We Think Prime Medicine (NASDAQ:PRME) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully
We Think Prime Medicine (NASDAQ:PRME) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
我們很容易理解爲什麼投資者被虧損公司吸引。例如,儘管亞馬遜在上市後多年虧損,但如果你從1999年開始購買並持有這些股票,你將賺得盆滿鉢滿。然而,只有傻瓜才會忽視虧損公司過快耗盡現金的風險。
So, the natural question for Prime Medicine (NASDAQ:PRME) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
因此,Prime Medicine(納斯達克:PRME)股東自然而然會問,他們是否應該關心其現金消耗的速度。在本文中,我們將現金消耗定義爲其年度(負的)自由現金流,這是一家公司每年用於資助其增長的金額。首先,我們將通過比較其現金消耗與現金儲備來判斷其現金能持續的時間。
Does Prime Medicine Have A Long Cash Runway?
Prime Medicine是否擁有較長的現金儲備?
A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In September 2024, Prime Medicine had US$176m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$190m. That means it had a cash runway of around 11 months as of September 2024. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
公司的現金能持續的時間是通過將其現金儲備除以現金消耗來計算的。在2024年9月,Prime Medicine擁有17600萬美元現金,並且沒有債務。回顧去年,公司消耗了19000萬美元的現金。這意味着截至2024年9月,公司有大約11個月的現金儲備。坦率地說,這種較短的現金儲備讓我們感到不安,因爲這表明公司必須大幅減少現金消耗,否則就要立即籌集現金。下面的圖像顯示了其現金餘額在過去幾年中的變化。
How Is Prime Medicine's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Prime Medicine的現金消耗隨時間變化情況如何?
Whilst it's great to see that Prime Medicine has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced US$800k, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. With the cash burn rate up 16% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
雖然看到Prime Medicine已經開始從業務中產生營業收入是件好事,但去年僅產生了80萬美元,因此我們認爲目前它的營業收入不算顯著。因此,我們認爲現在關注營業收入增長爲時尚早,所以我們將限制自己只關注現金消耗隨時間的變化。由於現金消耗率在去年增加了16%,似乎公司正在逐步加大對業務的投資。這不一定是一件壞事,但投資者應該注意,這將縮短現金儲備。然而,顯然,關鍵因素是公司未來是否會增長。因此,您可能想看看公司預計在未來幾年內的增長情況。
Can Prime Medicine Raise More Cash Easily?
Prime Medicine能更容易地籌集資金嗎?
Since its cash burn is moving in the wrong direction, Prime Medicine shareholders may wish to think ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
由於其現金消耗在錯誤的方向上,Prime Medicine的股東可能希望考慮公司何時需要籌集更多資金。公司可以通過債務或股權來籌集資金。上市公司的主要優勢之一是可以向投資者出售股票以籌集現金並資助增長。我們可以將公司的現金消耗與其市值進行比較,以了解公司需要發行多少新股來資助一年的運營。
Prime Medicine has a market capitalisation of US$371m and burnt through US$190m last year, which is 51% of the company's market value. That's high expenditure relative to the value of the entire company, so if it does have to issue shares to fund more growth, that could end up really hurting shareholders returns (through significant dilution).
Prime Medicine的市值爲37100萬美元,去年消耗了19000萬美元,這佔公司市值的51%。相對於整個公司的價值,這個支出很高,因此如果它確實需要發行股票以資助更多的增長,這可能會嚴重損害股東的回報(通過顯著稀釋)。
So, Should We Worry About Prime Medicine's Cash Burn?
那麼,我們應該擔心Prime Medicine的現金消耗嗎?
We must admit that we don't think Prime Medicine is in a very strong position, when it comes to its cash burn. Although we can understand if some shareholders find its increasing cash burn acceptable, we can't ignore the fact that we consider its cash burn relative to its market cap to be downright troublesome. After looking at that range of measures, we think shareholders should be extremely attentive to how the company is using its cash, as the cash burn makes us uncomfortable. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 6 warning signs for Prime Medicine (3 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
我們必須承認,在現金消耗方面,Prime Medicine的狀況並不強勁。雖然我們可以理解一些股東可能認爲其不斷增加的現金消耗是可以接受的,但我們無法忽視相對於其市值,我們認爲其現金消耗確實令人不安。經過對一系列指標的觀察,我們認爲股東應對公司如何使用其現金保持高度關注,因爲現金消耗讓我們感到不安。另一方面,我們對公司進行了深入調查,識別出了Prime Medicine的6個警告信號(其中3個令人擔憂!),在您投資之前,請您務必了解這些信號。
Of course Prime Medicine may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
當然,Prime Medicine可能不是最值得購買的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這份自由獲取的關於高股本回報的公司集合,或者這份高內部持股的股票列表。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
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