With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 56.5x The Clorox Company (NYSE:CLX) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for Clorox as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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Is There Enough Growth For Clorox?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Clorox's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 314%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 18% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 38% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Clorox is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Clorox's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Clorox (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Clorox's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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