American Vanguard Corporation (NYSE:AVD) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 61% share price decline.
Since its price has dipped substantially, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.3x, you may consider American Vanguard as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How American Vanguard Has Been Performing
The recently shrinking revenue for American Vanguard has been in line with the industry. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think the company's revenue may begin to slide even faster. You'd much rather the company continue improving its revenue if you still believe in the business. At the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think American Vanguard's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is American Vanguard's Revenue Growth Trending?
American Vanguard's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.3%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 4.1% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 2.6% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that American Vanguard's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
The southerly movements of American Vanguard's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of American Vanguard's revealed that its P/S remains low despite analyst forecasts of revenue growth matching the wider industry. The low P/S could be an indication that the revenue growth estimates are being questioned by the market. Perhaps investors are concerned that the company could underperform against the forecasts over the near term.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with American Vanguard, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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