Ringgit Weakens Against US Dollar, Strengthens Against Other Major Currencies
Ringgit Weakens Against US Dollar, Strengthens Against Other Major Currencies
The ringgit opened weaker against the US dollar this morning, trading 0.4% lower as the US Dollar Index rose to 108.142 points. This came after the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced a 25-basis-point cut to the Fed Funds Rate overnight. At 8.03 am, the ringgit stood at 4.4850/4925 against the greenback, compared to Wednesday's close of 4.4670/4725.
今早,馬來西亞林吉特對美元開盤走弱,交易價格下跌0.4%,原因是美元指數上漲至108.142點。這是在聯儲局(Fed)宣佈將聯邦基金利率下調25個點子之後發生的。早上8:03,林吉特對美元報4.4850/4925,而週三收盤價爲4.4670/4725。
However, when indexed against a basket of currencies, including ASEAN currencies, the ringgit showed signs of strength. It appreciated further against the Singapore dollar to 3.2903/2963 from 3.3045/3088 and rose versus the Thai baht to 12.9598/9916 from 13.0378/0618. Against the British pound, the ringgit strengthened to 5.6376/6471 from 5.6673/6743, while it also gained against the euro, trading at 4.6442/6520 from 4.6877/6934. The ringgit firmed up slightly against the Japanese yen at 2.8992/9044 from 2.9028/9059 previously.
然而,當與包括東盟貨幣在內的貨幣籃子進行比較時,林吉特顯示出強勁的跡象。林吉特對新加坡元進一步升值,從3.3045/3088升至3.2903/2963,並且對泰銖升值至12.9598/9916,從13.0378/0618升值。林吉特對英鎊升值至5.6376/6471,之前爲5.6673/6743,同時對歐元也有所升值,交易價格爲4.6442/6520,從4.6877/6934升值。林吉特對日幣略微升值,報2.8992/9044,較之前的2.9028/9059有所上升。
Nonetheless, the local currency traded mixed against other ASEAN currencies, slipping against the Philippine peso to 7.60/7.62 from 7.57/7.58 and weakening against the Indonesian rupiah at 278.5/279.2 from 277.4/277.9.
儘管如此,馬來西亞林吉特與其他東盟貨幣的交易表現則參差不齊,對菲律賓披索下滑至7.60/7.62,較之前的7.57/7.58有所下跌,並且對印尼盧比貶值至278.5/279.2,從277.4/277.9降至最壞。
Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid noted that the dollar-ringgit is approaching its immediate resistance level of 4.5339. "A hawkish Fed has resulted in higher demand for the US dollar," he explained to Bernama.
馬來西亞穆阿馬拉特銀行首席經濟學家Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid表示,美元-林吉特匯率正在接近其即時支撐位4.5339。他對Bernama解釋說:"鷹派聯儲局導致美元需求增加。"
He also pointed out that the Fed's revised 2025 forecast suggested smaller rate cuts of 25 to 50 basis points, compared to the 100-basis-point cut projected in September.
他還指出,聯儲局修訂的2025年預測暗示利率削減幅度較小,僅爲25至50個點子,相較於9月預測的100個點子削減。
"The so-called neutral rate was also adjusted to 3.0% from 2.9%. Despite this, the Fed believes the current monetary stance remains restrictive to economic activities," Mohd Afzanizam said.
"所謂中立利率也從2.9%上調至3.0%。儘管如此,聯儲局認爲當前的貨幣政策立場對經濟活動仍然具有約束性,"Mohd Afzanizam說道。
The Fed also highlighted that the balance of risks between growth and inflation appears evenly distributed. "Clearly, they want to cut more but are still wary of inflation risk. As for the Trump 2.0 scenario, the chairman admitted they are not privy to such information, making it difficult to factor in such scenarios during the decision-making process," he added.
聯儲局還強調,增長和通脹之間的風險平衡似乎是均勻分佈的。他補充道:"顯然,他們想要更多的減息,但仍然對通脹風險保持警惕。至於特朗普2.0的情況,主席承認他們並不掌握此類信息,這使得在決策過程中很難考慮這種情況。"
"All in all, the US dollar remains dominant, and as such, the ringgit is likely to stay weak in the near term," he concluded.
總的來說,美元仍然佔據主導地位,因此,馬來西亞林吉特在短期內可能會保持疲軟,"他總結道。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。