Investors in First Horizon (NYSE:FHN) Have Seen Respectable Returns of 55% Over the Past Year
Investors in First Horizon (NYSE:FHN) Have Seen Respectable Returns of 55% Over the Past Year
Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. To wit, the First Horizon Corporation (NYSE:FHN) share price is 49% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 27% (not including dividends) in the same period. If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! Looking back further, the stock price is 33% higher than it was three years ago.
被動投資指數基金可以產生大致與整體市場相匹配的回報。但如果你選擇合適的個股,你的收益可能會更高。比如,第一地平線公司(紐交所:FHN)的股價比一年前上漲了49%,遠遠超過同期市場約27%的回報(不包括分紅派息)。如果它能長期保持這種優異表現,投資者將會獲得豐厚的回報!回顧更久之前,三年前的股價也上漲了33%。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
借用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話: 在短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但在長期內,它是一臺稱重機。 通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價變化,我們可以感受投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間變化的。
Over the last twelve months, First Horizon actually shrank its EPS by 21%.
在過去的十二個月裏,第一地平線的每股收益實際上減少了21%。
Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.
考慮到股價的上漲,我們懷疑市場在用每股收益來衡量進展。實際上,當每股收益下降而股價上漲時,通常意味着市場在考慮其他因素。
Revenue was pretty flat year on year, but maybe a closer look at the data can explain the market optimism.
營業收入同比基本持平,但也許更深入地看一下數據可以解釋市場的樂觀情緒。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
First Horizon is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. If you are thinking of buying or selling First Horizon stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.
第一地平線是一隻知名股票,得到了衆多分析師的關注,這表明未來增長有一定的可見性。如果您考慮買入或賣出第一地平線股票,您應該查看這份免費的報告,其中顯示了分析師對未來利潤的共識預測。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, First Horizon's TSR for the last 1 year was 55%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR包括任何分拆或折扣資本籌集的價值,以及任何分紅,假設這些分紅被再投資。可以公正地說,TSR爲支付分紅的股票提供了更完整的畫面。事實上,第一地平線在過去一年中的TSR爲55%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是因爲其分紅支付!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that First Horizon shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 55% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 8%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand First Horizon better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with First Horizon .
很高興看到,第一地平線的股東在過去一年中獲得了55%的總股東回報。當然,這包括了分紅。這個收益比五年的年化總股東回報率8%要好。因此,最近對公司的情緒似乎保持積極。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務動能,這意味着現在可能是深入了解的時候了。 從長遠來看,跟蹤股價表現總是很有趣。要更好地理解第一地平線,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。爲此,您應該注意我們發現的與第一地平線相關的一個警告信號。
But note: First Horizon may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:第一地平線可能不是最值得買入的股票。所以請看一下這個有趣公司名單,裏面有過去營業收入增長(以及進一步增長預測)的免費列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。