The Total Return for Golden Ocean Group (NASDAQ:GOGL) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years
The Total Return for Golden Ocean Group (NASDAQ:GOGL) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years
It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Golden Ocean Group Limited (NASDAQ:GOGL) share price down 27% in the last month. But at least the stock is up over the last five years. Unfortunately its return of 50% is below the market return of 102%.
股東們可能會對金海洋集團有限公司(納斯達克:GOGL)在上個月股價下跌27%感到擔憂。 不過,至少這隻股票在過去五年中是上漲的。 不幸的是,其50%的回報低於市場102%的回報。
In light of the stock dropping 6.3% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.
鑑於股票在過去一週下跌了6.3%,我們希望調查更長期的故事,看看基本面是否推動了公司積極的五年回報。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
在他的文章《Graham-and-Doddsville超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性反映業務價值的情況。一個有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
Over half a decade, Golden Ocean Group managed to grow its earnings per share at 52% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 8% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 7.32.
在過去的五年中,金海洋集團每年實現了52%的每股收益增長。 這一每股收益的增長令人印象深刻,而同期股票價格的年增幅僅爲8%。 因此,看起來市場對這隻股票現在並不那麼熱衷。 這種謹慎的情緒反映在其(相對較低的)市盈率7.32上。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
We know that Golden Ocean Group has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
我們知道金海洋集團最近改善了其利潤,但它的營業收入會增長嗎?如果您有興趣,可以查看這份顯示共識營業收入預測的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Golden Ocean Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 159%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一個回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集和剝離的計算價值。可以公平地說,TSR爲支付分紅的股票提供了更完整的圖景。實際上,金海洋集團在過去5年的TSR爲159%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。而且,沒有人能猜錯,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Golden Ocean Group shareholders are up 6.4% for the year (even including dividends). But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 21% a year, over half a decade) look better. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Golden Ocean Group that you should be aware of before investing here.
金海洋集團的股東今年上漲了6.4%(即使包括分紅),但這低於市場平均水平。好消息是,長期回報(每年約爲21%,超過五年)看起來更好。考慮到市場長期以來持續的積極反應,這可能是一個值得關注的業務。我發現從長期來看觀察股價作爲業務績效的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現金海洋集團存在2個警告信號,您在此投資前應當注意。
But note: Golden Ocean Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:金海洋集團可能不是最值得買入的股票。因此,請查看這份有趣公司的免費名單,這些公司過去有盈利增長(並且預計將進一步增長)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。