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Ringgit Opens Higher Despite Geopolitical Risks

Ringgit Opens Higher Despite Geopolitical Risks

儘管面臨地緣政治風險,林吉特開盤走高。
Business Today ·  2024/12/31 08:59

The ringgit started the day stronger against the US dollar, trading at 4.4575/4700 at 8 am compared to Monday's close of 4.4645/4700, amid global economic uncertainties and heightened geopolitical tensions.

令吉在對美元的交易中以更強的姿態開始一天,上午8點交易價格爲4.4575/4700,較週一收盤的4.4645/4700有所提升,全球經濟不確定性和地緣政治緊張局勢加劇。

Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid noted that the ringgit is in an oversold position, which could attract traders. "This may entice traders to accumulate the ringgit, given that Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is not inclined to ease its monetary policy stance next year. This contrasts with regional peers such as Indonesia, the Philippines, and Thailand, which have already begun their interest rate cut cycles this year," he told Bernama.

穆阿馬拉特馬來西亞銀行首席經濟學家穆罕默德·阿夫扎尼扎姆·阿布杜拉·拉希德指出,林吉特處於超賣狀態,這可能會吸引交易者。"這可能誘使交易者吸納林吉特,鑑於馬來西亞國家銀行(BNM)明年不傾向於放寬貨幣政策立場。這與印度尼西亞、菲律賓和泰國等區域同行形成對比,它們已經開始了今年的減息週期,"他對馬來西亞國家通訊社(Bernama)說。

On the external front, Afzanizam said the US dollar remains favourable due to the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) expected gradual monetary easing in 2025. He added that the Fed is likely to keep the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) above its neutral level, which hovers around 3.00%. "A further 50 basis points cut could leave the FFR at 4.00% in 2025, suggesting monetary policy will remain restrictive. On this basis, the ringgit-US dollar pair could oscillate around RM4.46 today," he said.

在外部環境方面,阿夫扎尼扎姆表示,由於美國聯邦儲備委員會(Fed)預計將在2025年逐步放鬆貨幣政策,美金依然處於有利地位。他補充說,聯邦基金利率(FFR)可能會持續高於其中立水平,約在3.00%左右。"進一步下降50個點子,可能將FFR保持在2025年的4.00%,這表明貨幣政策將保持緊縮。基於此,林吉特-美金匯率今天可能在RM4.46附近波動,"他說。

The ringgit also posted gains against most other major currencies. It strengthened against the British pound to 5.5933/6090 from 5.6146/6215 and appreciated against the euro to 4.6385/6515 from 4.6583/6640. However, it marginally weakened against the Japanese yen, trading at 2.8388/8471 compared to 2.8278/8314 previously.

林吉特對大多數主要貨幣也有所上漲。它對英鎊的匯率升值至5.5933/6090,從5.6146/6215升值;對歐元升值至4.6385/6515,從4.6583/6640升值。然而,林吉特對日幣的匯率稍微走弱,目前交易在2.8388/8471,而上次爲2.8278/8314。

Against ASEAN currencies, the ringgit saw improvement. It rose against the Singapore dollar to 3.2788/2882 from 3.2890/2935, the Indonesian rupiah to 276.1/277.0 from 276.5/277.0, the Thai baht to 13.0428/0905 from 13.0905/1139, and the Philippine peso to 7.69/7.72 from 7.70/7.72.

在東盟貨幣方面,林吉特也有所改善。它對新加坡元升至3.2788/2882,從3.2890/2935升值;對印尼盧比升至276.1/277.0,從276.5/277.0升值;對泰銖升至13.0428/0905,從13.0905/1139升值;對菲律賓披索升至7.69/7.72,從7.70/7.72升值。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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