Is Latham Group (NASDAQ:SWIM) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Latham Group (NASDAQ:SWIM) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Latham Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SWIM) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。重要的是,瑞生集團公司(納斯達克股票代碼:SWIM)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
How Much Debt Does Latham Group Carry?
瑞生集團揹負了多少債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Latham Group had US$284.9m of debt in September 2024, down from US$301.6m, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$59.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$225.0m.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示瑞生集團在2024年9月的債務爲2.849億美元,低於一年前的3.016億美元。另一方面,它擁有5,990萬美元的現金,淨負債約爲2.25億美元。
How Healthy Is Latham Group's Balance Sheet?
瑞生集團的資產負債表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Latham Group had liabilities of US$89.4m due within a year, and liabilities of US$347.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$59.9m as well as receivables valued at US$73.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$303.2m.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,瑞生集團的負債爲8,940萬美元,之後到期的負債爲3.474億美元。除這些債務外,它有5,990萬美元的現金以及價值7,370萬美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額3.032億美元。
Latham Group has a market capitalization of US$896.1m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
瑞生集團的市值爲8.961億美元,因此,如果需要,它很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以其扣除利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA)和其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以其利息支出(利息保障)。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。
While we wouldn't worry about Latham Group's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.4, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.75 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The silver lining is that Latham Group grew its EBIT by 356% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Latham Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
雖然我們不擔心瑞生集團的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率爲3.4,但我們認爲其0.75倍的超低利息覆蓋率是高槓杆率的標誌。看來該企業會產生巨額折舊和攤銷費用,因此其債務負擔可能比最初出現的要重,因爲息稅折舊攤銷前利潤可以說是衡量收益的豐厚指標。看來很明顯,借錢成本最近對股東的回報產生了負面影響。一線希望是,瑞生集團去年的息稅前利潤增長了356%,這就像年輕人的理想主義一樣滋養。如果這種收益趨勢繼續下去,它將使其未來的債務負擔更加易於管理。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定瑞生集團能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Latham Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究該息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。令所有股東感到高興的是,在過去三年中,瑞生集團產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。這種強勁的現金產生像穿着大黃蜂套裝的小狗一樣溫暖着我們的心。
Our View
我們的觀點
Latham Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its interest cover has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Latham Group can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Latham Group (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
瑞生集團將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流,這表明它可以像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多在對陣14歲以下的守門員的比賽中進球一樣輕鬆地處理債務。但是我們必須承認,我們發現它的利息保障起到了相反的作用。考慮到所有這些因素,瑞生集團似乎可以輕鬆應對其當前的債務水平。從好的方面來看,這種槓桿作用可以提高股東的回報,但潛在的缺點是損失風險更大,因此值得關注資產負債表。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。我們已經向瑞生集團確定了兩個警告信號(至少一個不太適合我們),了解這些信號應該是您投資過程的一部分。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。
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Simply Wall ST 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。
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