3 Reasons to Buy Cineplex Stock Like There's No Tomorrow
3 Reasons to Buy Cineplex Stock Like There's No Tomorrow
I've discussed Cineplex Inc. (TSX:CGX) often in the last year or so as I grew increasingly convinced that Cineplex stock was grossly undervalued. And as time has gone on, I have become more and more confident in this company and this stock
在过去一年左右的时间里,我常常讨论Cineplex Inc. (TSX:CGX),因为我越来越相信Cineplex股票被严重低估。随着时间的推移,我对这家公司和这只股票的信心越来越强。
Here are three reasons to buy Cineplex stock.
以下是买入Cineplex股票的三个理由。
Cineplex stock is cheap
Cineplex股票便宜
Trading at a mere 13 times next year's earnings, Cineplex stock is undeniably cheap. Just looking at this valuation in isolation, we can see that the stock is inexpensive. If we add to our analysis, this point becomes even more obvious for a couple of reasons.
Cineplex股票以明年盈利的13倍交易,无疑非常便宜。仅从这一估值来看,我们可以看到这只股票的价格便宜。如果我们进一步分析,这一点出于几个原因变得更加明显。
First of all, Cineplex's business is a very strong cash flow generator. In 2019, Cineplex generated net earnings of $37 million and cash flow from operations of $321 million. In 2023, the company generated net earnings of $138 million and cash flow from operations of $209 million. The most recent quarter was similar, with cash flow from operations that was significantly higher than earnings.
首先,Cineplex的业务是一个非常强的现金流发电机。在2019年,Cineplex的净收益为3700万,运营现金流为32100万。在2023年,该公司净收益为13800万,运营现金流为20900万。最近一个季度的情况类似,运营现金流显著高于收益。
Although recent years have been difficult, the underlying business is a good one at its core. But it seems that investors have forgotten this. I think that Cineplex is quietly proving it. Thus, I think that Cineplex stock's valuation will begin to approach the premium valuation it commanded before the pandemic.
尽管近年来困难重重,但该业务的核心依然良好。但似乎投资者已经忘记了这一点。我认为Cineplex正在悄然证明这一点。因此,我认为Cineplex股票的估值将开始接近其在疫情前的溢价估值。
Box office numbers are heating up
票房数字正在回暖
The company's recent box office results highlight the growing momentum and positive potential of Cineplex. In its latest quarter, box office revenue came in at 98% of pre-pandemic levels. In November, it came in at $48.9 million, or 94% of pre-pandemic levels and 141% of those of November 2023.
公司的最新票房业绩突显了Cineplex日益增长的势头和积极的潜力。在最新一个季度,票房营业收入达到了疫情前水平的98%。在11月,它达到了4890万,或者说是疫情前水平的94%和2023年11月的141%。
Now that the pandemic and writer's strike are both over, we are beginning to see the power of the movie going experience and Cineplex again. Movies continue to capture audiences and break records, as movie goers increasingly opt for Cineplex's higher margin premium formats such as VIP.
随着疫情和编剧罢工的结束,我们开始再次看到观影体验和Cineplex的强大。电影继续吸引观众并打破记录,观众越来越选择Cineplex的高利润优质格式,如VIP。
So, we can see that a full recovery to 2019 levels is in the cards. Yet, Cineplex stock trades at a fraction of what it traded at then – more than 60% lower. A true value stock.
因此,我们可以看到完全恢复到2019年水平是可以预见的。然而,Cineplex股票的交易价格仅为当时的一个很小的部分——低于60%。这是一只真正的价值股。
A dividend is likely coming soon for Cineplex stock
Cineplex股票很可能即将迎来分红。
Lastly, all indications are that it's only a matter of time until Cineplex's dividend gets re-instated. If you recall, in the years before the pandemic, Cineplex stock was considered a dividend stock to own. This was due to the relatively low-risk nature of the business and stability of its results. On top of this, the business is pretty immune to economic troubles, as it's a relatively inexpensive form of entertainment. This all means that Cineplex's business lends itself very well to the dividend model.
最后,所有迹象表明,Cineplex的分红只是时间问题。如果你还记得,在疫情前的那些年,Cineplex股票被认为是值得持有的分红股。这是因为该业务相对低风险,业绩稳定。此外,Cineplex的业务对于经济困境相对免疫,因为它是一种相对便宜的娱乐方式。这一切都意味着Cineplex的业务非常适合分红模式。
This is a fact that Cineplex's management is very aware of. In fact, they have highlighted their intention to pay out dividends in the near future. The criteria for this are the company's balance sheet is in good shape and attendance levels are at 75% to 80% of 2019.
这一点Cineplex的管理层非常清楚。事实上,他们已经强调了在不久的将来支付分红的意图。其标准是公司的资产负债表状况良好,观众人数达到2019年的75%到80%。
Today, the balance sheet is much-improved and in good shape. In 2023, attendance levels came in at 72% of 2019 levels. And 2024 has seen even better attendance versus last year. As the movie slate continues to improve, attendance levels will likely continue to climb. In my view, we should expect a dividend from Cineplex in the foreseeable future.
如今,资产负债表得到了很大改善,状况良好。2023年,观众人数为2019年水平的72%。2024年的观众人数比去年更好。随着电影排期的不断改善,观众人数可能会继续上升。在我看来,我们应该期待在可预见的未来从Cineplex获得分红。
Re-instating the dividend would signal that the company has come full circle – survived the pandemic, the writers' strike, and even the threat from streaming services.
恢复分红将表明公司已经走过了完整的历程——在疫情、编剧罢工甚至面对流媒体服务的威胁下生存下来。
译文内容由第三方软件翻译。