Those holding Digital Turbine, Inc. (NASDAQ:APPS) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 45% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the last month did very little to improve the 75% share price decline over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Digital Turbine's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 5.3x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Digital Turbine Has Been Performing
Digital Turbine hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Keen to find out how analysts think Digital Turbine's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
Digital Turbine's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 7.3% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 1.5% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 27%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Digital Turbine's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Digital Turbine have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Digital Turbine's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Digital Turbine (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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持有Digital Turbine, Inc. (納斯達克:APPS) 股票的人會感到寬慰,因爲在過去三十天內股價反彈了45%,但它需要繼續上漲,以修復最近對投資者投資組合造成的損害。 但是,上個月對改善過去一年75%的股價下跌幾乎沒有幫助。