We Think WESCO International (NYSE:WCC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
We Think WESCO International (NYSE:WCC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that WESCO International, Inc. (NYSE:WCC) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
由巴菲特的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄直言不諱地表示,'最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,我們總是喜歡關注它的債務使用,因爲債務負擔過重可能會導致毀滅。 我們可以看到,西科國際(NYSE:WCC)確實在其業務中使用了債務。 但是,這項債務對股東來說是否令人擔憂?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務帶來風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司不能輕鬆償還時才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是用其自身的現金流。 資本主義的一部分是'創造性毀滅'的過程,失敗的企業會被他們的銀行毫不留情地清算。 然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的持股,才能簡單地控制債務。 然而,通過替代稀釋,債務對於需要資本進行高收益增長投資的企業而言,可以成爲極好的工具。 當我們檢查債務水平時,首先考慮現金和債務水平的結合。
How Much Debt Does WESCO International Carry?
西科國際的債務有多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that WESCO International had debt of US$4.96b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$5.37b over a year. However, it also had US$706.8m in cash, and so its net debt is US$4.26b.
下面的圖像,可以點擊以獲取更大細節,顯示西科國際在2024年9月底的債務爲49.6億美元,比一年前的53.7億美元有所減少。 然而,它也有70680萬美元的現金,因此其淨債務爲42.6億美元。
How Strong Is WESCO International's Balance Sheet?
西科國際的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that WESCO International had liabilities of US$3.93b due within a year, and liabilities of US$6.31b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$706.8m as well as receivables valued at US$4.07b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$5.46b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,西科國際在一年內的負債爲39.3億美元,還有63.1億美元的負債將在之後到期。抵消這些義務,它擁有現金70680萬美元以及價值40.7億美元的應收賬款,均將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出54.6億美元。
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$8.84b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
與其88.4億美元的市值相比,這是一筆巨額的槓桿。這表明,如果公司需要快速修補其資產負債表,股東將被大量稀釋。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們通過查看公司的淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及計算息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋利息費用的能力(利息保障率),來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力的情況。這種方法的優勢在於,我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(通過淨債務與EBITDA的比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息費用(通過其利息保障率)。
WESCO International's debt is 2.9 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.5 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that WESCO International saw its EBIT drop by 15% over the last twelve months. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine WESCO International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
西科國際的債務是其EBITDA的2.9倍,而其EBIT能夠覆蓋其利息支出3.5倍。這表明,儘管債務水平相當高,但我們可以不稱之爲有問題。投資者還應該擔憂的是,西科國際在過去12個月裏其EBIT下降了15%。如果情況持續這樣,處理債務負擔就像在蹦牀上送熱咖啡一樣毫無保障。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最大。但正是未來的收益將判斷西科國際能否在未來維持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, WESCO International's free cash flow amounted to 22% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
但我們的最終考慮同樣重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要的是冷硬現金。因此,我們必須明確關注EBIT是否轉化爲相應的自由現金流。在過去三年中,西科國際的自由現金流僅佔其EBIT的22%,低於我們的預期。這種較弱的現金轉化使得處理債務更加困難。
Our View
我們的觀點
We'd go so far as to say WESCO International's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. And even its level of total liabilities fails to inspire much confidence. Overall, we think it's fair to say that WESCO International has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with WESCO International (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
我們甚至可以說西科國際的EBIT增長率令人失望。而且,其總負債水平也未能激發太多信心。總體而言,我們認爲可以公正地說,西科國際的債務足夠多,這使得資產負債表存在一些真實風險。如果一切順利,這應該會提高回報,但相對而言,債務增加了永久資本損失的風險。分析債務時,顯然資產負債表是需要關注的關鍵領域。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都源於資產負債表——遠非如此。我們已經識別出西科國際的兩個警示信號(至少有一個比較令人擔憂),理解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來發現我們獨家的淨現金成長股票列表。
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
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