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HEICO Corporation (NYSE:HEI) Just Reported Annual Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

HEICO Corporation (NYSE:HEI) Just Reported Annual Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

海科航空公司(紐交所:HEI)剛剛公佈了年度收益:分析師們對這隻股票的看法有所改變嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/20 20:37

Last week, you might have seen that HEICO Corporation (NYSE:HEI) released its yearly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 6.9% to US$238 in the past week. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of US$3.9b and statutory earnings per share of US$3.67 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that HEICO is executing in line with expectations. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

上週,你可能看到海科航空公司(紐交所:HEI)向市場發佈了其年度業績報告。早期反應並不積極,過去一週股價下跌6.9%,至238美元。 總體來看,這是一份可信的業績,營業收入爲39億美金,每股收益爲3.67美元,均符合分析師的預期,表明海科航空的執行與預期相符。 這是投資者的重要時刻,他們可以跟蹤公司在報告中的表現,查看專家對明年的預測,並看看對業務的預期是否發生了變化。 我們認爲讀者會發現分析師最新的(法定)盈利後預測對明年是有趣的。

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NYSE:HEI Earnings and Revenue Growth December 20th 2024
紐交所:HEI 每股收益和營業收入增長 2024年12月20日

After the latest results, the 13 analysts covering HEICO are now predicting revenues of US$4.22b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a decent 9.5% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to swell 15% to US$4.27. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$4.23b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.25 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

在最新結果發佈後,覆蓋海科航空的13位分析師現在預測2025年的營業收入爲42.2億美金。如果達成,這將反映出與過去12個月相比,營業收入改善了9.5%。 法定每股收益預計將增長15%,達到4.27美元。 然而在最新的收入報告之前,分析師預計2025年的營業收入爲42.3億美金,每股收益(EPS)爲4.25美元。 因此很明顯,雖然分析師更新了他們的預期,但在最新結果發佈後,對業務的預期並沒有重大變化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at US$270. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on HEICO, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$316 and the most bearish at US$196 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

因此,得知共識價格目標基本保持在270美元並不令人驚訝。 共識價格目標只是各個分析師目標的平均值,因此,查看底層估計的範圍是有益的。 對海科航空存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析師將其估值爲316美元,而最看淡的分析師則估值爲每股196美元。 正如你所看到的,分析師並不完全一致地看待該股票的未來,但估計範圍仍相對狹窄,這可能表明結果並非完全不可預測。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that HEICO's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 9.5% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 16% p.a. growth over the last five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 4.8% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while HEICO's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

當然,另一種看待這些預測的方法是將其置於行業本身的背景下。我們要強調的是,海科航空的營業收入增長預計將放緩,預計到2025年底的年化增長率爲9.5%,遠低於過去五年每年16%的歷史增長率。與分析師覆蓋的其他公司相對比,這些公司的收入(總計)預計將以每年4.8%的速度增長。因此,儘管海科航空的營業收入增長預計將放緩,但其增長速度仍然預計快於整個行業。

The Bottom Line

結論

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的是,要記住情緒沒有重大變化,分析師重新確認了業務的表現與他們之前的每股收益估計一致。幸運的是,他們也重新確認了他們的營業收入數字,表明其與預期一致。此外,我們的數據表明,營業收入預計將增長得比更廣泛的行業更快。共識價格目標沒有實質性變化,表明該業務的內在價值在最新估計中沒有經歷任何重大變化。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple HEICO analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

基於這一思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的收益更爲相關。我們有來自多個海科航空分析師的估計,直至2027年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看它們。

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for HEICO that you should be aware of.

不要忘記可能仍然存在風險。例如,我們已經識別出海科航空有1個警示信號,你應該注意。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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