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These Are the Highest-Yielding Stocks on the TSX Right Now

These Are the Highest-Yielding Stocks on the TSX Right Now

目前TSX上收益最高的股票
The Motley Fool ·  12/24 09:30

The month of December had a mixed reaction. In the first half of the month, the Bank of Canada announced another 50 basis point interest rate cut in line with expectations. At 3.25%, this interest rate brought some relief to borrowers. However, the TSX Composite Index descended after the rate cut news, falling 4.3% in a week. Telecom and real estate stocks took the biggest plunge for a good reason.

十二月的反應各異。在本月的前半部分,加拿大銀行宣佈再次將利率下調50個點子,符合預期。隨着利率降至3.25%,這爲借款人帶來了一些 relief。然而,TSX綜合指數在減息消息後下滑,在一週內下降了4.3%。電信和房地產股票因合理原因遭遇了最大跌幅。

The November inflation rate slowed to 1.9%, influenced by the Black Friday sale. The accelerated rate cuts that began in June 2024 to control inflation are likely to slow in 2025 as central banks fear a rise in inflation. Why do they fear higher inflation?

受黑色星期五促銷的影響,11月通貨膨脹率放緩至1.9%。爲了控制通脹,自2024年6月開始的加速減息預計將在2025年放緩,因爲中央銀行擔心通脹上升。他們爲什麼害怕更高的通脹?

  1. U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico. If these tariffs are implemented, the price of goods could increase as the tariff cost will be passed on to consumers.
  2. Meanwhile, Canada's policymakers are cutting immigration targets by roughly 20% over the next three years, which means a lower labour supply. While a lower population could ease pressure on housing, it will increase wages and inflation.
  1. 美國新當選總統特朗普威脅要對來自加拿大和墨西哥的進口商品徵收25%的關稅。如果這些關稅被實施,商品價格可能會上漲,因爲關稅成本將傳遞給消費者。
  2. 與此同時,加拿大的政策制定者在未來三年內將移民目標降低約20%,這意味着勞動力供應將減少。雖然減少人口可能會緩解住房壓力,但這將導致工資和通貨膨脹上升。

Highest-Yielding Stocks on the TSX Right Now

目前TSX上最高收益的股票

The uncertainty caused by the above two events pulled down the stock market in December, creating a buying opportunity in the below stocks.

上述兩事件造成的不確定性拉低了12月的股市,爲以下股票創造了買入機會。

BCE stock

BCE股票

BCE (TSX:BCE) stock fell 11.3% in December, inflating its dividend yield to 11.8%. The telecom giant has been in a downtrend since the April 2022 interest rate hike, losing half of its value. The telecom sector is in an upheaval as the acquisition of Shaw Communication by Rogers Communication changed the market oligopoly. This transition created an opportunity for Telus and BCE to poach Shaw's customers, forcing them into a price war at the cost of their profit margins.

BCE (TSX:BCE) 股票在12月下跌了11.3%,使其分紅收益率膨脹至11.8%。自2022年4月加息以來,這家電信巨頭一直處於下降趨勢,損失了一半的價值。電信板塊正在經歷動盪,因爲羅傑斯通信收購Shaw Communication改變了市場的寡頭壟斷。這一轉變爲泰勒斯和BCE創造了搶奪Shaw客戶的機會,迫使他們在利潤率下降的情況下展開價格戰。

BCE is now in the middle of a company-wide restructuring. It is selling or closing its low-margin businesses like radio and electronic stores. It is expanding its reach in fast-growing digital media, cloud, networking, and cyber security businesses. This involves massive job cuts, write-offs, acquisitions, and other one-off expenses, pushing the telco into losses. Losses and high financing costs have stressed its free cash flow, hurting its dividend-paying flexibility in the short term. Its payout ratio is estimated to have increased from 111% in 2023 to 130% in 2024.

