It's not a stretch to say that Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.'s (NYSE:WMS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in the United States, where the median P/E ratio is around 18x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Advanced Drainage Systems has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Advanced Drainage Systems will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Some Growth For Advanced Drainage Systems?
Advanced Drainage Systems' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.3% gain to the company's bottom line. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 139% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.3% each year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Advanced Drainage Systems is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Advanced Drainage Systems currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Advanced Drainage Systems you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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可以說,Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (紐交所:WMS) 當前的市盈率爲18.1倍,與美國市場的中位市盈率大約爲18倍相比,看起來相當"中庸"。 然而,簡單忽視市盈率而不作解釋是不明智的,因爲投資者可能會忽視一個明顯的機會或犯下一個昂貴的錯誤。
由於近期的盈利增長優於大多數其他公司,Advanced Drainage Systems 的表現相對較好。 一種可能性是,市盈率適中,因爲投資者認爲這種強勁的盈利表現可能即將減弱。 如果不是這樣,現有股東有理由對股價的未來走勢感到樂觀。