US Stocks 'Likely' Heading for Correction Amid Recent Volatility, Analyst Says: 'But There Are Still A Couple Of Years Left...'
US Stocks 'Likely' Heading for Correction Amid Recent Volatility, Analyst Says: 'But There Are Still A Couple Of Years Left...'
"A correction is likely. But there are still a couple of years left in this bull market," he said. Amid recent fluctuations, the stock market is showing signs of a potential correction, according to experts. This follows a rebound after a significant selloff, with the S&P 500 just 3.6% shy of its all-time high, according to Benzinga Pro, despite a nearly 3% drop on Wednesday. This decline came after the Federal Reserve updated its inflation and interest rate outlook for 2025.
在近期波動中，專家表示股市顯示出潛在修正的跡象。這是繼重大拋售後的反彈，根據Benzinga Pro的數據顯示，標準普爾500指數離歷史最高點僅差3.6%，儘管在週三下跌了近3%。此次下跌發生在聯儲局更新了2025年的通脹和利率展望之後。
What Happened: The S&P 500 would need to fall to 5,481 to enter correction territory, which would represent a 10% drop from its peak. The last correction was noted in October 2023, as per Dow Jones Market Data. Despite the recent dip, the S&P 500 has risen 4.6% since Election Day, leading to high valuations, Barron's reported on Friday.
發生了什麼：標準普爾500指數需要下跌到5,481才能進入修正區間，這將代表從高峰下跌10%。根據道瓊斯市場數據，上一次修正發生在2023年10月。儘管最近有所下跌，但自選舉日以來，標準普爾500指數已上漲4.6%，這導致估值偏高，《巴倫週刊》在週五報道。
John Bartleman, CEO of TradeStation, suggests that a correction could be beneficial, potentially curbing excessive market exuberance.
TradeStation首席執行官約翰·巴特爾曼建議，修正可能是有利的，可能會抑制市場過度樂觀的情緒。
"A correction is likely. But there are still a couple of years left in this bull market," he said.
他表示："修正是很可能的。但在這個牛市中還有幾年時間。"
Nancy Curtin, CIO at AlTi Tiedemann Global, views a correction as a potential buying opportunity. Meanwhile, Bret Kenwell of eToro points out that mild inflation and strong earnings forecasts for 2025 could bolster future market growth.
阿爾蒂·泰德曼全球的首席投資官南希·庫爾廷將修正視爲潛在的買入機會。同時，eToro的佈雷特·肯威爾指出，溫和的通脹和2025年的強勁收益預期可能會推動未來市場的增長。
Analysts are forecasting a 15% increase in S&P 500 profits next year, followed by another 13% rise in 2026. Lule Demmissie of Apex Fintech Solutions considers the current pullback as healthy, emphasizing the robust U.S. economy and sustained investor interest in tech stocks.
分析師預測，標準普爾500指數的利潤在明年將增長15%，2026年再增長13%。Apex Fintech Solutions的盧勒·德米西認爲，目前的回調是健康的，強調了美國經濟的強勁和投資者對科技股票的持續興趣。
Why It Matters: The potential for a market correction is underscored by concerns over U.S. economic growth and corporate earnings.
爲什麼重要：市場修正的潛力被對美國經濟增長和企業盈利的擔憂所強調。
Wharton's Jeremy Siegel also called the stock selloff in recent days a "healthy" reaction to the Federal Reserve's cautious approach regarding interest rate cuts the future.
沃頓商學院的傑里米·西格爾也稱最近幾天的股票拋售是對聯儲局在未來利率削減方面謹慎態度的"健康"反應。
Brian Arcese of Foord Asset Management has highlighted these issues as potential catalysts for a correction. Arcese notes that the S&P 500 has been "expensive for quite a while," with a price-to-earnings ratio exceeding 27. He suggests that a correction would be healthy, but it would require a catalyst, such as slowing economic growth or rising inflation, to occur.
Foord 資產管理的布賴恩·阿塞斯強調了這些問題作爲可能導致修正的催化劑。阿塞斯指出，標普500指數一直以來"價格昂貴，"市盈率超過27。他建議，修正是健康的，但需要一個催化劑，例如經濟增長放緩或通貨膨脹上升，才能發生。
Price Action: According to Benzinga Pro, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) was down by 1.06% while Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ) was down by 1.24%.
價格動態：根據Benzinga Pro，SPDR 標普500指數ETF（紐交所：SPY）下跌1.06%，而納指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust，Series 1（納斯達克：QQQ）下跌1.24%。
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Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of Benzinga Neuro and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
免責聲明：此內容部分由Benzinga Neuro生成，並由Benzinga編輯審核和發佈。
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譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
