個。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
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