Investing in PriceSmart (NASDAQ:PSMT) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 37% Gain
Investing in PriceSmart (NASDAQ:PSMT) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 37% Gain
One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, the PriceSmart, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSMT) share price is up 30% in the last three years, clearly besting the market return of around 16% (not including dividends).
從股票市場中獲益的一種簡單方法是購買指數基金。但是,如果你以具有吸引力的價格購買優秀的業務,你的投資組合回報可能會超過市場平均回報。例如,普爾斯瑪特公司的(納斯達克:PSMT)股價在過去三年中上漲了30%,明顯超過了市場約16%的回報(不包括分紅派息)。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 3 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
那麼讓我們評估過去三年的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報同向移動。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
在他的論文《Graham與Doddsville的超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性反映業務價值的原因。通過比較每股收益(每股收益)和股價變化,我們可以感受到投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間而變化。
During three years of share price growth, PriceSmart achieved compound earnings per share growth of 13% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 9% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat.
在三年的股價增長中,普爾斯瑪特實現了每股收益每年增長13%的複合收益。這一每股收益增長高於股價平均每年增長的9%。因此,市場似乎對增長的預期有所減緩。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的圖像顯示了EPS隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
We know that PriceSmart has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.
我們知道普爾斯瑪特最近改善了其凈利潤,但它會增加營業收入嗎?您可以查看這個免費的報告,了解分析師的營業收入預測。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of PriceSmart, it has a TSR of 37% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
考慮總股東回報以及任意給定股票的股價回報非常重要。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而總股東回報則包括股息的價值(假設這些股息被再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集或分拆的好處。可以公平地說,總股東回報爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的視圖。在普爾斯瑪特的情況下,它在過去3年中的總股東回報爲37%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that PriceSmart shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 29% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 7% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for PriceSmart that you should be aware of before investing here.
很高興看到普爾斯瑪特的股東在過去一年獲得了29%的總股東回報。這包括了股息。這比過去五年中年化回報率7%要好,意味着公司最近的表現正在改善。樂觀的人可能會將近期總股東回報的改善視爲公司本身隨着時間的推移在變得更好。我發現長期觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現普爾斯瑪特有1個警告信號,您在這裏投資之前應該注意。
Of course PriceSmart may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,普爾斯瑪特可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,您可能想看看這份免費的成長股票集合。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。