BCE目前正在進行公司全方位的重組。它正在出售或關閉低利潤的業務,如廣播和電子商店。它正在擴展在快速增長的數字媒體、雲、網絡和網絡安全業務中的市場份額。這涉及到大規模的裁員、減記、收購和其他一次性費用,導致該電信公司出現虧損。虧損和高融資成本給其自由現金流帶來了壓力,影響了其短期內的分紅支付能力。預計其派息比率將從2023年的111%增加到2024年的130%。

BCE has paused dividend growth in 2025 as it repairs its finances and strengthens the balance sheet. This is an opportunity to buy the dip as the company could see a recovery in revenue and profits once it realizes the synergies of restructuring. In the worst-case scenario, the company might cut dividends for a year or two. However, history has shown that BCE made a comeback with accelerated dividend growth to compensate for dividend cuts.

BCE已暫停2025年的分紅增長,因爲它在修復財務和增強資產負債表。這是一個買入的機會,因爲一旦公司實現重組的協同效應,就可能會看到營業收入和利潤的恢復。在最壞的情況下,公司可能會削減一兩年的分紅。然而,歷史證明BCE通過加速分紅增長來彌補分紅削減,成功實現了反彈。

Year BCE's annual dividend per share YoY change
2009 $1.58 116.4%
2008 $0.73 -48.8%
2007 $1.43 8%
2006 $1.32 2.3%
2005 $1.29 7.5%
2004 $1.20 0.00%
2003 $1.20 0.00%
2002 $1.20 0.00%
2001 $1.20 -6.3%
2000 $1.28 -5.9%
BCE's dividend history (2000-2009)
年份 BCE的每股年度分紅 同比變化
2009 $1.58 116.4%
2008 $0.73 -48.8%
2007 $1.43 8%
2006 $1.32 2.3%
2005 $1.29 7.5%
2004 $1.20 0.00%
2003 $1.20 0.00%
2002 $1.20 0.00%
2001 $1.20 -6.3%
2000 $1.28 -5.9%
BCE的分紅歷史(2000-2009)

An 11.8% yield can compensate for two to three years of dividend growth pause.

11.8%的收益率可以彌補兩到三年的分紅增長暫停。

Timbercreek Financial

Timbercreek金融

Timbercreek Financial (TSX:TF) stock fell more than 7.5% in December, inflating its dividend yield to 10%. The short-term mortgage lender that lends to income-generating REITs has been in a downward trend since April 2022 when interest rate hikes began as Canada's real estate sector saw a correction. Its loan turnover reduced as REITs paused their development projects until borrowing became cheaper and demand for housing picked up. REITs even repaid their loans to control interest costs.

Timbercreek金融(TSX:TF)股票在12月份下跌超過7.5%,使其分紅收益率上升至10%。這家向產生收入的信託提供貸款的短期抵押貸款機構自2022年4月加息以來一直處於下行趨勢,加拿大房地產板塊經歷了調整。隨着信託暫停其開發項目,直到借款成本降低且對住房的需求回升,其貸款週轉減少。信託甚至提前償還貸款以控制利息成本。

This reduced Timbercreek's revenue and profits and increased its dividend payout ratio to an alarming 95.3% of its adjusted distributable income. The recovery in demand for loans was slow to pick up in the second half as REITs waited for more interest rate cuts. A slowdown in rate cuts could probably revive Timbercreek's loan turnover, allowing the lender to sustain its dividends. You could benefit from a 10–15% recovery rally and a 9.89% yield.

這減少了Timbercreek的營業收入和利潤,並將其分紅派息比率提高到令人擔憂的95.3%調整後可分配收入。隨着信託等待更多的減息,貸款需求的復甦在下半年緩慢。減息放緩可能會復甦Timbercreek的貸款週轉,允許貸款機構維持其分紅。您可以從10-15%的反彈復甦和9.89%的收益率中受益。

In the worst-case scenario, delays in the recovery of loan turnover could force the lender to cut dividends and further reduce the stock price. Consider investing only a small portion of your portfolio in this stock.

在最壞的情況下,貸款週轉恢復的延遲可能迫使貸方削減分紅派息並進一步降低股票價格。考慮僅將您投資組合的一小部分投入該股票。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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