The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on AZZ (NYSE:AZZ) Shareholders as Stock Falls 14% Over the Past Week
The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on AZZ (NYSE:AZZ) Shareholders as Stock Falls 14% Over the Past Week
AZZ Inc. (NYSE:AZZ) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 15% in the last month. But the silver lining is the stock is up over five years. Unfortunately its return of 77% is below the market return of 97%.
AZZ Inc. (紐交所:AZZ) 的股東可能會對過去一個月股價下跌15%感到擔憂。 但欣慰的是,該股票在過去五年中有所上漲。不幸的是,它的77%的回報率低於市場的97%的回報率。
Although AZZ has shed US$383m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
儘管AZZ這一週在市值上損失了38300萬美元,但我們來看看它長期的基本趨勢,看看這些趨勢是否推動了回報。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
雖然有效市場假說仍然會被一些人教授,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考察市場情緒隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
AZZ's earnings per share are down 12% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
儘管在過去五年中,AZZ的股票表現強勁,但每股收益仍下降了12%。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.
本質上,投資者似乎並不關注每股收益。由於每股收益似乎與股價不符,我們將轉而關注其他指標。
We doubt the modest 0.8% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. On the other hand, AZZ's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 15% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
我們懷疑0.8%的分紅派息收益率吸引了許多買入者。另一方面,AZZ的營業收入增長良好,過去五年的複合增長率爲15%。在這種情況下,公司可能需要犧牲當前的每股收益來推動增長。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的圖像顯示了收益和營業收入隨時間的變化情況(如果點擊圖像,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
您可以通過這個免費的互動圖形查看其資產負債表隨時間的增強(或減弱)。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of AZZ, it has a TSR of 91% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)與股價回報之間的差異。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR則包括分紅的價值(假設這些分紅被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,TSR爲那些支付分紅的股票提供了更完整的圖景。在AZZ的情況下,過去5年的TSR爲91%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。很明顯,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
We're pleased to report that AZZ shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 45% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 14% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand AZZ better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that AZZ is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...
我們很高興地報告,AZZ股東在過去一年中獲得了總股東回報45%。包括分紅在內。這比過去五年的年化回報14%要好,意味着公司最近的發展更好。鑑於股價動能依然強勁,值得更仔細地關注這隻股票,以免錯過機會。 從長遠來看,追蹤股價表現總是很有趣。但要更好地理解AZZ,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。 儘管如此,請注意,在我們的投資分析中,AZZ顯示出3個警告信號,其中1個是顯著的...
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,你可能會通過其他地方尋找一個絕佳的投資機會。所以請查看這個我們預計將增長每股收益的公司免費列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。