Investing in CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 107% Gain
Investing in CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 107% Gain
If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, the CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) share price is 83% higher than it was five years ago, which is more than the market average. It's also good to see that the stock is up 6.8% in a year.
如果你想在股市中複合財富,可以通過購買指數基金來實現。但事實是,如果你以合適的價格購買優質企業,可以獲得顯著的收益。例如,CF工業控股公司(紐交所:CF)的股價比五年前高出83%,這超過了市場平均水平。看到該股票在一年內上漲6.8%也是令人欣慰的。
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
因此讓我們調查一下,看看該公司的長期表現是否與其基礎業務的進展相符。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
儘管有效市場假說仍然被一些人教授,但已經證明市場是一種反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價變化,我們可以感受到投資者對公司的態度在一段時間內是如何變化的。
Over half a decade, CF Industries Holdings managed to grow its earnings per share at 25% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 13% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
在五年的時間裏,CF工業控股公司每年的每股收益增長率達到了25%。每股收益的增長比同期13%的股價年增長率更爲令人印象深刻。因此,似乎市場對這隻股票最近並不那麼熱情。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的每股收益(隨時間)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。
It is of course excellent to see how CF Industries Holdings has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at CF Industries Holdings' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
當然,看到CF工業控股多年來利潤增長是非常好的,但未來對股東來說更爲重要。 通過這份有關其資產負債表的免費報告,深入了解CF工業控股的財務健康狀況。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for CF Industries Holdings the TSR over the last 5 years was 107%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮投資回報時,考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異是重要的。 TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折扣融資和分拆的計算價值。 可以說,TSR提供了股票產生回報的更全面的圖景。 我們注意到,CF工業控股在過去5年的TSR爲107%,高於上述股價回報。 這在很大程度上得益於其分紅支付!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
CF Industries Holdings shareholders are up 9.6% for the year (even including dividends). But that was short of the market average. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 16% per year for five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - CF Industries Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
CF工業控股的股東今年上漲了9.6%(甚至包括分紅)。 但這仍低於市場平均水平。 如果我們回顧過去五年,回報甚至更好,五年每年達到16%。 也許股價只是稍作喘息,而業務正在執行其增長策略。 我覺得長期觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。 但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。 例如,考慮風險 - CF工業控股有 2 個警告信號(還有 1 個不能忽視),我們認爲您應該了解。
We will like CF Industries Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大型內部買入,我們會更看好CF工業控股。在我們等待的同時,請查看這個免費的被低估股票列表(主要是小型股),其中有相當大的近期內部購買。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。