The One-year Decline in Earnings for PNC Financial Services Group NYSE:PNC) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 30% Over That Period
The One-year Decline in Earnings for PNC Financial Services Group NYSE:PNC) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 30% Over That Period
Diversification is a key tool for dealing with stock price volatility. But if you're going to beat the market overall, you need to have individual stocks that outperform. One such company is The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (NYSE:PNC), which saw its share price increase 25% in the last year, slightly above the market return of around 22% (not including dividends). On the other hand, longer term shareholders have had a tougher run, with the stock falling 4.0% in three years.
多樣化是應對股票價格波動的關鍵工具。但是,如果你想在整體上擊敗市場,你需要擁有表現優於市場的個別股票。一個這樣的公司是PNC金融服務集團公司(紐交所:PNC),其股價在過去一年上漲了25%,略高於大約22%的市場回報(不包括分紅派息)。另一方面,長期股東面臨更艱難的局面,股票在三年內下跌了4.0%。
In light of the stock dropping 6.1% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive one-year return.
鑑於股票在過去一週下跌了6.1%,我們希望調查更長期的故事,看看基本面是否是推動公司一年正回報的原因。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
借用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:短期內市場是一個投票機,但長期來說它是一個稱重機。一種存在缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
During the last year, PNC Financial Services Group actually saw its earnings per share drop 18%.
在過去一年中,PNC金融服務集團實際上每股收益下降了18%。
This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
這意味着市場不太可能根據盈利增長來評估公司。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化沒有關聯,因此值得關注其他指標。
Revenue was pretty flat year on year, but maybe a closer look at the data can explain the market optimism.
營業收入同比基本持平,但也許更深入地看一下數據可以解釋市場的樂觀情緒。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。
PNC Financial Services Group is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think PNC Financial Services Group will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)
PNC金融服務集團在投資者中非常知名,許多聰明的分析師試圖預測未來的利潤水平。因此,查看分析師對PNC金融服務集團未來收益的看法(免費的分析師共識估計)非常有意義。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, PNC Financial Services Group's TSR for the last 1 year was 30%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考慮總股東回報和股價回報對於任何股票都很重要。股價回報僅反映股價變化,而總股東回報包括分紅的價值(假設這些分紅被再投資)以及任何折價資本籌集或剝離的好處。因此,對於支付慷慨分紅的公司,總股東回報通常要高於股價回報。實際上,PNC金融服務集團過去1年的總股東回報爲30%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是由於其分紅支付造成的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
We're pleased to report that PNC Financial Services Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 30% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 7%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with PNC Financial Services Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
我們很高興地報告,PNC金融服務集團的股東在一年內獲得了30%的總股東回報。當然,這包括分紅派息。這個增幅比五年的年度總股東回報率(7%)更好。因此,最近對該公司的情緒似乎是積極的。考慮到股價動能依然強勁,可能值得更仔細地查看這隻股票,以免錯失投資機會。 我覺得從長遠來看觀察股價作爲業務表現的一個代理是非常有趣的。但要真正獲得洞見,我們需要考慮其他信息。例如,時刻存在的投資風險的陰影。我們已經確定PNC金融服務集團存在1個警示信號,理解這些信號應該是你投資過程的一部分。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更傾向於查看其他公司——一個財務狀況可能更優的公司——那麼不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,它們已經證明能夠實現盈利增長。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。