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V.F (NYSE:VFC) Shareholders Have Endured a 74% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

V.F (NYSE:VFC) Shareholders Have Endured a 74% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

V.F (紐交所:VFC) 的股東在五年前投資該股票時遭受了74%的損失。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/30 18:36

Long term investing works well, but it doesn't always work for each individual stock. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Anyone who held V.F. Corporation (NYSE:VFC) for five years would be nursing their metaphorical wounds since the share price dropped 78% in that time.

長期投資效果良好,但並非對每隻個股都有成效。我們非常不喜歡看到投資者失去他們辛苦 earned 的錢。任何持有 V.F. Corporation (紐交所:VFC) 五年的人都可能在心中默默感到痛苦,因爲在這段時間內,股價下跌了 78%。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

所以讓我們看看公司的長期表現是否與其基本業務的發展相符。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章《Graham和Doddsville的超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性反映一家企業的價值。一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法如何變化是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價變動進行比較。

We know that V.F has been profitable in the past. However, it made a loss in the last twelve months, suggesting profit may be an unreliable metric at this stage. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

我們知道 V.F. 在過去是盈利的。然而,它在過去的十二個月中虧損了,這說明利潤在這個階段可能並不是一個可靠的指標。其他指標可能更能幫助我們了解其價值如何隨時間變化。

We don't think that the 1.7% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. Revenue is actually up 2.5% over the time period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

我們認爲 1.7% 在股價中並不是一個重要因素,因爲這在分紅中相對較小。在這段時間內,營業收入實際上增長了 2.5%。因此,似乎我們必須更仔細地審視基本面,以了解爲何股價表現不佳。畢竟,這可能是一個機會。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。

big
NYSE:VFC Earnings and Revenue Growth December 30th 2024
紐交所:VFC 每股收益和營業收入增長 2024年12月30日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. You can see what analysts are predicting for V.F in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

我們認爲高管在過去一年間進行了大量購買是一個積極的信號。儘管如此,大多數人認爲每股收益和營業收入增長的趨勢對業務更具指導意義。你可以在這個互動圖表中查看分析師對V.F的未來利潤估計的預測。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, V.F's TSR for the last 5 years was -74%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

考慮總股東回報以及任何給定股票的股價回報是非常重要的。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而總股東回報則包括分紅的價值(假設已再投資)以及任何折扣融資或剝離的利益。因此,對於那些支付豐厚分紅的公司,總股東回報通常遠高於股價回報。實際上,V.F在過去5年的總股東回報爲-74%,這超過了之前提到的股價回報。公司支付的分紅因此提升了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

V.F shareholders gained a total return of 18% during the year. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 12% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that V.F is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

V.F的股東在過去一年獲得了總回報18%。但這低於市場平均水平。 好的一面是,這仍然是收益,而且肯定比過去五年遭受的每年約12%的損失要好。所以這可能是業務轉好的一種跡象。 雖然考慮市場條件對股價可能產生的不同影響是非常值得的,但還有其他因素更爲重要。 即便如此,請注意,V.F在我們的投資分析中顯示出2個警告信號,其中1個不應該被忽視...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).

如果你喜歡與管理層一起買入股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:它們中的大多數都在雷達下飛行)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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